MLB Preview And Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Betting Tips & Picks May 21, 2025

Odds-Based Prediction: Houston Astros to get the victory

• Implied via the sportsbook odds, Houston Astros are the pick to get the victory in this fixture with a 57.64% probability to win. A good prediction? Most likely, as Bookmakers are skilled at predicting:
  Tampa Bay Rays → 2.23
  Houston Astros → 1.74

  Prediction	Chance To Win
  Tampa Bay Rays	44.84 %
  Houston Astros	57.64 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Evaluating the odds for total points suggests a likelihood of a 80.65% expectation of this game having more than 5.5 total points:
  Match Over 5.5 Points → 1.24

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U (incl. EI) (5.5)
  Over	80.65 %
  Under	24.27 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.

• Assessing the odds for points scored suggests there is a 42.74% prediction of this game having more than 9.5 total points scored:
  Match Over 9.5 Points → 2.34

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U (incl. EI) (9.5)
  Over	42.74 %
  Under	60.35 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.

• Calculated from the bookies odds, Houston Astros are the favorite to cover the -1.5 handicap with extra innings included in this fixture, with a 74.63% probability of doing so. A good prediction? Yes, because Oddsmakers are rarely wrong:
  Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Handicap → 3.30
  Houston Astros -1.5 Handicap → 1.34

  Prediction	Chance Of Handicap (incl. EI) (-1.5)
  Tampa Bay Rays	30.3 %
  Houston Astros	74.63 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.

• Calculated via the sportsbook odds, Draw are the favorite to be ahead after the first inning in this fixture with a 55.56% probability of leading. A reliable forecast? Yes, due to Oddsmakers produce sharp predictions:
  Tampa Bay Rays First Inning → 4.60
  Houston Astros First Inning → 3.45
  Draw First Inning → 1.80

  Prediction	Chance Of 1st Inning Result
  Tampa Bay Rays	21.74 %
  Houston Astros	28.99 %
  Draw	55.56 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.

To explore value bets in order make money, read our expert Baseball predictions at Matchstat.com. Reveal today’s best Baseball value bets here.

Prediction Based On Head-to-Head: Houston Astros to win the match

Head-2-Head: Houston Astros (6 – 4) Tampa Bay Rays.
Houston Astros to win. The reason? Analyzing the last 10 H2H matches between them, Houston Astros are winning 6 – 4. Our H2H analysis goes back to the encounter they had in 2003. This suggests that Houston Astros should get the victory in this scheduled game. The latest match was on the Tue, 20 May 25, when Tampa Bay Rays got a 3 – 2 victory.

Can Tampa Bay Rays break the pattern and win? The last time Tampa Bay Rays came out on top vs Houston Astros occurred on Tue, 20 May 25, indicating that they are not without hope.

Prediction Based On Recent Form: Houston Astros to win

Examining current performance heading into this match, Tampa Bay Rays got the win up against Houston Astros with a score of 3-2. Houston Astros faced a loss up against Tampa Bay Rays with a result of 2-3. Tampa Bay Rays have got the victory in 5 of their recent 10 games versus all opponents, while Houston Astros won 6 of their recent 10 matches in all competitions, indicating perhaps Houston Astros are in the better form approaching this match.

Evaluating team streaks reveals crucial insight into current form so we can find out winning wagers

Only Head-to-Head Streaks:

• Houston Astros: 4 Wins.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Top Betting Odds For The Fixture

Winner (incl. overtime)

1W

2.23

2W

1.735

Over Under (incl. extra innings)

> 5.5

1.24

< 5.5

4.12

> 9.5

2.34

< 9.5

1.657

Handicap (incl. extra innings) && -1.5

1W -1.5

3.3

2W -1.5

1.34

First Inning Result

1W

4.6

2W

3.45

X

1.8

Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Tips

Handicap (incl. extra innings) -1.5 → Houston Astros would seem to be a gainful gamble → 1.34