Access all the information regarding the bookmaking market for the Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz encounter for the Internazionali BNL d’Italia – Rome 2025 on the May 13, 2025, in our analysis here. We uncover the Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions, best bets & odds markets for this game in the our preview below.
Prediction Based On Odds: Carlos Alcaraz to win
- Implied via the bookies odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to get the victory in this match with a 81.24% chance to win. An accurate tip? Yes, due to Sportsbooks are skilled at predicting:
Karen Khachanov → 5.24
Carlos Alcaraz → 1.21Prediction Chance Of Win Karen Khachanov 18.76 % Carlos Alcaraz 81.24 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.
To explore value bets in order make money, read our in-depth Tennis predictions at Matchstat.com. Reveal today’s top Tennis value bets here.
Prediction Based On Head-to-Head: Carlos Alcaraz to win
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | 0 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 4 |
Head-2-Head: Karen Khachanov (0 – 4) Carlos Alcaraz.
Carlos Alcaraz to win. The reason? In the last 4 direct fixtures between these players, Carlos Alcaraz has the edge 0 – 4. Our head-to-head analysis starts from the game between them in 2022. This suggests that Carlos Alcaraz is likely to prevail in this scheduled fixture. The last match took place on the Mon, 30 Sept 24, when Carlos Alcaraz got a 7-6 – 5-2 victory.
Karen Khachanov has never won against Carlos Alcaraz indicating they have a low probability.
Current Form Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz to win
Analyzing team momentum heading into this game, Karen Khachanov won versus Francesco Passaro with a score of 6-6/3-0. Carlos Alcaraz triumphed facing Laslo Djere with a score of 7-6/6(2)-2. Karen Khachanov have triumphed in 6 of their recent 10 games versus all opponents, while Carlos Alcaraz got the victory in 9 of their last 10 matches against all teams, suggesting perhaps Carlos Alcaraz is in better shape approaching this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz
- Karen Khachanov has won 6 of the last 10 matches played, while Carlos Alcaraz has secured 9 victories over the same range.
- Karen Khachanov has been winning 44% of their own second serve points, and 45% of their opponents, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 43% of their second serve points and 43% of their opponents.
- Karen Khachanov comes into this match having won a 1 hour 1 min battle vs Francesco Passaro in which he managed to win 50% of return points (69/137), hitting 6 aces himself during the match.
- Carlos Alcaraz comes into this match having won a 1 hour 43 min battle vs Laslo Djere in which he managed to win 45% of return points (63/139), hitting 4 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Karen Khachanov has been holding serve 82% of the time (18/22), while Carlos Alcaraz has held their serve 84% of the time (16/19.
Career Performance Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz
- Karen Khachanov has a career high ranking of 24, while Carlos Alcaraz has a career high rank of 3.
- Karen Khachanov has claimed 14 Career titles and career earnings of $1,31,26,598, versus 26 trophies for Carlos Alcaraz and $2,79,35,945 prize money.
- Karen Khachanov has a 53% deciding set win % (35/66), compared to 74% for Carlos Alcaraz (50/68)
- The 1st serve of Karen Khachanov has resulted in him winning 60% of points, and Carlos Alcaraz has won 67% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 52% for Karen Khachanov and 54% for Carlos Alcaraz.
- After losing the first set, Karen Khachanov manages to turn the match around and win it 26% of the time, and Carlos Alcaraz has a 49% record in eventually winning the match.
