Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Sat, 29 Nov '25)

As anticipation builds for the forthcoming Major League Soccer showdown between Inter Miami CF and New York City FC, fans and analysts alike are keenly examining the statistics that might influence the outcome. The match is slated for Saturday, 29th November 2025, at the prestigious Chase Stadium, USA.

The head-to-head record in their last three clashes, Inter Miami CF holds a slight edge with one victory, while there have been two stalemates, and New York City FC has yet to taste success against this opponent. Notably, their most recent encounter on Wednesday, 24th September 2025, saw Inter Miami CF decisively triumph with a 4-0 victory on the road.

As both teams prepare for this crucial fixture, their recent form paints an intriguing picture. Inter Miami CF enters the match on a high note, having recently dispatched FC Cincinnati with a 4-0 scoreline. Meanwhile, New York City FC is buoyed by a narrow 1-0 win over Philadelphia Union. In terms of the current standings within their domestic league, Inter Miami CF sits comfortably in third position, whereas New York City FC is positioned ninth.

Player performance is likely to be a decisive factor: For Inter Miami CF, Lionel Messi has been prolific this season, netting 35 goals, which could prove pivotal in breaking through New York City FC’s defense. On the opposing side, New York City FC's most creative force, M. Moralez, boasts eight assists this season, underscoring his ability to influence play.

Key player ratings reveal the talents on both squads: Inter Miami CF’s stars shine brightly with Messi at a rating of 8.61, followed by Jordi Alba at 7.39, and Luis Suárez at 7.29. For New York City FC, Nicolás Fernández leads with a 7.47 rating, with Moralez and Keaton Parks not far behind at 7.16 and 7.15, respectively.

Examining other metrics, Inter Miami CF possesses a slightly higher average possession rate of 56.63%, compared to New York City FC’s 54.03%. The corner statistics indicate a close contest in this aspect, with Inter Miami averaging 4.71 corners per match and New York City FC at 5. Additionally, both teams have been disciplined in terms of cards received, each logging 4 red cards and 2 penalty goals conceded this season, though New York City FC has accrued fewer yellow cards.

In synthesizing these statistics, the balance of power appears to tilt towards Inter Miami CF. Their superior head-to-head record, recent form, and key player advantages suggest they are in a strong position to claim victory in this encounter. However, as always in football, surprises are never far away.