Liverpool UY vs Progreso: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Sun, 26 Oct '25)

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 22 Oct, 09:49 AM UTC

Next Match 26/10/25 at 07:00 PM

Liverpool UY vs Progreso
📍 Estadio Belvedere, Uruguay.

Scheduled H2H Match For Liverpool UY Vs Progreso

Liga AUF Uruguaya, Clausura

Sun, 26 Oct 2025 at 07:00 PM UTC

Liverpool UY
Liverpool UY

URY URY

Recent Form

L
W
W
D
W
Progreso
Progreso

URY URY

Recent Form

W
D
W
W
L

5

Win

Last 10 Played

10
1 Draws

4

Win

4
Position
9
Joaquín Papa Monestier
Manager
Leonel Rocco

Game Schedule - Time Of Fixture

Liverpool UY will square off vs Progreso in Liga AUF Uruguaya, Clausura on Sun, 26 Oct 2025 at 07:00 PM UTC. Let’s investigate historical performances, recent stats and head-2-head information to find out the most accurate picks and best bets.

Liverpool UY vs Progreso Pick

Based on the implicit probability from the moneyline, Liverpool Montevideo have a 58.82% to get the victory. Implied possibility based on the odds, also reveals there is a 54.64% chance of BTTS. Subscribe to the football picks premium plan to get data on implicit vs our expert predictions to discover edge so you can make successful bets Matchstat.com football predictions premium plan to get data on implied and actual predictions to discover edge so you can win big

PredictionChance to win
Liverpool UY58.82 %
Progreso20.66 %
Draw24.57 %

Above win % is implied from odds. Login / Signup to get our expert picks.

Liverpool UY vs Progreso H2H Match Summary

For the most recent 10 head-to-head matches between these rivals, Liverpool UY have come out on top 5 times and Progreso have won on 4 occasion.


Head-to-Head (Last 10 Matches)
Liverpool UY5
Draw1
Progreso4

Liverpool UY Vs Progreso Performance stats

Editorial Prediction:

The upcoming match in the Liga AUF Uruguaya will be hosted at the Estadio Belvedere, Uruguay on Sunday, October 26, 2025, local time. This game features Liverpool UY against Progreso, teams with contrasting recent head-to-head records and current form.

In the last three encounters between these two sides, Liverpool UY has secured two victories, while Progreso has one win. Their most recent clash occurred on Sunday, April 27, 2025, where Liverpool UY triumphed 2-0 away from home.

As Liverpool UY approach this match, they carry momentum from a recent 1-0 victory over Plaza Colonia. Progreso, on the other hand, is recovering from a narrow 2-3 loss to Defensor Sporting. Currently, Liverpool UY sits third in their domestic league standings, whereas Progreso holds the ninth position.

Key players are likely to play a significant role in this contest. Liverpool UY's top scorer, A. Hernández, has 23 goals this season and will require Progreso's defense's full attention. Conversely, Liverpool UY's defense will need to keep close tabs on A. Moreira, who has provided the most assists for Progreso, with four.

The individual performances also spotlight notable players, with Liverpool UY boasting top ratings for Nicolás Vallejo (7.63), Hugo Quintana (7.46), and Abel Hernández (7.19). Progreso's standouts include Nahuel López (7.25), Agustín Moreira (7.13), and Ignacio Lemmo (7.12).

Analyzing team statistics, Liverpool UY has an average possession percentage of 56.7% this season, while Progreso holds a 44.9% share. Regarding corner kicks, Liverpool UY averages 4.38 per match compared to Progreso's 5.06.

Discipline is another aspect to consider, with Liverpool UY receiving 67 yellow cards, 7 red cards, and conceding 4 penalty goals thus far. Similarly, Progreso has amassed 99 yellow cards, 7 red cards, and allowed 4 penalty goals this season.

Examining all these factors, Liverpool UY appears to have the edge given their recent form and ranking in the league, positioning them as likely favorites to win the upcoming match. Evaluating current form is crucial when making precise predictions.

Liverpool UY vs Progreso Best Odds For The Match

Full Time Result
1W
1.7
2W
4.84
X
4.07
Over Under Full Time
> 1.5
1.295
< 1.5
3.55
> 2.5
1.97
< 2.5
1.884
Asian Handicap
1W -1.5
2.87
2W -1.5
1.416
Over Under First Half
> 1.5
2.88
< 1.5
1.43
Both Teams To Score
Yes
1.83
No
1.84
Draw No Bet
1W
1.29
2W
3.35
Over Under Second Half
> 1.5
2.02
< 1.5
1.68

Liverpool UY vs Progreso Past H2H Matches

278
Liga AUF Uruguaya
06:15 PM
27/04/25
3238
Progreso
0
6879
Liverpool UY
2
12:45 PM
03/11/24
6879
Liverpool UY
2
3238
Progreso
1
06:00 PM
28/04/24
3238
Progreso
2
6879
Liverpool UY
1
03:30 PM
03/10/21
6879
Liverpool UY
0
3238
Progreso
1
06:00 PM
04/06/21
3238
Progreso
1
6879
Liverpool UY
3
01:00 PM
30/01/21
3238
Progreso
0
6879
Liverpool UY
4
08:00 PM
25/01/21
3238
Progreso
6879
Liverpool UY
08:00 PM
05/12/20
3238
Progreso
1
6879
Liverpool UY
2
08:00 PM
08/03/20
6879
Liverpool UY
1
3238
Progreso
1
07:00 PM
22/09/19
3238
Progreso
2
6879
Liverpool UY
1
07:30 PM
02/03/19
6879
Liverpool UY
3
3238
Progreso
5
07:00 PM
06/10/18
3238
Progreso
1
6879
Liverpool UY
1
07:00 PM
29/09/18
3238
Progreso
6879
Liverpool UY
07:00 PM
08/04/18
6879
Liverpool UY
1
3238
Progreso
1
07:00 PM
20/04/13
3238
Progreso
0
6879
Liverpool UY
2
07:00 PM
29/10/12
6879
Liverpool UY
3
3238
Progreso
1
1908
Uruguayan Segunda División
01:15 PM
18/04/15
3238
Progreso
1
6879
Liverpool UY
1
07:00 PM
15/11/14
6879
Liverpool UY
6
3238
Progreso
0

Head To Head Streaks

3238
Without clean sheet
3
(Both)
More than 2.5 goals
5/7
6879
First to score
6/8
6879
First half winner
6/8
(Both)
More than 4.5 cards
9/10

Team Streaks

6879
No losses
4
6879
More than 2.5 goals
5/7
3238
Less than 2.5 goals
5/6
6879
Both teams scoring
6/8
6879
First to score
4/5
6879
More than 4.5 cards
6/6
3238
Less than 10.5 corners
5/5

Liverpool UY Recent Matches

278
Liga AUF Uruguaya (28 Matches)
10:00 PM
20/10/25
3235
Plaza Colonia
0
6879
Liverpool UY
1
W
03:30 PM
11/10/25
6879
Liverpool UY
2
25010
Racing de Montevideo
2
D
07:00 PM
03/10/25
3237
River Plate UY
0
6879
Liverpool UY
1
W
06:30 PM
27/09/25
6879
Liverpool UY
2
174970
Boston River
1
W
09:30 PM
20/09/25
3230
Nacional
3
6879
Liverpool UY
1
L
06:30 PM
13/09/25
6879
Liverpool UY
2
3227
Peñarol
2
D
11:30 PM
07/09/25
174972
Montevideo City Torque
1
6879
Liverpool UY
1
D
04:30 PM
30/08/25
6879
Liverpool UY
2
3229
Defensor Sporting
0
W
06:30 PM
24/08/25
22011
Cerro
2
6879
Liverpool UY
1
L
06:30 PM
16/08/25
6879
Liverpool UY
2
3240
Montevideo Wanderers
1
W
09:30 PM
10/08/25
6880
Miramar Misiones
0
6879
Liverpool UY
1
W
06:00 PM
03/08/25
6879
Liverpool UY
0
3228
Danubio
0
D
03:00 PM
28/06/25
6879
Liverpool UY
1
3240
Montevideo Wanderers
2
L
02:00 PM
22/06/25
3237
River Plate UY
2
6879
Liverpool UY
1
L
06:00 PM
19/06/25
6879
Liverpool UY
3
3227
Peñarol
2
W
11:00 PM
14/06/25
3229
Defensor Sporting
4
6879
Liverpool UY
2
L
02:00 PM
07/06/25
6879
Liverpool UY
2
25009
Cerro Largo
1
W
08:30 PM
31/05/25
3235
Plaza Colonia
1
6879
Liverpool UY
1
D
06:00 PM
25/05/25
6879
Liverpool UY
0
22011
Cerro
0
D
06:00 PM
18/05/25
6879
Liverpool UY
1
25009
Cerro Largo
0
W
06:00 PM
04/05/25
3224
Juventud de Las Piedras
1
6879
Liverpool UY
0
L
06:15 PM
27/04/25
3238
Progreso
0
6879
Liverpool UY
2
W
06:00 PM
20/04/25
6879
Liverpool UY
1
3235
Plaza Colonia
0
W
06:30 PM
14/04/25
25010
Racing de Montevideo
1
6879
Liverpool UY
1
D
05:30 PM
06/04/25
6879
Liverpool UY
0
3237
River Plate UY
0
D
10:15 PM
29/03/25
174970
Boston River
0
6879
Liverpool UY
1
W
07:30 PM
26/03/25
6879
Liverpool UY
2
3230
Nacional
2
D
11:00 PM
20/03/25
3227
Peñarol
0
6879
Liverpool UY
3
W
18877
Copa Uruguay (2 Matches)
11:30 PM
10/09/25
3227
Peñarol
2
6879
Liverpool UY
1
L
06:00 PM
07/08/25
420129
Durazno FC
1
6879
Liverpool UY
3
W

Progreso Recent Matches

278
Liga AUF Uruguaya (30 Matches)
06:30 PM
19/10/25
3238
Progreso
2
3229
Defensor Sporting
3
L
10:00 PM
10/10/25
3235
Plaza Colonia
0
3238
Progreso
1
W
01:30 PM
05/10/25
3238
Progreso
2
22011
Cerro
0
W
07:00 PM
29/09/25
25010
Racing de Montevideo
0
3238
Progreso
0
D
01:30 PM
21/09/25
3238
Progreso
2
3240
Montevideo Wanderers
0
W
01:30 PM
14/09/25
3237
River Plate UY
0
3238
Progreso
0
D
06:30 PM
07/09/25
3238
Progreso
3
6880
Miramar Misiones
2
W
11:30 PM
31/08/25
174970
Boston River
2
3238
Progreso
1
L
01:30 PM
24/08/25
3238
Progreso
1
3228
Danubio
0
W
09:00 PM
16/08/25
3230
Nacional
3
3238
Progreso
1
L
02:00 PM
09/08/25
3238
Progreso
1
25009
Cerro Largo
2
L
11:00 PM
01/08/25
3227
Peñarol
2
3238
Progreso
1
L
03:30 PM
29/06/25
3224
Juventud de Las Piedras
2
3238
Progreso
0
L
06:00 PM
22/06/25
25010
Racing de Montevideo
3
3238
Progreso
0
L
03:30 PM
19/06/25
3238
Progreso
2
174970
Boston River
0
W
07:00 PM
13/06/25
174972
Montevideo City Torque
3
3238
Progreso
1
L
01:30 PM
08/06/25
3238
Progreso
1
6880
Miramar Misiones
0
W
06:00 PM
31/05/25
3238
Progreso
0
3228
Danubio
1
L
11:30 PM
23/05/25
3230
Nacional
1
3238
Progreso
0
L
06:00 PM
18/05/25
3238
Progreso
1
3224
Juventud de Las Piedras
2
L
01:45 PM
04/05/25
174972
Montevideo City Torque
2
3238
Progreso
3
W
06:15 PM
27/04/25
3238
Progreso
0
6879
Liverpool UY
2
L
10:30 PM
20/04/25
3229
Defensor Sporting
1
3238
Progreso
2
W
04:00 PM
12/04/25
3238
Progreso
1
3235
Plaza Colonia
1
D
01:00 PM
06/04/25
22011
Cerro
0
3238
Progreso
0
D
01:00 PM
30/03/25
3238
Progreso
0
25010
Racing de Montevideo
1
L
10:00 PM
27/03/25
3240
Montevideo Wanderers
1
3238
Progreso
1
D
06:30 PM
23/03/25
3238
Progreso
2
3237
River Plate UY
1
W
12:45 AM
16/03/25
6880
Miramar Misiones
1
3238
Progreso
1
D
08:00 PM
09/03/25
3238
Progreso
2
174970
Boston River
2
D

Liverpool UY Next Fixtures

Progreso Next Fixtures

Liverpool UY Last Match Played stats

Plaza Colonia vs Liverpool UY

Final Score :0 - 1

(H)Match overview (A)
44%Ball possession56%
0.46Expected goals1.49
6Total shots9
1Goalkeeper saves2
16Corner kicks3
12Fouls9
278Passes377
3Tackles0
3Free kicks2
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
(H)Shots (A)
6Total shots9
1Shots on target2
0Hit woodwork0
3Shots off target7
2Blocked shots0
2Shots inside box6
4Shots outside box3
(H)Attack (A)
1Through balls1
16Touches in penalty area15
4Offsides1
(H)Passes (A)
188Accurate passes300
27Throw-ins14
42/65 (65%)Final third phase47/64 (73%)
35/64 (54%)Long balls27/43 (62%)
8/26 (30%)Crosses7/13 (53%)
(H)Duels (A)
32%Duels44%
4Dispossessed7
35/119 (29%)Ground duels48/118 (41%)
23/59 (39%)Aerial duels35/67 (52%)
11/14 (79%)Dribbles19/23 (83%)
(H)Defending (A)
3Total tackles0
12Interceptions26
16Clearances22
1Errors lead to a shot0
(H)Goalkeeping (A)
1Total saves2
0High claims4
9Goal kicks7

Progreso Last Match Played stats

Progreso vs Defensor Sporting

Final Score :2 - 3

(H)Match overview (A)
51%Ball possession49%
1.81Expected goals1.21
15Total shots14
3Goalkeeper saves4
3Corner kicks3
17Fouls8
367Passes290
5Tackles5
5Free kicks2
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
(H)Shots (A)
15Total shots14
6Shots on target6
0Hit woodwork0
5Shots off target6
4Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box9
6Shots outside box5
(H)Attack (A)
0Through balls1
20Touches in penalty area14
3Offsides0
(H)Passes (A)
270Accurate passes201
28Throw-ins25
41/66 (62%)Final third phase23/52 (44%)
37/68 (54%)Long balls27/63 (42%)
10/18 (55%)Crosses7/14 (50%)
(H)Duels (A)
36%Duels42%
7Dispossessed6
36/86 (42%)Ground duels27/88 (31%)
9/37 (24%)Aerial duels33/52 (63%)
14/17 (82%)Dribbles5/8 (63%)
(H)Defending (A)
5Total tackles5
7Interceptions17
18Clearances8
3Errors lead to a shot3
(H)Goalkeeping (A)
3Total saves4
1High claims0
11Goal kicks8

Liverpool UY Vs Progreso Season Stats

Liverpool UYPerformance SummaryProgreso
34Matches34
48Goals Scored36
33Goals Conceded51
1.41Goals per Game1.06
0.97Goals Conceded per Game1.5
56.60%Ball Possession44.90%
14Clean Sheets10
9.76Fouls per Game12.41
1.18Offsides per Game1.56
6.26Goal Kicks per Game9.41
2.03Yellow Cards per Game2.91
7Red Cards0

Primera Division 2025, Clausura Standings

POSTEAMMPWLDPTS
1PeñarolPeñarol1392229
2NacionalNacional1281324
3Montevideo City TorqueMontevideo City Torque1373324
4Liverpool UYLiverpool UY1262422
5CerroCerro1375122
6Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1375122
7Boston RiverBoston River1251621
8Cerro LargoCerro Largo1354419
9ProgresoProgreso1255217
10DanubioDanubio1245315
11Racing de MontevideoRacing de Montevideo1335514
12Miramar MisionesMiramar Misiones1236312
13Juventud de Las PiedrasJuventud de Las Piedras1337312
14Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia132928
15River Plate UYRiver Plate UY121747
16Montevideo WanderersMontevideo Wanderers121925
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