MLB Preview And Prediction: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips & Picks August 27, 2025

Who The Odds Favor: to secure the win

• Evaluating the odds for total points implies a likelihood of a 79.81% expectation of this match having more than 5.5 total points:
  Match Over 5.5 Points → 1.25

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U (incl. EI) (5.5)
  Over	79.81 %
  Under	25.06 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.

• Analyzing the odds for points scored suggests there is a 41.84% prediction of this match having higher than 9.5 total points:
  Match Over 9.5 Points → 2.39

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U (incl. EI) (9.5)
  Over	41.84 %
  Under	61.12 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Calculated from the sportsbook odds, Philadelphia Phillies are the favorite to beat the -1.5 handicap with extra innings included in this match, with a 60.64% probability of doing so. Is this accurate? We think so, as Oddsmakers are skilled at predicting:
  New York Mets -1.5 Handicap → 2.39
  Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Handicap → 1.65

  Prediction	Chance Of Handicap (incl. EI) (-1.5)
  New York Mets	41.84 %
  Philadelphia Phillies	60.64 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Analyzing the odds for total points suggests a likelihood of a 100% prediction of this match having over 4.5 total points:
  Match Over 4.5 Points → 1.00

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U (incl. EI) (4.5)
  Over	100 %
  Under	100 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.

• Derived via the bookies odds, Draw are the favorite to be ahead after the first inning in this match with a 52.36% probability of leading. Is this accurate? Yes, due to Bookmakers produce sharp predictions:
  New York Mets First Inning → 3.34
  Philadelphia Phillies First Inning → 4.10
  Draw First Inning → 1.91

  Prediction	Chance Of 1st Inning Result
  New York Mets	29.94 %
  Philadelphia Phillies	24.39 %
  Draw	52.36 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert picks.

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H2H-Based Prediction: New York Mets to win

Head-to-Head: New York Mets (8 – 2) Philadelphia Phillies.
New York Mets to win. The reason? Over the last 10 H2H encounters between these teams, New York Mets have the edge 8 – 2. Our head-to-head analysis starts from the match between them in 2003. This indicates that New York Mets are likely to win in this upcoming fixture. The last game took place on the Tue, 26 Aug 25, when New York Mets secured a 6 – 5 win.

Can Philadelphia Phillies break the pattern and overcome the H2H stats? The most recent game Philadelphia Phillies won against New York Mets was on Sun, 22 Jun 25, indicating that they could come out on top.

Form-Based Prediction: New York Mets to get the victory

Considering current performance heading into this fixture, New York Mets got the win versus Philadelphia Phillies with a result of 6-5. Philadelphia Phillies lost up against New York Mets with a score of 5-6. New York Mets have won 7 of their recent 10 fixtures vs all teams, while Philadelphia Phillies triumphed in 6 of their last 10 matches versus all opponents, suggesting maybe New York Mets are in better shape heading into this match.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Best Betting Odds For The Fixture

Winner (incl. extra innings)

1W

1.649

2W

2.41

Over Under (incl. extra innings)

> 5.5

1.253

< 5.5

3.99

> 9.5

2.39

< 9.5

1.636

> 4.5

1

< 4.5

1

Handicap (incl. extra innings) && -1.5

1W -1.5

2.39

2W -1.5

1.649

First Inning Result

1W

3.34

2W

4.1

X

1.91

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Tips

First Inning Result → Draw looks to be a reasonable wager → 1.91