Danubio vs Nacional: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Sun, 12 Oct '25)

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 07 Oct, 01:38 PM UTC

Next Match 12/10/25 at 07:00 PM

Danubio vs Nacional
📍 Jardines Del Hipódromo, Uruguay.

Scheduled H2H Match For Danubio Vs Nacional

Liga AUF Uruguaya, Clausura

Sun, 12 Oct 2025 at 07:00 PM UTC

Danubio
Danubio

URY URY

Recent Form

W
W
L
W
L
Nacional
Nacional

URY URY

Recent Form

W
W
W
D
W

2

Win

Last 10 Played

10
2 Draws

6

Win

9
Position
2
Gustavo Matosas
Manager
Pablo Peirano

Game Schedule - Time Of Fixture

Danubio will square off vs Nacional in Liga AUF Uruguaya, Clausura on Sun, 12 Oct 2025 at 07:00 PM UTC. Let’s investigate historical performances, recent stats and head-2-head information to find out the most accurate picks and best bets.

Danubio vs Nacional Pick

Established from the indicated probability from the match winner, Club Nacional de Football have a 63.25% to get the victory. Indicated chance based on the odds, also suggests there is a 50.51% expectation of BTTS. Subscribe to the football picks premium plan to find out implicit vs our expert predictions to value bets so you can win big Matchstat.com football picks club to reveal implied and our expert predictions to today’s highly profitable bets so you can make successful bets

PredictionChance to win
Danubio17.24 %
Nacional63.25 %
Draw25.25 %

Above win % is implied from odds. Login / Signup to get our expert picks.

Danubio vs Nacional H2H Results Summary

Analyzing the last 10 H2H results between these rivals, Danubio have got the victory 2 times and Nacional have got the victory on 6 occasion. In the latest fixture between them, Nacional won 3-2.


Head-to-Head (Last 10 Matches)
Danubio2
Draw2
Nacional6

Danubio Vs Nacional Performance stats

Editorial Prediction:

Welcome to the grand spectacle happening at the Jardines Del Hipódromo, Uruguay, where Danubio and Nacional will clash in a legendary showdown on Sun, 12 Oct '25 local time. It's set to be an intriguing bout in the Liga AUF Uruguaya, featuring plenty of thrills, spills, and maybe even a stray ball or two aimed at unsuspecting fans.

If past encounters are anything to go by, Danubio is rather like that team that shows up to a party but forgets to bring their dance shoes. From their last three encounters with Nacional, Danubio has taken home a grand total of zero wins! Meanwhile, Nacional has swanned off with two glitzy victories, leaving just one match as a gentlemanly draw. In their last tango on Sun, 29 Jun '25, Nacional sashayed to a 3-2 victory.

Coming into this latest derby, Danubio unfortunately has a misstep to their name, having slipped to Peñarol with a 0-2 thud. On the flip side, Nacional pirouetted from their bout with Cerro Largo with a 2-1 triumph. In the league standings, Danubio's performance might need a little polishing sitting at position 9, unlike Nacional who are busy rubbing shoulders with the elites in position 2.

Looking at the stars of the show, Danubio's secret weapon this season is S. Fernández, who has managed to sneak 9 goals into the opponent's net. Nacional will be relying on L. Boggio’s magic boots, having assisted a whopping 7 times to lead the charge. Speaking of magic, for Danubio, player ratings see Lucas Sanseviero dazzling with a score of 7.28, followed by Emiliano Velázquez at 7.27, and not least, Mauro Goicoechea at 7.15. For Nacional, the spotlight shines brightly on Nico López with a stellar 7.64 rating, trailed by Maximiliano Gómez (7.45) and Christian Oliva (7.17).

When it comes to hogging the spotlight, or the ball in this case, Danubio's average possession percentage reads a humble 46.9%, whereas Nacional loves to show who’s boss at 53.8%. If you're a fan of flag-waving and corner counting, Danubio lands an average of 4.59 corners per game. Nacional, never shy for a cameo, manages slightly more with an average of 5.76.

Both teams also have their share of troubles with sticking to the rulebook, with Danubio stacking up 73 yellow cards, 3 reds, and gifting 4 penalties to the opposition. Nacional, perhaps channeling their inner bad boys, have amassed 85 yellows and the same count of 3 red cards, also conceding 4 penalties. Now, if we are to speculate on these glorious statistics and delightful performances, I have a hunch that Nacional might just waltz away with the grand prize in this match-up. After all, analyzing the form and streaks speaks volumes! But hey, predictions are a funny old game, so let’s watch and see!

Danubio vs Nacional Best Odds For The Match

Full Time Result
1W
5.8
2W
1.581
X
3.96
Over Under Full Time
> 1.5
1.314
< 1.5
3.35
> 2.5
2.01
< 2.5
1.813
Over Under First Half
> 1.5
2.98
< 1.5
1.366
Both Teams To Score
Yes
1.98
No
1.72
Draw No Bet
1W
4.3
2W
1.21
Over Under Second Half
> 1.5
2.14
< 1.5
1.61

Danubio vs Nacional Past H2H Matches

278
Liga AUF Uruguaya
09:00 PM
29/06/25
3230
Nacional
3
3228
Danubio
2
08:30 PM
13/04/25
3230
Nacional
2
3228
Danubio
0
12:15 AM
28/11/24
3228
Danubio
0
3230
Nacional
0
06:00 PM
13/07/24
3228
Danubio
0
3230
Nacional
6
09:00 PM
25/05/24
3230
Nacional
1
3228
Danubio
0
12:30 AM
16/11/23
3230
Nacional
1
3228
Danubio
3
06:30 PM
09/04/23
3228
Danubio
0
3230
Nacional
0
10:30 PM
23/10/22
3230
Nacional
2
3228
Danubio
0
06:00 PM
25/06/22
3228
Danubio
0
3230
Nacional
1
06:00 PM
05/06/22
3228
Danubio
2
3230
Nacional
1
07:30 PM
13/03/21
3228
Danubio
2
3230
Nacional
1
10:30 PM
21/11/20
3230
Nacional
0
3228
Danubio
2
12:15 AM
16/11/20
3230
Nacional
3228
Danubio
11:15 PM
13/09/20
3230
Nacional
2
3228
Danubio
0
11:00 PM
09/10/19
3230
Nacional
1
3228
Danubio
0
06:00 PM
21/07/19
3228
Danubio
1
3230
Nacional
2
07:30 PM
16/03/19
3228
Danubio
2
3230
Nacional
0
07:30 PM
04/11/18
3230
Nacional
1
3228
Danubio
0
06:00 PM
06/06/18
3228
Danubio
0
3230
Nacional
2
06:30 PM
05/05/18
3228
Danubio
1
3230
Nacional
2
06:30 PM
27/08/17
3228
Danubio
1
3230
Nacional
1
06:00 PM
03/06/17
3228
Danubio
1
3230
Nacional
2
11:00 PM
12/02/17
3230
Nacional
2
3228
Danubio
1
06:30 PM
31/08/16
3228
Danubio
2
3230
Nacional
1
06:30 PM
27/08/16
3228
Danubio
3230
Nacional
10:00 PM
22/05/16
3230
Nacional
0
3228
Danubio
2
07:00 PM
21/11/15
3228
Danubio
2
3230
Nacional
0
07:00 PM
22/03/15
3228
Danubio
2
3230
Nacional
1
07:00 PM
14/09/14
3230
Nacional
3
3228
Danubio
0
10:30 PM
22/02/14
3230
Nacional
0
3228
Danubio
2
08:00 PM
22/02/14
3228
Danubio
3230
Nacional
06:30 PM
14/09/13
3228
Danubio
2
3230
Nacional
0
07:00 PM
30/03/13
3228
Danubio
0
3230
Nacional
1
07:00 PM
07/10/12
3230
Nacional
2
3228
Danubio
1
07:30 PM
24/03/12
3230
Nacional
3
3228
Danubio
1
06:30 PM
10/09/11
3228
Danubio
1
3230
Nacional
1
07:00 PM
21/11/10
3230
Nacional
2
3228
Danubio
1
07:00 PM
22/11/09
3228
Danubio
0
3230
Nacional
2
07:00 PM
09/05/09
3230
Nacional
2
3228
Danubio
0
09:00 PM
15/02/09
3230
Nacional
2
3228
Danubio
1
07:00 PM
16/11/08
3228
Danubio
1
3230
Nacional
0
06:10 PM
19/07/08
3228
Danubio
1
3230
Nacional
2

Head To Head Streaks

3230
No losses
5
3230
First to score
4/5
(Both)
Less than 10.5 corners
6/7

Team Streaks

3230
No losses
4
3230
More than 2.5 goals
7/8
3230
Both teams scoring
4/5
3228
First to score
5/6
3228
More than 4.5 cards
9/9
3230
More than 4.5 cards
4/5
3230
Less than 10.5 corners
4/5

Danubio Recent Matches

278
Liga AUF Uruguaya (29 Matches)
09:00 PM
05/10/25
3227
Peñarol
2
3228
Danubio
0
L
04:30 PM
28/09/25
3228
Danubio
2
174972
Montevideo City Torque
0
W
11:00 PM
19/09/25
3229
Defensor Sporting
2
3228
Danubio
1
L
06:30 PM
14/09/25
3228
Danubio
5
22011
Cerro
1
W
06:30 PM
06/09/25
3240
Montevideo Wanderers
0
3228
Danubio
2
W
04:00 PM
31/08/25
3228
Danubio
2
6880
Miramar Misiones
3
L
01:30 PM
24/08/25
3238
Progreso
1
3228
Danubio
0
L
10:00 PM
18/08/25
25009
Cerro Largo
1
3228
Danubio
0
L
04:30 PM
10/08/25
3228
Danubio
2
3224
Juventud de Las Piedras
1
W
06:00 PM
03/08/25
6879
Liverpool UY
0
3228
Danubio
0
D
09:00 PM
29/06/25
3230
Nacional
3
3228
Danubio
2
L
05:00 PM
21/06/25
3224
Juventud de Las Piedras
3
3228
Danubio
1
L
06:00 PM
18/06/25
3228
Danubio
1
25010
Racing de Montevideo
2
L
05:30 PM
14/06/25
174970
Boston River
1
3228
Danubio
1
D
06:00 PM
07/06/25
3228
Danubio
3
174972
Montevideo City Torque
2
W
06:00 PM
31/05/25
3238
Progreso
0
3228
Danubio
1
W
02:00 PM
25/05/25
3228
Danubio
2
6880
Miramar Misiones
0
W
09:00 PM
19/05/25
3235
Plaza Colonia
1
3228
Danubio
2
W
08:15 PM
17/05/25
3235
Plaza Colonia
3228
Danubio
-
06:00 PM
03/05/25
3228
Danubio
0
25010
Racing de Montevideo
0
D
06:00 PM
26/04/25
3237
River Plate UY
1
3228
Danubio
0
L
05:00 PM
18/04/25
3228
Danubio
1
174970
Boston River
2
L
08:30 PM
13/04/25
3230
Nacional
2
3228
Danubio
0
L
07:00 PM
05/04/25
3228
Danubio
0
3227
Peñarol
1
L
09:00 PM
30/03/25
174972
Montevideo City Torque
1
3228
Danubio
1
D
05:00 PM
27/03/25
3228
Danubio
1
3229
Defensor Sporting
1
D
08:45 PM
23/03/25
22011
Cerro
1
3228
Danubio
1
D
12:45 PM
16/03/25
3228
Danubio
2
3240
Montevideo Wanderers
2
D
12:45 AM
10/03/25
6880
Miramar Misiones
1
3228
Danubio
0
L
480
CONMEBOL Sudamericana (1 Matches)
10:00 PM
06/03/25
25009
Cerro Largo
2
3228
Danubio
2
L

Nacional Recent Matches

278
Liga AUF Uruguaya (22 Matches)
09:00 PM
04/10/25
3230
Nacional
2
25009
Cerro Largo
1
W
07:00 PM
28/09/25
3224
Juventud de Las Piedras
0
3230
Nacional
0
D
09:30 PM
20/09/25
3230
Nacional
3
6879
Liverpool UY
1
W
09:00 PM
14/09/25
3235
Plaza Colonia
1
3230
Nacional
2
W
09:00 PM
07/09/25
3230
Nacional
3
25010
Racing de Montevideo
0
W
07:00 PM
30/08/25
3237
River Plate UY
0
3230
Nacional
3
W
09:00 PM
23/08/25
3230
Nacional
0
174970
Boston River
0
D
09:00 PM
16/08/25
3230
Nacional
3
3238
Progreso
1
W
06:00 PM
09/08/25
3227
Peñarol
3
3230
Nacional
0
L
08:30 PM
02/08/25
3230
Nacional
5
174972
Montevideo City Torque
2
W
06:00 PM
06/07/25
3230
Nacional
0
3227
Peñarol
0
L
09:00 PM
29/06/25
3230
Nacional
3
3228
Danubio
2
W
07:30 PM
21/06/25
6880
Miramar Misiones
0
3230
Nacional
2
W
11:30 PM
18/06/25
3230
Nacional
4
3224
Juventud de Las Piedras
1
W
08:30 PM
14/06/25
25010
Racing de Montevideo
1
3230
Nacional
2
W
09:00 PM
08/06/25
3230
Nacional
2
174970
Boston River
1
W
06:00 PM
01/06/25
174972
Montevideo City Torque
1
3230
Nacional
2
W
11:30 PM
23/05/25
3230
Nacional
1
3238
Progreso
0
W
06:00 PM
18/05/25
3230
Nacional
2
3229
Defensor Sporting
1
W
08:30 PM
03/05/25
3230
Nacional
4
22011
Cerro
0
W
11:15 PM
26/04/25
3230
Nacional
3
3240
Montevideo Wanderers
1
W
07:00 PM
18/04/25
6880
Miramar Misiones
1
3230
Nacional
3
W
18877
Copa Uruguay (3 Matches)
11:30 PM
11/09/25
3230
Nacional
1
3235
Plaza Colonia
2
L
11:30 PM
26/08/25
174974
Huracán del Paso de la Arena FC
1
3230
Nacional
2
W
08:00 PM
05/08/25
174974
Huracán del Paso de la Arena FC
3230
Nacional
-
27138
Uruguay Friendly Games (1 Matches)
10:00 PM
23/07/25
421393
Paysandú FC
0
3230
Nacional
4
W
384
CONMEBOL Libertadores (4 Matches)
10:00 PM
28/05/25
3230
Nacional
1
6106
Atlético Nacional
0
W
10:00 PM
15/05/25
3230
Nacional
0
1966
Internacional
2
L
10:00 PM
07/05/25
1955
Bahia
1
3230
Nacional
3
W
12:30 AM
23/04/25
1966
Internacional
3
3230
Nacional
3
D

Danubio Next Fixtures

Nacional Next Fixtures

Danubio Last Match Played stats

Peñarol vs Danubio

Final Score :2 - 0

(H)Match overview (A)
63%Ball possession37%
0.83Expected goals0.43
11Total shots5
3Goalkeeper saves3
5Corner kicks3
10Fouls18
495Passes287
2Tackles0
4Free kicks2
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
(H)Shots (A)
11Total shots5
5Shots on target3
1Hit woodwork0
3Shots off target2
2Blocked shots0
3Shots inside box3
8Shots outside box2
(H)Attack (A)
3Through balls0
8Touches in penalty area5
2Offsides1
(H)Passes (A)
394Accurate passes208
12Throw-ins30
55/88 (63%)Final third phase25/45 (56%)
32/66 (48%)Long balls24/48 (50%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses6/13 (46%)
(H)Duels (A)
43%Duels27%
5Dispossessed10
51/130 (39%)Ground duels28/123 (23%)
23/40 (57%)Aerial duels14/31 (45%)
9/10 (90%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)
(H)Defending (A)
2Total tackles0
10Interceptions9
7Clearances12
4Errors lead to a shot4
(H)Goalkeeping (A)
3Total saves3
2High claims0
5Goal kicks9

Nacional Last Match Played stats

Nacional vs Cerro Largo

Final Score :2 - 1

(H)Match overview (A)
58%Ball possession42%
1.84Expected goals2.46
15Total shots10
2Goalkeeper saves2
6Corner kicks2
17Fouls16
315Passes251
5Tackles8
3Free kicks5
4Yellow cards6
0Red cards1
(H)Shots (A)
15Total shots10
4Shots on target3
0Hit woodwork0
10Shots off target6
1Blocked shots1
8Shots inside box7
7Shots outside box3
(H)Attack (A)
0Through balls1
24Touches in penalty area10
1Offsides0
(H)Passes (A)
256Accurate passes181
32Throw-ins29
43/52 (83%)Final third phase26/48 (54%)
27/40 (67%)Long balls32/51 (62%)
2/10 (20%)Crosses3/4 (75%)
(H)Duels (A)
36%Duels32%
14Dispossessed5
37/116 (32%)Ground duels29/109 (27%)
28/61 (46%)Aerial duels24/53 (45%)
11/17 (65%)Dribbles1/2 (50%)
(H)Defending (A)
5Total tackles8
7Interceptions6
17Clearances9
2Errors lead to a shot6
(H)Goalkeeping (A)
2Total saves2
1High claims0
9Goal kicks16

Danubio Vs Nacional Season Stats

DanubioPerformance SummaryNacional
32Matches33
37Goals Scored72
38Goals Conceded31
1.16Goals per Game2.18
1.19Goals Conceded per Game0.94
46.50%Ball Possession53.80%
8Clean Sheets11
11.47Fouls per Game12.64
1.31Offsides per Game1.88
7.44Goal Kicks per Game7.48
2.38Yellow Cards per Game2.58
3Red Cards1

Primera Division 2025, Clausura Standings

POSTEAMMPWLDPTS
1PeñarolPeñarol1081125
2NacionalNacional1071220
3Montevideo City TorqueMontevideo City Torque1062220
4Boston RiverBoston River1051419
5Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1063119
6Liverpool UYLiverpool UY1052318
7Cerro LargoCerro Largo1054116
8ProgresoProgreso1044214
9DanubioDanubio1045113
10CerroCerro1045113
11Miramar MisionesMiramar Misiones1035211
12Juventud de Las PiedrasJuventud de Las Piedras1035211
13Racing de MontevideoRacing de Montevideo1035211
14Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia101725
15Montevideo WanderersMontevideo Wanderers101814
16River Plate UYRiver Plate UY100733
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