Find out all the data around staking market for the Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi encounter for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid 2025 on the April 30, 2025, below. Learn the Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi predictions, best bets and odds markets for this contest in the section beneath.
Pick Based On Odds: Matteo Arnaldi to secure the win
- Implied via the sportsbook odds, Matteo Arnaldi are favored to come out on top in this match with a 53.01% chance to win. Is this a reliable prediction? We think so, as Oddsmakers produce sharp predictions:
Frances Tiafoe → 2.03
Matteo Arnaldi → 1.80Prediction Chance Of Win Frances Tiafoe 46.99 % Matteo Arnaldi 53.01 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On H2H: Frances Tiafoe to win
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | 1 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 0 |
Head To Head: Frances Tiafoe (1 – 0) Matteo Arnaldi.
Frances Tiafoe to win. Why? Across the past 1 H2H matches between these teams, Frances Tiafoe have the edge 1 – 0. Our head-to-head analysis goes back to the game between them in 2024. This indicates that Frances Tiafoe are likely to win in this upcoming clash. Their most recent match between them was on the Mon, 01 Jul 24, when Frances Tiafoe achieved a 6-2-6-6-6 – 7(5)-6-1-3-3 victory.
Matteo Arnaldi have never got the victory against Frances Tiafoe indicating they have little chance.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Matteo Arnaldi to prevail
Looking at current performance before this fixture, Frances Tiafoe won versus Alexandre Muller with a result of 6-6/3-3. Matteo Arnaldi triumphed facing Damir Dzumhur with a result of 6-6/3-4. Frances Tiafoe have prevailed in 5 of their last 10 fixtures versus all opponents, whereas Matteo Arnaldi won 6 of their recent 10 games in all competitions, suggesting perhaps Matteo Arnaldi are in the better form approaching this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Matteo Arnaldi
- Frances Tiafoe has won 6 of the last 10 matches he has played, while Matteo Arnaldi has secured 6 victories over the same range.
- Frances Tiafoe has been winning 44% of his own second serve points, and 46% of his opponents, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48% of his second serve points and 43% of his opponents.
- Frances Tiafoe comes into this match having won a 1 hour 18 min battle vs Alexandre Muller in which he managed to win 43% of return points (54/126), hitting 7 aces himself during the match.
- Matteo Arnaldi comes into this match having won a 1 hour 44 min battle vs Damir Dzumhur in which he managed to win 39% of return points (87/223), hitting 24 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Frances Tiafoe has been holding serve 100% of the time (17/17), while Matteo Arnaldi has held his serve 91% of the time (32/35.
Career Performance Prediction: Matteo Arnaldi
- Frances Tiafoe has a career high ranking of 17, while Matteo Arnaldi has a career high rank of 44.
- Frances Tiafoe has claimed 11 Career titles and career earnings of $94,56,385, versus 6 trophies for Matteo Arnaldi and $22,39,275 prize money.
- Frances Tiafoe has a 62% deciding set win % (50/81), compared to 57% for Matteo Arnaldi (33/58)
- The 1st serve of Frances Tiafoe has resulted in him winning 60% of points, and Matteo Arnaldi has won 60% of his first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 51% for Frances Tiafoe and 50% for Matteo Arnaldi.
- After losing the first set, Frances Tiafoe manages to turn the match around and win it 37% of the time, and Matteo Arnaldi has a 28% record in eventually winning the match.
