Uncover all the insights around gambling market for the Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez match for the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona 2025 on the April 16, 2025, in the following analysis. We reveal the Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez forecasts, betting tips and odds markets for this encounter in the our analysis beneath.
Who The Odds Predict: Holger Rune to come out on top
- Derived via the sportsbook odds, Holger Rune are the pick to win in this game with a 56.52% probability to win. Is this accurate? Yes, as Sportsbooks are experts:
Holger Rune → 1.70
Sebastian Baez → 2.21Prediction Chance Of Win Sebastian Baez 43.48 % Holger Rune 56.52 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.
- According to the odds for total games, the most likely outcome over 20 with odds of 1.55 and an implied probability of 64.52%. This suggests the match is expected to be closely contested, possibly featuring long rallies.
over 20 → 1.55
Prediction Over/Under over_20 64.52 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On H2H: Sebastian Baez to secure victory
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Holger Rune | 2 |
| Sebastian Baez | 3 |
Head To Head: Holger Rune (2 – 3) Sebastian Baez.
Sebastian Baez to win. Why? Analyzing the last 5 H2H fixtures between these two sides, Sebastian Baez are ahead 2 – 3. Our head-to-head analysis goes back to the fixture between them in 2021. This implies that Sebastian Baez are likely to win in this upcoming fixture. The last game was on the Mon, 13 May 24, when Sebastian Baez achieved a 2-6-6 – 6-2-3 win.
Holger Rune have never won against Sebastian Baez showing they have little chance.
Form-Based Prediction: Holger Rune to win
Looking at team momentum heading into this game, Holger Rune won up against Albert Ramos-Vinolas with a score of 7-6/5-4. Sebastian Baez claimed a win up against Damir Dzumhur with a result of 6-7/1-5. Holger Rune have triumphed in 6 of their recent 10 matches in all competitions, whereas Sebastian Baez got the victory in 5 of their last 10 games against all teams, suggesting maybe Holger Rune have an edge heading into this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Holger Rune
- Holger Rune has won 6 of the last 10 matches he has played, while Sebastian Baez has secured 5 victories over the same range.
- Holger Rune has been winning 48% of his own second serve points, and 43% of his opponents, while Sebastian Baez has won 46% of his second serve points and 46% of his opponents.
- Holger Rune comes into this match having won a 1 hour 40 min battle vs Albert Ramos-Vinolas in which he managed to win 41% of return points (28/68), hitting 4 aces himself during the match.
- Sebastian Baez comes into this match having won a 1 hour 26 min battle vs Damir Dzumhur in which he managed to win 52% of return points (36/69), hitting 1 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Holger Rune has been holding serve 91% of the time (10/11), while Sebastian Baez has held his serve 78% of the time (7/9.
Career Performance Prediction: Holger Rune
- Holger Rune has a career high ranking of 13, while Sebastian Baez has a career high rank of 35.
- Holger Rune has claimed 13 Career titles and career earnings of $83,76,905, versus 18 trophies for Sebastian Baez and $33,29,820 prize money.
- Holger Rune has a 63% deciding set win % (39/62), compared to 61% for Sebastian Baez (73/120)
- The 1st serve of Holger Rune has resulted in him winning 63% of points, and Sebastian Baez has won 72% of his first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 53% for Holger Rune and 53% for Sebastian Baez.
- After losing the first set, Holger Rune manages to turn the match around and win it 25% of the time, and Sebastian Baez has a 37% record in eventually winning the match.
