Find out all the information regarding the betting market for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina sporting event for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid 2025 on the May 1, 2025, in our analysis here. Find out the Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina predictions, betting tips and odds for this match in the section below.
Pick Based On Odds: Aryna Sabalenka to come out on top
- Implied via the sportsbook odds, Aryna Sabalenka are the favorite to get the victory in this fixture with a 65.26% probability to win. Is this a reliable prediction? Yes, as Bookmakers are experts:
Aryna Sabalenka → 1.48
Elina Svitolina → 2.78Prediction Chance Of Win Elina Svitolina 34.74 % Aryna Sabalenka 65.26 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to get our expert picks.
- Looking at the odds for the first set, bookmakers favor Elina Svitolina with odds of 1.61 and an implied probability of 60.05%. This implies Aryna Sabalenka is expected to start strong.:
Aryna Sabalenka → undefined
Elina Svitolina → 1.61Prediction Chance Of First Sets Elina Svitolina 39.95 % first_set_1 60.05 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On Head-to-Head: Aryna Sabalenka to secure victory
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 4 |
| Elina Svitolina | 1 |
H2H: Aryna Sabalenka (4 – 1) Elina Svitolina.
Aryna Sabalenka to win. The reason? Over the last 5 H2H games between them, Aryna Sabalenka are ahead 4 – 1. Our head-to-head data starts from the encounter between them in 2018. This indicates that Aryna Sabalenka are likely to prevail in this upcoming face-off. Their most recent match between them happened on the Fri, 16 Aug 24, where Aryna Sabalenka got a 7-6 – 5-2 victory.
Elina Svitolina have never won against Aryna Sabalenka showing they have little chance.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Elina Svitolina to win
Looking at current performance heading into this fixture, Aryna Sabalenka claimed a win facing Marta Kostyuk with a result of 7-7/6(4)-6(7). Elina Svitolina won against Moyuka Uchijima with a score of 6-6/2-1. Aryna Sabalenka have triumphed in 8 of their last 10 fixtures versus all opponents, while Elina Svitolina prevailed in 10 of their recent 10 games versus all opponents, indicating perhaps Elina Svitolina have an edge approaching this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Elina Svitolina
- Aryna Sabalenka has won 9 of the last 10 matches he has played, while Elina Svitolina has secured 10 victories over the same range.
- Aryna Sabalenka has been winning 40% of his own second serve points, and 51% of his opponents, while Elina Svitolina has won 40% of his second serve points and 51% of his opponents.
- Aryna Sabalenka comes into this match having won a 2 hours 32 min battle vs Marta Kostyuk in which he managed to win 47% of return points (145/306), hitting 12 aces himself during the match.
- Elina Svitolina comes into this match having won a 52 min battle vs Moyuka Uchijima in which he managed to win 50% of return points (103/205), hitting 9 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Aryna Sabalenka has been holding serve 79% of the time (34/43), while Elina Svitolina has held his serve 88% of the time (30/34.
Career Performance Prediction: Elina Svitolina
- Aryna Sabalenka has a career high ranking of 1, while Elina Svitolina has a career high rank of 17.
- Aryna Sabalenka has claimed 25 Career titles and career earnings of $2,90,18,198, versus 25 trophies for Elina Svitolina and $1,63,83,385 prize money.
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 52% deciding set win % (27/52), compared to 53% for Elina Svitolina (35/66)
- The 1st serve of Aryna Sabalenka has resulted in him winning 61% of points, and Elina Svitolina has won 62% of his first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 46% for Aryna Sabalenka and 46% for Elina Svitolina.
- After losing the first set, Aryna Sabalenka manages to turn the match around and win it 29% of the time, and Elina Svitolina has a 27% record in eventually winning the match.
