Access all the details around bookmaking market for the Alex De Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti match for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid 2025 on the April 30, 2025, in this preview below. We reveal the Alex De Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti forecasts, best bets and odds markets for this game in the breakdown below.
Prediction Indicated By Odds: Lorenzo Musetti to come out on top
- Calculated from the bookies odds, Lorenzo Musetti are favored to win in this fixture with a 50.00% chance to win. Is this a reliable prediction? Most likely, because Oddsmakers are experts:
Alex De Minaur → 1.90
Lorenzo Musetti → 1.90Prediction Chance Of Win Lorenzo Musetti 50.00 % Alex De Minaur 50.00 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.
- Based on the odds for the first set, the prediction leans towards Lorenzo Musetti with odds of 1.77 and an implied probability of 54.62%. This suggests Alex De Minaur is expected to take the early lead.:
Alex De Minaur → undefined
Lorenzo Musetti → 1.77Prediction Chance Of First Sets Lorenzo Musetti 45.38 % first_set_1 54.62 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On H2H: Lorenzo Musetti to win the match
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 1 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 2 |
Head-2-Head: Alex De Minaur (1 – 2) Lorenzo Musetti.
Lorenzo Musetti to win. The reason? In the last 3 head-to-head fixtures between these teams, Lorenzo Musetti are winning 1 – 2. Our head-to-head analysis starts from the match they had in 2022. This suggests that Lorenzo Musetti are likely to prevail in this scheduled clash. The last match took place on the Sat, 12 Apr 25, where Alex De Minaur achieved a 6-4-6(4) – 1-6-7 win.
Alex De Minaur have never won Vs Lorenzo Musetti showing they have a low probability.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Alex De Minaur to prevail
Considering recent form before this match, Alex De Minaur won vs Denis Shapovalov with a result of 6-7/3-6(3). Lorenzo Musetti got the win against Stefanos Tsitsipas with a score of 7-7/5-6(3). Alex De Minaur have got the victory in 8 of their last 10 games in all competitions, whereas Lorenzo Musetti prevailed in 6 of their recent 10 games versus all opponents, indicating maybe Alex De Minaur are in the better form approaching this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Alex De Minaur
- Alex De Minaur has won 7 of the last 10 matches he has played, while Lorenzo Musetti has secured 8 victories over the same range.
- Alex De Minaur has been winning 44% of his own second serve points, and 40% of his opponents, while Lorenzo Musetti has won 45% of his second serve points and 46% of his opponents.
- Alex De Minaur comes into this match having won a 1 hour 29 min battle vs Denis Shapovalov in which he managed to win 40% of return points (47/117), hitting 2 aces himself during the match.
- Lorenzo Musetti comes into this match having won a 1 hour 54 min battle vs Stefanos Tsitsipas in which he managed to win 39% of return points (58/148), hitting 5 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Alex De Minaur has been holding serve 95% of the time (18/19), while Lorenzo Musetti has held his serve 91% of the time (21/23.
Career Performance Prediction: Alex De Minaur
- Alex De Minaur has a career high ranking of 7, while Lorenzo Musetti has a career high rank of 11.
- Alex De Minaur has claimed 11 Career titles and career earnings of $1,15,46,085, versus 6 trophies for Lorenzo Musetti and $55,30,905 prize money.
- Alex De Minaur has a 61% deciding set win % (19/31), compared to 65% for Lorenzo Musetti (40/62)
- The 1st serve of Alex De Minaur has resulted in him winning 57% of points, and Lorenzo Musetti has won 66% of his first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 52% for Alex De Minaur and 52% for Lorenzo Musetti.
- After losing the first set, Alex De Minaur manages to turn the match around and win it 24% of the time, and Lorenzo Musetti has a 32% record in eventually winning the match.
