Find out all the insights for the bookmaking market for the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz sporting event for the French Open – Paris 2025 on the June 8, 2025, in our analysis here. We uncover the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz forecasts, betting tips and odds markets for this fixture in the our preview below.
Forecast Based On Odds: Carlos Alcaraz to triumph
- Implied via the bookies odds, Carlos Alcaraz is favored to come out on top in this match with a 50.26% probability to win. A good prediction? Yes, because Sportsbooks are experts:
Jannik Sinner → 1.93
Carlos Alcaraz → 1.91Prediction Chance Of Win Carlos Alcaraz 50.26 % Jannik Sinner 49.74 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.
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Prediction Based On H2H: Carlos Alcaraz to secure victory
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 4 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 8 |
Head-2-Head: Jannik Sinner (4 – 8) Carlos Alcaraz.
Carlos Alcaraz to win. The reason? Over the last 12 direct fixtures between these two sides, Carlos Alcaraz has the edge 4 – 8. Our head-to-head analysis starts from the encounter between them in 2022. This implies that Carlos Alcaraz should win in this scheduled match. Their most recent fixture was on the Sun, 18 May 25, when Carlos Alcaraz achieved a 7-6 – 6(5)-1 win.
Jannik Sinner has never got the victory against Carlos Alcaraz suggesting they have a low probability.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Nip and tuck
Analyzing recent form heading into this game, Jannik Sinner secured victory against Novak Djokovic with a score of 6-7-7/4-5-6(3). Carlos Alcaraz suffered a defeat facing Lorenzo Musetti with a score of 4-7-6-2-ret./6-6(3)-0-0-. Jannik Sinner have prevailed in 9 of their last 10 fixtures versus all opponents, whereas Carlos Alcaraz won 9 of their last 10 fixtures in all competitions, suggesting maybe this match is too close to call.
Recent Form Prediction: Close to call
- Jannik Sinner has won 9 of the last 10 matches played, while Carlos Alcaraz has secured 10 victories over the same range.
- Jannik Sinner has been winning 41% of their own second serve points, and 37% of their opponents, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 43% of their second serve points and 43% of their opponents.
- Jannik Sinner comes into this match having won a 3 hours 16 min battle vs Novak Djokovic in which he managed to win 45% of return points (243/542), hitting 30 aces himself during the match.
- Carlos Alcaraz comes into this match having won a 2 hours 25 min battle vs Lorenzo Musetti in which he managed to win 45% of return points (288/642), hitting 21 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Jannik Sinner has been holding serve 96% of the time (78/81), while Carlos Alcaraz has held their serve 89% of the time (85/95.
Career Performance Prediction: Close to call
- Jannik Sinner has a career high ranking of 1, while Carlos Alcaraz has a career high rank of 2.
- Jannik Sinner has claimed 25 Career titles and career earnings of $2,79,12,900, versus 27 trophies for Carlos Alcaraz and $3,01,05,530 prize money.
- Jannik Sinner has a 63% deciding set win % (25/40), compared to 74% for Carlos Alcaraz (51/69)
- The 1st serve of Jannik Sinner has resulted in him winning 59% of points, and Carlos Alcaraz has won 67% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 53% for Jannik Sinner and 55% for Carlos Alcaraz.
- After losing the first set, Jannik Sinner manages to turn the match around and win it 32% of the time, and Carlos Alcaraz has a 50% record in eventually winning the match.
