Bahia vs Grêmio: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Sun, 19 Oct '25)
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 13 Oct, 04:01 AM UTC
Next Match 19/10/25 at 11:30 PM
Scheduled H2H Match For Bahia Vs Grêmio
Brasileirão Betano
Sun, 19 Oct 2025 at 11:30 PM UTC
BRA
Recent Form
3
Win
Last 10 Played
4
Win
BRA
Recent Form
3
Win
Last 10 Played
4
Win
Game Schedule - Time Of Fixture
Bahia will square off vs Grêmio in Brasileirão Betano on Sun, 19 Oct 2025 at 11:30 PM UTC. Let’s investigate historical performances, recent stats and head-2-head information to find out the most accurate picks and best bets.
Bahia vs Grêmio Pick
Based on the indicated expectation from the moneyline, EC Bahia BA have a 56.5% to get the victory. Indicated possibility calculated from the odds, also shows there is a 50.25% chance of BTTS. Subscribe to the football picks premium plan to get data on implied vs actual predictions to discover edge so you can unlock winning bets Matchstat.com football picks premium plan to compare implicit vs our expert predictions to value bets so you can see the best bets
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Bahia | 56.5 % |
| Grêmio | 19.53 % |
| Draw | 26.88 % |
Above win % is implied from odds. Login / Signup to discover our expert predictions. | |
Bahia vs Grêmio H2H Game Summary
For the most recent 10 head-to-head results between these competitors, Bahia have won 3 times and Grêmio have got the victory on 4 occasion.
| Head-to-Head (Last 10 Matches) | |
|---|---|
| Bahia | 3 |
| Draw | 3 |
| Grêmio | 4 |
Bahia Vs Grêmio Performance stats
Editorial Prediction:
As the much-anticipated game in the Brasileirão Betano approaches, fans are gearing up for a clash at the Arena Fonte Nova in Brazil. Mark your calendars for Sunday, October 19, '25, because it's going to be a showdown of epic proportions, Brazilian style.
In the amusing merry-go-round of their last three encounters, Bahia has waltzed away with two victories, Grêmio managed to snag one, and alas, draws have been as rare as unicorns with none to speak of. The most recent battle saw Grêmio narrowly win 1-0 on May 25, leaving Bahia plotting their revenge.
Coming into this game like a caffeine-fueled squirrel, Bahia has their sails up after a 1-0 victory against Flamengo. Meanwhile, Grêmio, licking their wounds after a 0-1 defeat to Red Bull Bragantino, find themselves desperately searching for their ladder to climb up from the 13th position, while Bahia basks in the glory of the 6th spot in the standings.
Now, let's sprinkle some player performance magic. Grêmio should probably put L. Juba under lock and key; he's been Bahia's top scorer, netting five goals this season. Bahia, on the other hand, will want to keep a close eye on Marlon, who has been the fairy godfather for Grêmio with two assists this season.
Bahia's top players are shining brightly with ratings:
Luciano Juba at a solid 7.24, Erick Pulga close behind with 7.23, and Marcos Felipe rounding it out with 7.21.
Grêmio, meanwhile, boasts some stars of their own:
Gabriel Grando at a lofty 7.77, Marcos Rocha with 7.33, and Fabián Balbuena clocking in at 7.2.
Possession-wise, Bahia has been as clingy as a needy cat with a 54.38% average compared to Grêmio's 44.26%. In the corners department, Bahia aims to out-corner Grêmio with an average of 4.15 per match against Grêmio's modest 3.52. The yellow card tango has been lively this season, with Grêmio picking up a whopping 72, trumping Bahia's collection of 59.
As we don our fortune-telling hats and gaze into the crystal ball of football stats, it seems the scales tip in favor of Bahia. With stronger standings, a nimble offense, and an eye on Grêmio's formidable duo, Bahia looks poised to win this bout of Brazilian football madness.
Bahia vs Grêmio Best Odds For The Match
Full Time Result
Over Under Full Time
Asian Handicap
Over Under First Half
Both Teams To Score
Draw No Bet
Over Under Second Half
Bahia vs Grêmio Past H2H Matches
25/05/25
17/08/24
28/04/24
04/11/23
01/07/23
26/11/21
21/08/21
06/01/21
10/09/20
16/10/19
01/06/19
07/10/18
03/06/18
24/09/17
12/06/17
30/11/14
31/08/14
03/11/13
11/08/13
27/10/12
05/08/12
08/09/11
05/06/11
12/07/23
05/07/23
17/07/19
10/07/19
25/05/12
18/05/12
16/10/22
03/07/22
Head To Head Streaks
Team Streaks
Bahia Recent Matches
05/10/25
02/10/25
28/09/25
24/09/25
20/09/25
15/09/25
31/08/25
24/08/25
17/08/25
10/08/25
02/08/25
27/07/25
19/07/25
16/07/25
13/07/25
12/06/25
31/05/25
10/09/25
28/08/25
06/08/25
30/07/25
06/09/25
04/09/25
21/08/25
10/07/25
07/06/25
04/06/25
23/07/25
16/07/25
Grêmio Recent Matches
16/10/25
04/10/25
02/10/25
28/09/25
24/09/25
21/09/25
13/09/25
31/08/25
24/08/25
24/08/25
17/08/25
10/08/25
03/08/25
29/07/25
27/07/25
19/07/25
13/07/25
12/06/25
01/06/25
25/05/25
18/05/25
10/05/25
04/05/25
24/07/25
17/07/25
29/05/25
13/05/25
08/05/25
08/07/25
21/05/25
Bahia Next Fixtures
19/10/25
22/10/25
26/10/25
02/11/25
05/11/25
08/11/25
19/11/25
23/11/25
30/11/25
03/12/25
07/12/25
Grêmio Next Fixtures
19/10/25
27/10/25
02/11/25
05/11/25
09/11/25
19/11/25
23/11/25
30/11/25
03/12/25
07/12/25
Bahia Last Match Played stats
Vitória vs Bahia
Final Score :2 - 1
| (H) | Match overview | (A) |
|---|---|---|
| 34% | Ball possession | 66% |
| 2.11 | Expected goals | 0.83 |
| 3 | Big chances | 2 |
| 9 | Total shots | 11 |
| 4 | Goalkeeper saves | 3 |
| 4 | Corner kicks | 3 |
| 228 | Passes | 455 |
| 18 | Tackles | 19 |
| 7 | Free kicks | 20 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
| (H) | Shots | (A) |
| 9 | Total shots | 11 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 0 | Hit woodwork | 0 |
| 1 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 8 | Shots inside box | 3 |
| 1 | Shots outside box | 8 |
| (H) | Attack | (A) |
| 2 | Big chances scored | 1 |
| 1 | Big chances missed | 1 |
| 14 | Touches in penalty area | 14 |
| 2 | Fouled in final third | 5 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| (H) | Passes | (A) |
| 165 | Accurate passes | 401 |
| 17 | Throw-ins | 19 |
| 49 | Final third entries | 57 |
| 41/78 (53%) | Final third phase | 81/99 (82%) |
| 20/52 (38%) | Long balls | 25/48 (52%) |
| 3/15 (20%) | Crosses | 3/16 (19%) |
| (H) | Duels | (A) |
| 42% | Duels | 58% |
| 11 | Dispossessed | 6 |
| 30/78 (38%) | Ground duels | 48/78 (62%) |
| 17/34 (50%) | Aerial duels | 17/34 (50%) |
| 5/13 (38%) | Dribbles | 9/21 (43%) |
| (H) | Defending | (A) |
| 61% | Tackles won | 63% |
| 18 | Total tackles | 19 |
| 4 | Interceptions | 2 |
| 40 | Recoveries | 47 |
| 17 | Clearances | 32 |
| 0 | Errors lead to a goal | 1 |
| (H) | Goalkeeping | (A) |
| 4 | Total saves | 3 |
| -0.11 | Goals prevented | -0.56 |
| 1 | Big saves | 0 |
| 1 | High claims | 1 |
| 9 | Goal kicks | 2 |
Grêmio Last Match Played stats
Grêmio vs São Paulo
Final Score :2 - 0
| (H) | Match overview | (A) |
|---|---|---|
| 36% | Ball possession | 64% |
| 2.79 | Expected goals | 0.97 |
| 3 | Big chances | 2 |
| 18 | Total shots | 14 |
| 1 | Goalkeeper saves | 5 |
| 5 | Corner kicks | 3 |
| 352 | Passes | 617 |
| 17 | Tackles | 14 |
| 15 | Free kicks | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| (H) | Shots | (A) |
| 18 | Total shots | 14 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 0 | Hit woodwork | 1 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 10 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 12 | Shots inside box | 9 |
| 6 | Shots outside box | 5 |
| (H) | Attack | (A) |
| 2 | Big chances scored | 0 |
| 1 | Big chances missed | 2 |
| 22 | Touches in penalty area | 26 |
| 2 | Fouled in final third | 1 |
| (H) | Passes | (A) |
| 297 | Accurate passes | 556 |
| 11 | Throw-ins | 9 |
| 40 | Final third entries | 67 |
| 70/98 (71%) | Final third phase | 162/194 (84%) |
| 28/49 (57%) | Long balls | 16/27 (59%) |
| 3/13 (23%) | Crosses | 6/18 (33%) |
| (H) | Duels | (A) |
| 56% | Duels | 44% |
| 9 | Dispossessed | 11 |
| 39/68 (57%) | Ground duels | 29/68 (43%) |
| 9/18 (50%) | Aerial duels | 9/18 (50%) |
| 8/13 (62%) | Dribbles | 4/10 (40%) |
| (H) | Defending | (A) |
| 59% | Tackles won | 64% |
| 17 | Total tackles | 14 |
| 15 | Interceptions | 8 |
| 45 | Recoveries | 46 |
| 20 | Clearances | 23 |
| (H) | Goalkeeping | (A) |
| 1 | Total saves | 5 |
| 0.54 | Goals prevented | 1.37 |
| 0 | Big saves | 3 |
| 2 | Punches | 0 |
| 9 | Goal kicks | 8 |
Bahia Vs Grêmio Season Stats
| Bahia | Performance Summary | Grêmio |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Matches | 28 |
| 35 | Goals Scored | 30 |
| 32 | Goals Conceded | 33 |
| 1.3 | Goals per Game | 1.07 |
| 1.19 | Goals Conceded per Game | 1.18 |
| 4.07 | Shots on Target per Game | 3.86 |
| 2.22 | Big Chances per Game | 2.04 |
| 54.81% | Ball Possession | 43.96% |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 16.3 | Tackles per Game | 18.29 |
| 3 | Penalty Goals Conceded | 7 |
| 12.59 | Fouls per Game | 13.46 |
| 1.15 | Offsides per Game | 0.96 |
| 7.59 | Goal Kicks per Game | 8.89 |
| 15.59 | Throw-ins per Game | 18.14 |
| 2.26 | Yellow Cards per Game | 2.61 |
| 4 | Red Cards | 5 |
Brasileiro Serie A 2025 Standings
| POS | TEAM | MP | W | L | D | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 61 | |
| 2 | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 58 | |
| 3 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 53 | |
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49 | |
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 43 | |
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43 | |
| 7 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 41 | |
| 8 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 38 | |
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 36 | |
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 36 | |
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 36 | |
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 35 | |
| 13 | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | |
| 14 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33 | |
| 15 | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 32 | |
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 31 | |
| 17 | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 28 | |
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 24 | |
| 19 | 28 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 23 | |
| 20 | 27 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 17 |