Lexington SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Sat, 11 Oct '25)

This highly anticipated clash in the USL Championship will unfold on Saturday, 11th October 2025, at the Lexington SC Stadium in the USA. As we delve into the head-to-head comparison, the two sides have met once before, resulting in a win for the El Paso Locomotive FC, with Lexington SC yet to secure a victory or even a draw against them.

Their last encounter on Sunday, 6th April 2025, saw El Paso Locomotive FC triumph with a 2-1 victory at home. Lexington SC approaches the match with a recent 0-3 defeat to FC Tulsa, showing potential vulnerability. Meanwhile, their opponents, El Paso Locomotive FC, displayed defensive resilience, securing a 0-0 draw against Orange County SC. In the league standings, El Paso holds a slight edge in the competition, standing at fourth place, while Lexington SC resides in sixth.

Turning our attention to individual prowess, F. Ajago from Lexington SC stands out as their leading scorer with six goals this season. In contrast, G. Torres has been a vital playmaker for El Paso Locomotive FC, leading their assists chart with seven. The top-rated players contributing to Lexington SC’s performance are Michael Adedokun with a rating of 7.09, Blaine Ferri scoring 7.07, and Joe Hafferty with 7.01. On the other hand, shining at the top for El Paso is Eric Calvillo with 7.27, alongside Gabriel Torres and Wilmer Cabrera Jr, both with impressive ratings of 7.17.

Examining ball control, Lexington SC averages a possession rate of 50.96%, whereas El Paso Locomotive FC surpasses them with a possession rate of 54.85%. The corner statistics show Lexington SC earns approximately 5.11 corners per match, a slight edge over El Paso's average of 4.81. However, both teams exhibit similar disciplinary records, where Lexington SC accumulated 51 yellow cards and 5 red cards, exactly mirroring El Paso's card tally, although both have avoided conceding penalty goals thus far.

When predictions are drawn from these analyses, El Paso Locomotive FC appears to have an upper hand due to superior head-to-head record, league standings, and possession statistics. Although the unpredictable nature of football makes it challenging to call a definitive winner, based on the stats, the slight advantage could see El Paso Locomotive FC securing another win. To make an accurate forecast, it remains crucial to consider both current form and streaks.