Uncover all the data around gambling market for the Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini match for the Erste Bank Open – Vienna 2025 on the October 21, 2025, here. Learn the Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini predictions, best bets & odds for this game in the section below.
Who The Odds Predict: Matteo Berrettini to secure the win
- Implied via the sportsbook odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to come out on top in this match with a 50.53% probability to win. An accurate tip? Yes, as Sportsbooks are experts:
Alexei Popyrin → 1.92
Matteo Berrettini → 1.88Prediction Chance Of Win Matteo Berrettini 50.53 % Alexei Popyrin 49.47 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.
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H2H-Based Prediction: Matteo Berrettini to secure victory
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Alexei Popyrin | 1 |
| Matteo Berrettini | 2 |
Head To Head: Alexei Popyrin (1 – 2) Matteo Berrettini.
Matteo Berrettini to win. Why? Over the last 3 head-to-head matches between these players, Matteo Berrettini lead 1 – 2. Our head to head data goes back to the encounter between them in 2019. This implies that Matteo Berrettini is likely to win in this upcoming game. The latest match took place on the Tue, 29 Oct 24, where Alexei Popyrin achieved a 7-7 – 5-6(2) victory.
Alexei Popyrin has never won Vs Matteo Berrettini showing they have little chance.
Form-Based Prediction: Alexei Popyrin to win
Looking at recent form heading into this match, Alexei Popyrin lost up against Sebastian Korda with a score of 7(4)-1-3/6-6-6. Matteo Berrettini faced a loss up against Ugo Humbert with a score of 6(5)-3/7-6. Alexei Popyrin have prevailed in 5 of their recent 10 fixtures vs all teams, while Matteo Berrettini prevailed in 3 of their last 10 games against all teams, indicating maybe Alexei Popyrin has an edge approaching this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Alexei Popyrin
- Alexei Popyrin has won 5 of the last 10 matches played, while Matteo Berrettini has secured 3 victories over the same range.
- Alexei Popyrin has been winning 45% of their own second serve points, and 43% of their opponents, while Matteo Berrettini has won 44% of their second serve points and 38% of their opponents.
- Alexei Popyrin comes into this match having won a 0 battle vs Sebastian Korda in which he managed to win 0% of return points (0/0), hitting 0 aces himself during the match.
- Matteo Berrettini comes into this match having won a 0 battle vs Ugo Humbert in which he managed to win 0% of return points (0/0), hitting 0 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Alexei Popyrin has been holding serve 0% of the time (0/0), while Matteo Berrettini has held their serve 0% of the time (0/0.
Career Performance Prediction: Alexei Popyrin
- Alexei Popyrin has a career high ranking of 48, while Matteo Berrettini has a career high rank of 59.
- Alexei Popyrin has claimed 6 Career titles and career earnings of $52,47,870, versus 15 trophies for Matteo Berrettini and $95,00,220 prize money.
- Alexei Popyrin has a 46% deciding set win % (13/28), compared to 57% for Matteo Berrettini (17/30)
- The 1st serve of Alexei Popyrin has resulted in him winning 62% of points, and Matteo Berrettini has won 64% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 48% for Alexei Popyrin and 53% for Matteo Berrettini.
- After losing the first set, Alexei Popyrin manages to turn the match around and win it 16% of the time, and Matteo Berrettini has a 29% record in eventually winning the match.
