Championship Preview And Prediction: Derby County vs Leicester City Betting Tips & Picks December 6, 2025

Who The Odds Favor: Derby County to come out on top

• Implied from the sportsbook odds, Derby County are the pick to win in this fixture with a 36.36% probability to win. An accurate prediction? Most likely, due to Sportsbooks do their analysis:
  Derby County → 2.75
  Leicester City → 2.77

  Prediction	Chance Of Win
  Derby County	36.36 %
  Leicester City	36.1 %
  Draw	29.94 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Calculated probability from the odds, further shows there is a 50.51% chance that both Derby County and Leicester City to score goals (BTTS):
  Both Teams To Score Yes → 1.98

  Prediction	Chance Of BTTS
  Yes	50.51 %
  No	52.91 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Analyzing the odds for goal count suggests a likelihood of a 70.08% prediction of this match having higher than 1.5 total goals:
  Match Over 1.5 Goals → 1.43

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U FT (1.5)
  Over	70.08 %
  Under	32.26 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Evaluating the odds for total goals implies a likelihood of a 42.55% prediction of this match having over 2.5 total goals scored:
  Match Over 2.5 Goals → 2.35

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U FT (2.5)
  Over	42.55 %
  Under	60.24 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Assessing the odds for DNB suggests a likelihood of 52.63% expectation that Derby County will win in this match. Odds for:
  Derby County → 1.9

  Prediction	Chance Of Draw No Bet
  Derby County	52.63 %
  Leicester City	51.23 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.

• Analyzing the odds for goal count implies a likelihood of 29.85% prediction that this match will have more than 1.5 goals in the first half:
  Match Over 1.5 Goals → 3.35

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U 1H (1.5)
  Over	29.85 %
  Under	75.19 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

For deeper insights so you can win big, read our in-depth Football predictions at Matchstat.com. Uncover today’s best Football edge bets here.

H2H-Based Prediction: Leicester City to triumph

H2H: Leicester City (8 – 1) Derby County.
Leicester City to win. The reason? Over the last 10 head-to-head games between them, Leicester City lead 8 – 1. Our head to head analysis goes back to the game between them in 1996. This suggests that Leicester City are likely to win in this upcoming face-off. Their most recent fixture was on the Sat, 23 Jul 22, when Leicester City secured a 3 – 1 win.

Can Derby County reverse the trend and overcome the H2H stats? The last time Derby County defeated Leicester City occurred on Sat, 16 Mar 13, indicating that they could come out on top.

Current Form Prediction: Derby County to get the victory

Examining team momentum heading into this match, Derby County faced a loss vs Middlesbrough with a score of 1-2. Leicester City suffered a defeat vs Sheffield United with a result of 2-3. Derby County have triumphed in 6 of their recent 10 matches versus all opponents, while Leicester City got the victory in 3 of their recent 10 fixtures against all teams, suggesting perhaps Derby County have an edge heading into this match.

Evaluating team streaks gives us valuable information into current form so we can identify winning wagers

Versus All Teams Streaks:

• Derby County: Without clean sheet in the last 6 matches.
• Leicester City: Without clean sheet in the last 12 matches.
• Derby County: More than 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 6 matches.
• Leicester City: More than 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Derby County: Both teams scoring in 6 of the last 6 matches.
• Leicester City: Both teams scoring in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Derby County: First to score in 8 of the last 8 matches.
• Leicester City: First to concede in 6 of the last 8 matches.
• Derby County: First half winner in 7 of the last 7 matches.
• Derby County: Less than 4.5 cards in 8 of the last 8 matches.
• Leicester City: Less than 4.5 cards in 8 of the last 10 matches.
• Derby County: More than 10.5 corners in 5 of the last 6 matches.

Exact Head-to-Head Streaks:

• Leicester City: 6 No losses.
• Derby County: Without clean sheet in the last 12 matches.
• Leicester City: Without clean sheet in the last 5 matches.
• Both teams: More than 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Both teams: Both teams scoring in 5 of the last 5 matches.
• Leicester City: First to score in 5 of the last 6 matches.
• Both teams: Less than 4.5 cards in 10 of the last 10 matches.

Derby County vs Leicester City Best Bookie Odds For The Game

Full Time Result

1W

2.75

2W

2.77

X

3.34

Both Teams To Score

Yes

1.98

No

1.89

Over Under Full Time

> 1.5

1.427

< 1.5

3.1

> 2.5

2.35

< 2.5

1.66

Draw No Bet

1W

1.9

2W

1.952

Over Under First Half

> 1.5

3.35

< 1.5

1.33

Asian Handicap && -1.5

1W -1.5

5.6

2W -1.5

1.11

Over Under Second Half

> 1.5

2.38

< 1.5

1.53

Derby County vs Leicester City Tips

Over Under Full Time 1.5 → Over would seem to be a reasonable gamble → 1.43