Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
T. Paul vs M. Arnaldi
Tommy Paul
USA
w
l
l
w
l
w
l
w
w
l
1
Win
1
Played
0
Win
28
Age
24
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
-
20
C. Rank
63
8
Best Rank
30
4
Total Titles
0
0
YTD Titles
0
$9.5M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
1
Win
1
Played
0
Win
28
Age
24
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
-
20
C. Rank
63
8
Best Rank
30
4
Total Titles
0
0
YTD Titles
0
$9.5M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Head-to-head: Paul 1 - 0 Arnaldi
They have played 2 sets in total, with Tommy Paul winning 2 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 0. The last match between Tommy Paul and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo, 26-09-2024, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Tommy Paul getting the victory 6-3 6-2.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Paul | 1 |
| Arnaldi | 0 |
Last 1 H2H Matches:
(R1) Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo(09-26-24)
Tommy Paul
6
6
Matteo Arnaldi
3
2
T. Paul vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $9,546,065 | Career Prize Money | $2,532,865 |
| 64.24% (458-255) | Career Total W/L | 59.90% (239-160) |
| 1 | Hard | 0 |
| 14 | Titles | 6 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 0 |
| 69.05% (29-13) | YTD Win/Loss | 45.45% (20-24) |
T. Paul vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Tommy Paul has won 46.59% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.53%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Tommy Paul, in recent form, has won 46.03% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.59%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.35% and 25.15% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Tommy Paul has saved 54.02% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.04% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Tommy Paul has won 69.05% of matches played (W/L 29/13), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 46.94% (W/L 23/26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Tommy Paul has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 65% (W/L 33/18), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 64/38). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28).
- Player level: In the last year, Tommy Paul has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 10/5), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Tommy Paul winning 1 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Tommy Paul winning 2 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 0.
- The last match between Tommy Paul and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo, 26-09-2024, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Tommy Paul getting the victory 6-3 6-2.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:8:26.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Tommy Paul has played against opponents with an average rank of 82.57 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 62.22.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Tommy Paul has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Tommy Paul has converted 31.75% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25.83% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
T. Paul vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 0 |
| 2 | Sets Won | 0 |
| 12 | Games Won | 5 |
| 3 | Aces (Total) | 0 |
| 0 | Total Double Faults | 2 |
| 1:8:26 | Average Match Time | 1:8:26 |
| 59% (24/41) | 1st Serve % | 61% (33/54) |
| 71% (17/24) | 1st Serve Win % | 48% (16/33) |
| 88% (15/17) | 2nd Serve Win % | 52% (11/21) |
| 67% (4/6) | Break Pts Won % | 0% (0/0) |
| 50% (27/54) | Return Points Win % | 22% (9/41) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Paul 53%, Arnaldi 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Paul 53%, Arnaldi 47%.
Break Points Saved %: Paul 63%, Arnaldi 65%.
T. Paul Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R3  Alexander BublikA. Bublik | L | 7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-3 6-7(5) 6-1 | ||
R2  Nuno BorgesN. Borges | W | 7-6(6) 6-3 5-7 5-7 7-5 | ||
R1  Elmer MollerE. Moller | W | 6-3 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025 | ||||
R3  Adrian MannarinoA. Mannarino | L | 5-7 6-3 6-4 | ||
R2  Pedro Martinez PorteroP. Martinez | W | 6-2 6-2 | ||
M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
Q1  Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley | L | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
R2  Alexander ZverevA. Zverev | L | 6-4 6-4 | ||
R1 Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic | W | 7-5 6-4 | ||
Q3  Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate | W | 7-6(5) 6-3 | ||
Q1  Jesper De JongJ. De | W | 6-4 7-6(5) | ||
T. Paul vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 64.24% (458/255) | YTD Win/Loss | 59.90% (239/160) |
| 60.08% (1070/711) | Sets Win/Loss | 57.91% (560/407) |
| 53.40% (9154/7989) | Games Win/Loss | 52.58% (4842/4366) |
| 64.00% (224/126) | Hard Win/Loss | 60.71% (85/55) |
| 65.24% (137/73) | Clay Win/Loss | 65.35% (132/70) |
| 62.75% (64/38) | Indoor Hard W/L | 38.30% (18/29) |
| 64.71% (33/18) | Grass Win/Loss | 40.00% (4/6) |
| 0.36 | Aces Per Game | 0.36 |
| 3009 | Aces Total | 1621 |
| 0.18 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.25 |
| 1524 | Total Double Faults | 1126 |
| 1:31:31 | Average Match Time | 1:45:46 |
| 391.96 | Average Opponent Rank | 302.44 |
| 60% (28451/47385) | 1st Serve % | 59% (16488/28035) |
| 71% (20218/28451) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (11281/16488) |
| 53% (9952/18935) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (5794/11542) |
| 42% (1944/4585) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (1155/2712) |
| 39% (18664/47549) | Return Points Win % | 40% (10868/27336) |
| 62.35% (53/32) | Slam W/L | 56.25% (18/14) |
| 61.74% (71/44) | Masters W/L | 54.39% (31/26) |
| 55.56% (5/4) | Cups W/L | 80.00% (4/1) |
| 61.14% (118/75) | Main Tour W/L | 48.57% (34/36) |
| 63.25% (105/61) | Challenger W/L | 59.84% (73/49) |
| 73.57% (103/37) | Futures W/L | 70.27% (78/33) |
| 64% (404/630) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 61% (223/367) |
| 64% (47/74) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 43% (12/28) |
| 54% (149/278) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (76/131) |
| 60% (151/250) | Deciding Set Win % | 51% (68/133) |
| 88% (425/372) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (242/200) |
| 12% (425/52) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 17% (242/42) |
| 29% (288/84) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (156/37) |
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