Find out all the insights for the betting market for the Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini game for the Erste Bank Open – Vienna 2025 on the October 22, 2025, in our analysis here. Get all the Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini predictions, betting tips and odds markets for this game in the our analysis beneath.
Pick Based On Odds: Matteo Berrettini to win
- Derived via the bookies odds, Matteo Berrettini is favored to get the victory in this fixture with a 50.53% probability to win. An accurate forecast? Most likely, due to Bookmakers know their calculations:
Alexei Popyrin → 1.92
Matteo Berrettini → 1.88Prediction Chance Of Win Matteo Berrettini 50.53 % Alexei Popyrin 49.47 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On Head-2-Head: Matteo Berrettini to win the match
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Alexei Popyrin | 1 |
| Matteo Berrettini | 2 |
H2H: Alexei Popyrin (1 – 2) Matteo Berrettini.
Matteo Berrettini to win. The reason? Over the last 3 head-to-head games between them, Matteo Berrettini lead 1 – 2. Our head to head data starts from the fixture they had in 2019. This indicates that Matteo Berrettini is likely to prevail in this upcoming clash. The last game took place on the Tue, 29 Oct 24, when Alexei Popyrin achieved a 7-7 – 5-6(2) victory.
Alexei Popyrin has never got the win against Matteo Berrettini showing they have a low probability.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Alexei Popyrin to prevail
Considering recent form before this match, Alexei Popyrin faced a loss vs Sebastian Korda with a score of 7(4)-1-3/6-6-6. Matteo Berrettini lost vs Ugo Humbert with a result of 6(5)-3/7-6. Alexei Popyrin have got the victory in 5 of their recent 10 games in all competitions, while Matteo Berrettini triumphed in 3 of their last 10 matches against all teams, indicating perhaps Alexei Popyrin has an edge approaching this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Alexei Popyrin
- Alexei Popyrin has won 5 of the last 10 matches played, while Matteo Berrettini has secured 3 victories over the same range.
- Alexei Popyrin has been winning 45% of their own second serve points, and 43% of their opponents, while Matteo Berrettini has won 44% of their second serve points and 38% of their opponents.
- Alexei Popyrin comes into this match having won a 0 battle vs Sebastian Korda in which he managed to win 0% of return points (0/0), hitting 0 aces himself during the match.
- Matteo Berrettini comes into this match having won a 0 battle vs Ugo Humbert in which he managed to win 0% of return points (0/0), hitting 0 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Alexei Popyrin has been holding serve 0% of the time (0/0), while Matteo Berrettini has held their serve 0% of the time (0/0.
Career Performance Prediction: Alexei Popyrin
- Alexei Popyrin has a career high ranking of 48, while Matteo Berrettini has a career high rank of 59.
- Alexei Popyrin has claimed 6 Career titles and career earnings of $52,47,870, versus 15 trophies for Matteo Berrettini and $95,00,220 prize money.
- Alexei Popyrin has a 46% deciding set win % (13/28), compared to 57% for Matteo Berrettini (17/30)
- The 1st serve of Alexei Popyrin has resulted in him winning 62% of points, and Matteo Berrettini has won 64% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 48% for Alexei Popyrin and 53% for Matteo Berrettini.
- After losing the first set, Alexei Popyrin manages to turn the match around and win it 16% of the time, and Matteo Berrettini has a 29% record in eventually winning the match.
