Lithuania vs Poland: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Sun, 12 Oct '25)

The upcoming encounter in the World Cup Qualifying UEFA will see Lithuania facing off against Poland on Sunday, 12 October 2025. Historical meetings between the two sides highlight Poland's dominance, with Poland securing two wins out of their last three encounters, while Lithuania has yet to claim a victory, and one match ended in a stalemate. The most recent clash occurred on Friday, 21 March 2025, where Poland edged Lithuania with a narrow 1-0 victory on Polish soil.

Analyzing recent performances, Lithuania's form seems less promising as they come into this match following a 2-3 defeat against the Netherlands. In contrast, Poland has gained momentum with a convincing 3-1 win over Finland. This contrast in recent form could be pivotal in predicting the outcome of their impending battle.

When assessing individual player performances, Lithuania's offensive threat is led by F. Černych, who has netted two goals this season. On the other hand, Poland will look to capitalize on the playmaking prowess of R. Lewandowski, who has orchestrated four assists thus far. According to player ratings, Lithuania's standout performers include Tomas Švedkauskas with a rating of 8.25, Linas Megelaitis at 6.9, and Vykintas Slivka earning a 6.78. From Poland, Robert Lewandowski shines with a 7.93 rating, closely followed by Robert Gumny with 7.9 and Tomasz Kędziora at 7.5.

A comparative analysis of both teams' statistical metrics reveals a stark contrast in ball possession. Lithuania holds an average possession of 36.125% this season, indicative of their tendencies, while Poland boasts superior control with an average possession of 61.09%. Predictions on match dynamics, such as corner kicks, show Lithuania with an average of 3.25 corners per game, whereas Poland averages 6.82.

In terms of discipline, Lithuania has accumulated 17 yellow cards with no red cards or penalty goals conceded, whereas Poland has amassed 24 yellow cards, maintaining a clean slate free of red cards and penalty goals. Given the current statistics and recent form, Poland's superior head-to-head record and possession dominance suggest they are poised to emerge victorious in this encounter. Analyzing these trends underscores the crucial role of player form and team dynamics in shaping match outcomes.