Montenegro vs Croatia: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Mon, 17 Nov '25)

As the World Cup Qualifiers beckon, Montenegro and Croatia prepare for a faceoff at the Gradski Stadion Montenegro on Monday, 17th November 2025. Can the host nation turn the tide this time around? In their solitary recent meeting, Croatia triumphed convincingly with a 4-0 victory on their home turf back in early September. With Croatia having clinched that encounter, could history repeat itself, or will Montenegro rewrite their destiny?

Analyzing recent form, Montenegro steps into this fixture riding the wave of a 2-1 triumph over Liechtenstein. In parallel, Croatia strides confidently forward having secured a comprehensive 3-0 win against Gibraltar. Could this suggest that Montenegro might face a daunting challenge against a seemingly imperious Croatian side? Delving into individual brilliance, Montenegro’s Fatos Beqiraj shines with four goals to his name this season. Will Croatia's defense succeed in neutralizing his threat? On the other hand, Croatia boasts Luka Modrić, the midfield maestro, who has set up two goals this season. Can Montenegro effectively silence his influence?

Looking at player performance ratings adds another layer of intrigue. Montenegro counts on Stevan Jovetić, Marko Bakić, and Nebojša Kosović with ratings of 7.88, 7.2, and 7.14 respectively. Yet, Croatia's lineup is no less formidable, with Luka Modrić at 7.83, Lovro Majer at 7.7, and Joško Gvardiol at 7.55. Will these stars tip the balance of power in this crucial encounter?

What tactical nuances might each team leverage? Montenegro maintains an average possession of 47.9%, while Croatia dominates with a substantial 66%. This disparity could dictate how the game unfolds on the pitch. Additionally, predicting corner statistics, Montenegro averages 5.8 per match, slightly trailing behind Croatia’s 6.1. Exciting set-piece battles could very well influence the outcome of this high-stake qualification game.

Discipline might play a critical role, with Montenegro accruing 23 yellow cards, a red card, and conceding a penalty goal. Croatia, meanwhile, sports a cleaner record with 16 yellows, one red, and one penalty conceded. Control of the temper will be paramount; could this be a determining factor in the final scoreline?

So, who holds the upper hand based on these statistics? While Montenegro is eager to make their mark with home advantage, Croatia's superior head-to-head and current form, punctuated by potent performers, suggests they may very well continue their victorious streak. As always, the beautiful game holds the ultimate answer, with kickoff drawing ever closer.