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Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Korda Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Paul vs Korda analysis and find out who is favored!

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Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Korda Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Paul 2 - 4 Korda

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Paul has won 55.27% of points on their second serve, while Korda has won 51.09%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Paul, in recent form, has won 52.47% of their opponent's second serve points, while Korda has won 51.96%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.66% and 28.09% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Paul has saved 66.42% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Korda has saved 57.75% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Paul has won 66.67% of matches played (W/L 48/ 24), with Korda winning 58.33% (W/L 35/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Paul has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 32/ 16), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 57/ 35). Korda has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 64% (W/L 16/ 9), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 80/ 57).
  • Player level: In the last year, Paul has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 67.86% of matches (W/L 19/ 9), where as Korda has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 62.5% of matches (W/L 20/ 12). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Paul winning 2 times and Korda being victorious 4 times. They have played 17 sets in total, with Paul winning 7 and Korda winning 10. The last match between Paul and Korda was at the cinch Championships - London, 22-06-2024, Semifinals, Grass with Tommy Paul getting the victory 6-4 7-6(2).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:58:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Paul and Korda have played a deciding set 3 times, with Paul winning 1 times and Korda 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Paul winning 1, and Korda 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Paul has played against opponents with an average rank of 129.43 while Korda has played against players with an average rank of 137.08.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Paul has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Korda has won 55% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Paul has converted 43.62% of breakpoint opportunities, and Korda has converted 38.13% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Tommy Paul

13

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

6

Minor

13

Rank

12

High

27

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

4

1

Hard

2

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

1

21

Rank

20

High

24

Age

R

Plays

Sebastian Korda

3

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

0

Minor

2

Total

4

1

Hard

2

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

1

W W W W W W W W W L

Form

W W W W L W W W L L

64% (415-234)

Career Total W/L

60% (229-153)

74% (31-11)

YTD W/L

58% (22-16)

$6,719,590

Career Prize Money

$3,931,945

2

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Paul VS Korda H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Tommy Paul Sebastian Korda
All H2H Matches 2 4
Sets Won 7 10
Games Won 72 86
Aces (Total) 18 31
DFs Total 18 7
Avg Match Time 1:58:0 1:58:0
1st Serve % 61% (314/515) 66% (320/488)
1st Serve Win% 67% (209/314) 73% (235/320)
2nd Serve Win% 49% (99/201) 49% (83/168)
BPs Won% (Total) 28% (13/46) 48% (21/44)
Return Points W% 35% (170/488) 40% (207/515)
Best of 3 Sets W% 20% (1/5) 80% (4/5)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
1st set W, W 67% (3/2) 100% (3/3)
1st set W, L 33% (3/1) 0% (3/0)
1st set L, W 0% (3/0) 33% (3/1)

Paul VS Korda H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 7-6(2)
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Korda
68% ( 50 of 73)
1st Serve %
53% ( 35 of 66)
5
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
62% ( 31 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 12 of 31)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
74
Total Points Won
65
6-4 6-2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 59)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
84% ( 27 of 32)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 24 of 31)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
20% ( 9 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
61
Total Points Won
42
6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Korda
61% ( 94 of 155)
1st Serve %
69% ( 89 of 129)
3
Aces
11
5
Double Faults
1
72% ( 68 of 94)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 64 of 89)
54% ( 33 of 61)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 18 of 40)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
35% ( 54 of 155)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 47 of 129)
148
Total Points Won
136
6-3 5-7 6-1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
61% ( 60 of 98)
1st Serve %
62% ( 59 of 95)
9
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
4
78% ( 47 of 60)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 39 of 59)
53% ( 20 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
32% ( 31 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 39 of 95)
106
Total Points Won
87
6-3 6-3
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
72% ( 46 of 64)
1st Serve %
50% ( 25 of 50)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
76% ( 35 of 46)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
39% ( 7 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
34% ( 22 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 24 of 50)
66
Total Points Won
48
4-6 6-3 6-2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
67% ( 58 of 87)
1st Serve %
66% ( 55 of 83)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
62% ( 36 of 58)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 34 of 55)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
38% ( 33 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 37 of 83)
91
Total Points Won
79

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Tommy Paul Sebastian Korda
YTD W/L 74% (31/11) 58% (22/16)
Sets Win/Loss 69% (78/35) 55% (53/44)
Games Win/Loss 56% (593/463) 51% (499/472)
Hard Win/Loss 63% (10/6) 57% (8/6)
Clay Win/Loss 70% (7/3) 50% (5/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (4/0) 50% (2/2)
Grass Win/Loss 83% (10/2) 70% (7/3)
Aces pg 0.46 0.66
Aces Total 236 313
DFs per game 0.14 0.14
DFs Total 73 69
Avg Match Time 1:55:1 1:46:33
Avg Opp Rank 129.9 137.58
1st Serve % 61% (2041/3330) 61% (1789/2951)
1st Serve W% 72% (1464/2041) 75% (1335/1789)
2nd Serve W% 55% (715/1289) 51% (591/1162)
BPs Won% Total 44% (150/343) 38% (104/275)
Return Pts W% 41% (1399/3397) 37% (1143/3095)
Slam W/L 73% (8/3) 57% (4/3)
Masters W/L 69% (9/4) 50% (5/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 78% (14/4) 60% (12/8)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 77% (23/30) 58% (18/31)
Best of 5 Sets W% 73% (8/11) 57% (4/7)
TBs Win% (Total) 70% (7/10) 45% (9/20)
Deciding Set W% 62% (8/13) 64% (7/11)
1st set W, W 84% (32/27) 95% (21/20)
1st set W, L 13% (32/4) 5% (21/1)
1st set L, W 40% (10/4) 12% (17/2)

Tommy Paul Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Tommy Paul
61% ( 73 of 119)
1st Serve %
60% ( 82 of 136)
7
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
66% ( 48 of 73)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 47 of 82)
63% ( 29 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
30% ( 8 of 27)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
35% ( 42 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 62 of 136)
139
Total Points Won
116
L
5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Roberto Bautista Agut
61% ( 54 of 88)
1st Serve %
76% ( 67 of 88)
11
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
80% ( 43 of 54)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 36 of 67)
62% ( 21 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 13 of 21)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
27% ( 24 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 39 of 88)
103
Total Points Won
73
W
6-2 7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Alexander Bublik
69% ( 52 of 75)
1st Serve %
65% ( 51 of 79)
9
Aces
15
3
Double Faults
2
85% ( 44 of 52)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 36 of 51)
61% ( 14 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 17 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 34 of 79)
92
Total Points Won
62
W
6-3 6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Otto Virtanen
69% ( 104 of 151)
1st Serve %
55% ( 82 of 149)
9
Aces
11
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 82 of 104)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 58 of 82)
57% ( 27 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 41 of 67)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
28% ( 42 of 151)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 50 of 149)
159
Total Points Won
141
W
4-6 6-3 5-7 7-5 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Pedro Martinez Portero
53% ( 48 of 91)
1st Serve %
66% ( 71 of 107)
10
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
9
81% ( 39 of 48)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 46 of 71)
58% ( 25 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 13 of 36)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
30% ( 27 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 48 of 107)
112
Total Points Won
86
W
6-2 6-1 4-6 6-3 H2H
F
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
68% ( 47 of 69)
1st Serve %
77% ( 43 of 56)
6
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
77% ( 36 of 47)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 28 of 43)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 8 of 13)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 20 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 20 of 56)
69
Total Points Won
56
W
6-1 7-6(8) H2H
SF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Korda
68% ( 50 of 73)
1st Serve %
53% ( 35 of 66)
5
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
62% ( 31 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 12 of 31)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
74
Total Points Won
65
W
6-4 7-6(2) H2H
QF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Jack Draper
60% ( 57 of 95)
1st Serve %
57% ( 46 of 81)
7
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
4
75% ( 43 of 57)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 37 of 46)
53% ( 20 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 27 of 81)
90
Total Points Won
86
W
6-3 5-7 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Alejandro Tabilo
68% ( 36 of 53)
1st Serve %
65% ( 41 of 63)
10
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
86% ( 31 of 36)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 30 of 41)
76% ( 13 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
20% ( 2 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
17% ( 9 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 24 of 63)
68
Total Points Won
48
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Baez
67% ( 50 of 75)
1st Serve %
72% ( 59 of 82)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 38 of 50)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 30 of 59)
48% ( 12 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 38 of 82)
88
Total Points Won
69
W
6-4 6-4 H2H

Sebastian Korda Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Player
Sebastian Korda
71% ( 138 of 195)
1st Serve %
65% ( 112 of 171)
51
Aces
18
10
Double Faults
4
84% ( 116 of 138)
1st Serve Won
85% ( 95 of 112)
51% ( 29 of 57)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 35 of 59)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 11)
26% ( 50 of 195)
Rtn Points Won
24% ( 41 of 171)
186
Total Points Won
180
L
7-6(5) 6-7(4) 7-6(6) 6-7(4) 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Korda
68% ( 50 of 73)
1st Serve %
53% ( 35 of 66)
5
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
62% ( 31 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 12 of 31)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
74
Total Points Won
65
L
6-4 7-6(2) H2H
QF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Rinky Hijikata
55% ( 58 of 106)
1st Serve %
52% ( 46 of 89)
6
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
71% ( 41 of 58)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 35 of 46)
54% ( 26 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 18 of 43)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
37% ( 39 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 36 of 89)
103
Total Points Won
92
W
6-7(4) 6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
66% ( 54 of 82)
1st Serve %
62% ( 64 of 103)
8
Aces
11
0
Double Faults
5
83% ( 45 of 54)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 49 of 64)
46% ( 13 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 17 of 39)
21% ( 3 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
29% ( 24 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 103)
95
Total Points Won
90
W
6-4 3-6 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Karen Khachanov
60% ( 39 of 65)
1st Serve %
57% ( 46 of 81)
11
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
4
92% ( 36 of 39)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 38 of 46)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
14% ( 1 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
18% ( 12 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 27 of 81)
80
Total Points Won
66
W
7-5 7-6(5) H2H
F
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Sebastian Korda
53% ( 30 of 57)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
2
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
4
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
37% ( 10 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
42% ( 24 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 38 of 72)
71
Total Points Won
58
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
58% ( 33 of 57)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
81% ( 13 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 9 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 23 of 57)
60
Total Points Won
43
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 59)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
84% ( 27 of 32)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 24 of 31)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
20% ( 9 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
61
Total Points Won
42
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Luca Nardi
59% ( 44 of 75)
1st Serve %
67% ( 60 of 89)
7
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
4
84% ( 37 of 44)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 37 of 60)
42% ( 13 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 40 of 89)
90
Total Points Won
74
W
7-5 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tristan Schoolkate
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve %
55% ( 36 of 65)
15
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
1
84% ( 36 of 43)
1st Serve Won
89% ( 32 of 36)
80% ( 16 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
17% ( 11 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 19 of 65)
71
Total Points Won
57
W
6-4 7-6(4) H2H

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