The forthcoming match in the National league is scheduled to take place on Friday, April 18, 2025. Analyzing the recent face-offs between these two teams, US Concarneau has dominated with three consecutive victories, while Bourg-en-Bresse has yet to secure a win or draw against them. The previous encounter on December 6, 2024, saw US Concarneau triumphing 2-1 at home.

The statistics from their last match reveal a discrepancy in ball possession, with US Concarneau holding 59% compared to Bourg-en-Bresse's 41%. Interestingly, despite Bourg-en-Bresse attempting 12 total shots to US Concarneau's 10, the expected goals were somewhat close at 1.48 for US Concarneau and 1.38 for Bourg-en-Bresse. Defensively, US Concarneau's goalkeeper was tested with 3 saves versus Bourg-en-Bresse's 1. The corner count and fouls also favored US Concarneau by slim margins, highlighting their edge in competitive encounters.

Looking at their respective league standings, US Concarneau finds themselves in 12th position, contrasting with Bourg-en-Bresse's 9th place, indicating relative proximity in performance this season. US Concarneau will need to pay special attention to R. Laspalles, Bourg-en-Bresse's leading playmaker with three assists. Concurrently, Bourg-en-Bresse must contend with the formidable scoring threat posed by B. Mouazan, US Concarneau's top scorer with five goals this season. Interestingly, there is no significant advantage in average possession or corner statistics, as both teams currently average negligible percentages this season.

The disciplinary records show US Concarneau accumulating 50 yellow cards, alongside 5 red cards and conceding 5 penalty goals, whereas Bourg-en-Bresse bears 39 yellow cards, 4 red cards, and 2 penalty goals conceded, slightly indicating a more disciplined approach. As for current form leading into the game, US Concarneau suffered a close defeat of 3-4 to FC Rouen, while Bourg-en-Bresse clinched a narrow 1-0 victory against Paris 13 Atletico.

In conclusion, based on head-to-head statistics, recent outcomes, and squad discipline, US Concarneau appears to carry the advantage into this match. However, with Bourg-en-Bresse's recent form and standing in the league, they will likely mount a strong challenge. Analyzing these factors, US Concarneau is projected to secure the win, extending their historical dominance over Bourg-en-Bresse.