Uncover all the facts for the betting market for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniil Medvedev contest for the Internazionali BNL d’Italia – Rome 2025 on the May 13, 2025, in the following analysis. Learn the Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniil Medvedev picks, betting tips and odds for this game in the section below.
Who The Odds Predict: Lorenzo Musetti to win
- Calculated from the sportsbook odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the favorite to come out on top in this match with a 53.01% chance to win. An accurate tip? Most likely, due to Bookies are skilfull analysts:
Lorenzo Musetti → 1.80
Daniil Medvedev → 2.03Prediction Chance Of Win Daniil Medvedev 46.99 % Lorenzo Musetti 53.01 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.
- Based on the odds for the first set, the most likely winner Daniil Medvedev with odds of 1.67 and an implied probability of 58.25%. This implies Lorenzo Musetti is expected to start strong.:
Lorenzo Musetti → undefined
Daniil Medvedev → 1.67Prediction Chance Of First Sets Daniil Medvedev 41.75 % first_set_1 58.25 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.
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H2H-Based Prediction: Daniil Medvedev to triumph
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 2 |
H2H: Lorenzo Musetti (0 – 2) Daniil Medvedev.
Daniil Medvedev to win. What’s the reasoning? Analyzing the last 2 H2H fixtures between these players, Daniil Medvedev is ahead 0 – 2. Our H2H data starts from the encounter they had in 2023. This suggests that Daniil Medvedev should get the victory in this scheduled face-off. The last match between them was on the Wed, 16 Aug 23, when Daniil Medvedev secured a 6-6 – 3-2 win.
Lorenzo Musetti has never got the victory against Daniil Medvedev indicating they have a low probability.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: A 50/50 call
Examining team momentum heading into this match, Lorenzo Musetti won versus Brandon Nakashima with a score of 6-6/4-3. Daniil Medvedev won vs Alexei Popyrin with a result of 6-6/4-1. Lorenzo Musetti have won 6 of their last 10 fixtures vs all teams, while Daniil Medvedev triumphed in 6 of their last 10 fixtures versus all opponents, indicating perhaps this match is too close to call.
Recent Form Prediction: Close to call
- Lorenzo Musetti has won 8 of the last 10 matches played, while Daniil Medvedev has secured 6 victories over the same range.
- Lorenzo Musetti has been winning 43% of their own second serve points, and 45% of their opponents, while Daniil Medvedev has won 43% of their second serve points and 46% of their opponents.
- Lorenzo Musetti comes into this match having won a 1 hour 23 min battle vs Brandon Nakashima in which he managed to win 41% of return points (47/114), hitting 5 aces himself during the match.
- Daniil Medvedev comes into this match having won a 1 hour 26 min battle vs Alexei Popyrin in which he managed to win 46% of return points (62/134), hitting 8 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Lorenzo Musetti has been holding serve 100% of the time (18/18), while Daniil Medvedev has held their serve 88% of the time (15/17.
Career Performance Prediction: Close to call
- Lorenzo Musetti has a career high ranking of 9, while Daniil Medvedev has a career high rank of 11.
- Lorenzo Musetti has claimed 6 Career titles and career earnings of $56,21,350, versus 25 trophies for Daniil Medvedev and $3,19,21,765 prize money.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 65% deciding set win % (40/62), compared to 69% for Daniil Medvedev (29/42)
- The 1st serve of Lorenzo Musetti has resulted in him winning 66% of points, and Daniil Medvedev has won 58% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 52% for Lorenzo Musetti and 49% for Daniil Medvedev.
- After losing the first set, Lorenzo Musetti manages to turn the match around and win it 32% of the time, and Daniil Medvedev has a 30% record in eventually winning the match.
