Uncover all the insights for the bookmaking market for the Frances Tiafoe vs Holger Rune clash for the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati 2025 on the August 13, 2025, in this preview below. We reveal the Frances Tiafoe vs Holger Rune picks, betting tips & odds for this match in the our analysis below.
Pick Based On Odds: Holger Rune to triumph
- Derived via the sportsbook odds, Holger Rune is favored to win in this match with a 50.92% chance to win. An accurate tip? Most likely, as Oddsmakers produce sharp predictions:
Frances Tiafoe → 1.94
Holger Rune → 1.87Prediction Chance Of Win Frances Tiafoe 49.08 % Holger Rune 50.92 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.
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Prediction Based On H2H: Frances Tiafoe to win the match
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | 1 |
| Holger Rune | 0 |
H2H: Frances Tiafoe (1 – 0) Holger Rune.
Frances Tiafoe to win. The reason? For the most recent 1 H2H games between them, Frances Tiafoe is up 1 – 0. Our H2H analysis starts from the match between them in 2024. This suggests that Frances Tiafoe is likely to win in this upcoming battle. The last meeting was on the Sun, 18 Aug 24, when Frances Tiafoe got a 4-6-7 – 6-1-6(4) victory.
Holger Rune has never got the win against Frances Tiafoe showing they have little chance.
Form-Based Prediction: Evenly matched
Examining team momentum heading into this match, Frances Tiafoe got the win vs Ugo Humbert with a result of 6-6/4-4. Holger Rune claimed a win vs Alex Michelsen with a result of 7-6/6(4)-3. Frances Tiafoe have prevailed in 6 of their recent 10 matches in all competitions, while Holger Rune triumphed in 6 of their recent 10 matches in all competitions, suggesting maybe this match is too close to call.
Recent Form Prediction: Close to call
- Frances Tiafoe has won 7 of the last 10 matches played, while Holger Rune has secured 6 victories over the same range.
- Frances Tiafoe has been winning 46% of their own second serve points, and 44% of their opponents, while Holger Rune has won 48% of their second serve points and 43% of their opponents.
- Frances Tiafoe comes into this match having won a 1 hour 23 min battle vs Ugo Humbert in which he managed to win 46% of return points (65/140), hitting 15 aces himself during the match.
- Holger Rune comes into this match having won a 1 hour 33 min battle vs Alex Michelsen in which he managed to win 36% of return points (47/132), hitting 13 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Frances Tiafoe has been holding serve 79% of the time (15/19), while Holger Rune has held their serve 87% of the time (20/23.
Career Performance Prediction: Close to call
- Frances Tiafoe has a career high ranking of 14, while Holger Rune has a career high rank of 9.
- Frances Tiafoe has claimed 11 Career titles and career earnings of $1,02,33,405, versus 14 trophies for Holger Rune and $94,36,465 prize money.
- Frances Tiafoe has a 52% deciding set win % (67/129), compared to 53% for Holger Rune (19/36)
- The 1st serve of Frances Tiafoe has resulted in him winning 60% of points, and Holger Rune has won 61% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 52% for Frances Tiafoe and 53% for Holger Rune.
- After losing the first set, Frances Tiafoe manages to turn the match around and win it 29% of the time, and Holger Rune has a 27% record in eventually winning the match.
