Access all the facts around staking market for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk game for the Internazionali BNL d’Italia – Rome 2025 on the May 12, 2025, in the forecast below. Get all the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk picks, best bets and odds for this game in the our report below.
Who The Odds Favor: Aryna Sabalenka to get the victory
- Implied from the sportsbook odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to come out on top in this fixture with a 75.89% chance to win. A solid prediction? Most likely, due to Oddsmakers are skilled at predicting:
Aryna Sabalenka → 1.29
Marta Kostyuk → 4.06Prediction Chance Of Win Marta Kostyuk 24.11 % Aryna Sabalenka 75.89 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.
- Looking at the odds for the first set, the most likely winner Marta Kostyuk with odds of 1.42 and an implied probability of 67.21%. This implies Aryna Sabalenka is expected to come out on top early in the match.:
Aryna Sabalenka → undefined
Marta Kostyuk → 1.42Prediction Chance Of First Sets Marta Kostyuk 32.79 % first_set_1 67.21 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.
For deeper insights so you can make money, check out our expert Tennis predictions at Matchstat.com. Reveal today’s top Tennis edge bets here.
H2H-Based Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka to win the match
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 3 |
| Marta Kostyuk | 0 |
Head-2-Head: Aryna Sabalenka (3 – 0) Marta Kostyuk.
Aryna Sabalenka to win. The reason? In the last 3 H2H fixtures between these two sides, Aryna Sabalenka is up 3 – 0. Our H2H data starts from the game between them in 2022. This implies that Aryna Sabalenka is likely to get the victory in this upcoming face-off. The latest fixture took place on the Wed, 30 Apr 25, when Aryna Sabalenka got a 7-7 – 6(4)-6(7) victory.
Marta Kostyuk has never got the win against Aryna Sabalenka suggesting they have a low probability.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Aryna Sabalenka to get the victory
Analyzing recent form heading into this game, Aryna Sabalenka triumphed against Sofia Kenin with a result of 3-6-6/6-3-3. Marta Kostyuk got the win facing Leylah Annie Fernandez with a score of 6-6/4-2. Aryna Sabalenka have triumphed in 9 of their last 10 games in all competitions, whereas Marta Kostyuk got the victory in 7 of their recent 10 matches in all competitions, indicating perhaps Aryna Sabalenka has an edge heading into this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka
- Aryna Sabalenka has won 9 of the last 10 matches played, while Marta Kostyuk has secured 7 victories over the same range.
- Aryna Sabalenka has been winning 39% of their own second serve points, and 50% of their opponents, while Marta Kostyuk has won 40% of their second serve points and 49% of their opponents.
- Aryna Sabalenka comes into this match having won a 2 hours 13 min battle vs Sofia Kenin in which he managed to win 49% of return points (88/180), hitting 5 aces himself during the match.
- Marta Kostyuk comes into this match having won a 1 hour 34 min battle vs Leylah Annie Fernandez in which he managed to win 54% of return points (99/184), hitting 10 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Aryna Sabalenka has been holding serve 76% of the time (16/21), while Marta Kostyuk has held their serve 83% of the time (20/24.
Career Performance Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka
- Aryna Sabalenka has a career high ranking of 1, while Marta Kostyuk has a career high rank of 27.
- Aryna Sabalenka has claimed 26 Career titles and career earnings of $2,90,84,308, versus 4 trophies for Marta Kostyuk and $43,01,938 prize money.
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 53% deciding set win % (28/53), compared to 66% for Marta Kostyuk (25/38)
- The 1st serve of Aryna Sabalenka has resulted in her winning 61% of points, and Marta Kostyuk has won 61% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 46% for Aryna Sabalenka and 43% for Marta Kostyuk.
- After losing the first set, Aryna Sabalenka manages to turn the match around and win it 30% of the time, and Marta Kostyuk has a 19% record in eventually winning the match.
