Botafogo vs Grêmio: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Sat, 22 Nov '25)

As the stage is set for an exhilarating clash in the Brasileirão Betano on Saturday, November 22, 2025, at the renowned Estádio Nilton Santos, football enthusiasts can't help but wonder: Will Botafogo or Grêmio seize the day? To forecast the outcome, one must navigate through the tapestry of statistics and recent form.

The head-to-head encounters between these two squads paint an intriguing picture. In their last three meetups, neither Botafogo nor Grêmio has managed to secure a victory, leaving fans with two draws to contemplate. Their most recent showdown occurred on Wednesday, September 24, 2025, which ended in yet another stalemate. This clash adds an extra layer of drama, as each team is eager to break this tie-less streak.

When it comes to the current form, Botafogo approaches this matchup following a 0-0 draw with Vitória, maintaining a strong position at sixth place in their domestic league. Meanwhile, Grêmio fans witnessed a 2-2 draw against Fortaleza, placing them at the 14th position. These results suggest varying momentum for each team as they strive for dominance in the league.

From a player performance perspective, the spotlight shines brightly on key individuals from both teams. Botafogo's goal-scoring maestro, J. Savarino, has netted four goals this season, making him a pivotal figure that Grêmio must keep in check. Conversely, Botafogo will have to focus on neutralizing Marlon's impact, as he tops Grêmio's assist chart with two assists. Player ratings add more color to the picture—with Igor Jesus (7.39), Marçal (7.26), and Álvaro Montoro (7.25) standing out for Botafogo, and Gabriel Grando (7.44), Marcos Rocha (7.29), and Carlos Vinícius (7.27) representing Grêmio's excellence.

Statistically, Botafogo enjoys a slight edge when it comes to average possession, controlling 51.33% of the ball compared to Grêmio's 44.52%. In terms of corner kicks, Botafogo also leads with an average of 4.76 corners per match, while Grêmio follows with 3.85. With these numbers, will possession dominance and set-piece opportunities tilt the balance in favor of Botafogo?

On the discipline front, both teams share similar woes. Botafogo has accrued 80 yellow cards, 3 red cards, and conceded 3 penalty goals, whereas Grêmio has amassed 86 yellows and 3 reds, suffering equally from penalties. Could this match hinge on discipline and the potential for cards to alter the game's trajectory?

Assessing these elements—past encounters, recent form, standout players, and statistics—offers a glimpse into what could unfold. Botafogo's superior league position and possession stats may provide the edge they need. If their key players perform and capitalize on Grêmio's vulnerabilities, Botafogo could secure the elusive win in this highly anticipated encounter.