Uncover all the information for the betting market for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti contest for the Internazionali BNL d’Italia – Rome 2025 on the May 16, 2025, in this preview below. Find out the Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti forecasts, betting tips and odds for this fixture in the breakdown beneath.
Who The Odds Predict: Carlos Alcaraz to secure the win
- Calculated via the bookies odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite to come out on top in this fixture with a 67.87% probability to win. An accurate tip? Yes, because Bookies are highly accurate:
Carlos Alcaraz → 1.43
Lorenzo Musetti → 3.02Prediction Chance Of Win Lorenzo Musetti 32.13 % Carlos Alcaraz 67.87 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On Head-to-Head: Carlos Alcaraz to win
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 5 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 1 |
Head To Head: Carlos Alcaraz (5 – 1) Lorenzo Musetti.
Carlos Alcaraz to win. The reason? Analyzing the last 6 direct fixtures between them, Carlos Alcaraz has the edge 5 – 1. Our H2H data goes back to the battle between them in 2020. This implies that Carlos Alcaraz is likely to prevail in this upcoming game. The last match took place on the Sun, 13 Apr 25, where Carlos Alcaraz achieved a 3-6-6 – 6-1-0 win.
Lorenzo Musetti has never got the win against Carlos Alcaraz showing they have little chance.
Form-Based Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz to get the victory
Looking at team momentum before this game, Carlos Alcaraz got the win vs Jack Draper with a score of 6-6/4-4. Lorenzo Musetti secured victory vs Alexander Zverev with a result of 7-6/6(1)-4. Carlos Alcaraz have prevailed in 9 of their last 10 matches vs all teams, while Lorenzo Musetti got the victory in 8 of their recent 10 fixtures versus all opponents, suggesting perhaps Carlos Alcaraz has an edge approaching this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz has won 9 of the last 10 matches played, while Lorenzo Musetti has secured 8 victories over the same range.
- Carlos Alcaraz has been winning 43% of their own second serve points, and 43% of their opponents, while Lorenzo Musetti has won 44% of their second serve points and 45% of their opponents.
- Carlos Alcaraz comes into this match having won a 1 hour 37 min battle vs Jack Draper in which he managed to win 44% of return points (120/274), hitting 6 aces himself during the match.
- Lorenzo Musetti comes into this match having won a 2 hours 15 min battle vs Alexander Zverev in which he managed to win 41% of return points (100/245), hitting 11 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Carlos Alcaraz has been holding serve 80% of the time (35/44), while Lorenzo Musetti has held their serve 93% of the time (37/40.
Career Performance Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz has a career high ranking of 3, while Lorenzo Musetti has a career high rank of 9.
- Carlos Alcaraz has claimed 26 Career titles and career earnings of $2,81,36,540, versus 6 trophies for Lorenzo Musetti and $58,21,945 prize money.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 74% deciding set win % (51/69), compared to 65% for Lorenzo Musetti (40/62)
- The 1st serve of Carlos Alcaraz has resulted in him winning 67% of points, and Lorenzo Musetti has won 66% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 54% for Carlos Alcaraz and 53% for Lorenzo Musetti.
- After losing the first set, Carlos Alcaraz manages to turn the match around and win it 49% of the time, and Lorenzo Musetti has a 32% record in eventually winning the match.
