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Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Paul vs Medvedev analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Paul 1 - 3 Medvedev

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Paul has won 55.16% of points on their second serve, while Medvedev has won 49.32%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Paul, in recent form, has won 53.61% of their opponent's second serve points, while Medvedev has won 53.03%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.3% and 32.82% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Paul has saved 65.2% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Medvedev has saved 60.32% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Paul has won 65.75% of matches played (W/L 48/ 25), with Medvedev winning 72.22% (W/L 52/ 20) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Paul has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 64% (W/L 27/ 15), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 57/ 35). Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 237/ 74), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 85/ 47).
  • Player level: In the last year, Paul has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 67.74% of matches (W/L 21/ 10), where as Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Paul winning 1 times and Medvedev being victorious 3 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Paul winning 4 and Medvedev winning 7. The last match between Paul and Medvedev was at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome, 14-05-2024, Fourth, Clay with Tommy Paul getting the victory 6-1 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:49:1.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Paul and Medvedev have played a deciding set 1 times, with Paul winning 0 times and Medvedev 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Paul winning 0, and Medvedev 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Paul has played against opponents with an average rank of 135.22 while Medvedev has played against players with an average rank of 98.4.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Paul has won 58% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Medvedev has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Paul has converted 42.27% of breakpoint opportunities, and Medvedev has converted 44.74% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Tommy Paul

13

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

2

Main

6

Minor

13

Rank

12

High

27

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

3

0

Hard

2

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

5

Rank

1

High

28

Age

R

Plays

Daniil Medvedev

25

Total

6

Mast

1

Chall

1

Slam

12

Main

4

Minor

1

Total

3

0

Hard

2

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L W W L W L W W W W

Form

W L W L W W W L W L

64% (410-233)

Career Total W/L

71% (516-206)

72% (26-10)

YTD W/L

75% (27-9)

$6,344,590

Career Prize Money

$29,373,910

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Paul VS Medvedev H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Tommy Paul Daniil Medvedev
All H2H Matches 1 3
Sets Won 4 7
Games Won 43 52
Aces (Total) 11 16
DFs Total 7 10
Avg Match Time 1:49:1 1:49:1
1st Serve % 61% (200/328) 59% (167/284)
1st Serve Win% 58% (116/200) 71% (118/167)
2nd Serve Win% 45% (58/128) 44% (51/117)
BPs Won% (Total) 56% (15/27) 49% (20/41)
Return Points W% 40% (115/284) 47% (154/328)
Best of 3 Sets W% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 33% (3/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 67% (3/2) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 67% (3/2)

Paul VS Medvedev H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-1 6-4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve %
45% ( 19 of 42)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
59% ( 23 of 39)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
74% ( 14 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
36% ( 21 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
58
Total Points Won
42
1-6 7-6(3) 6-2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
62% ( 64 of 103)
1st Serve %
53% ( 53 of 100)
2
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
59% ( 38 of 64)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
41% ( 16 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 21 of 47)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
48% ( 49 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 100)
99
Total Points Won
104
6-2 6-1
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve %
60% ( 32 of 53)
9
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
85% ( 29 of 34)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
44% ( 7 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
28% ( 14 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 30 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
37
3-6 6-1 6-4 6-3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
56% ( 50 of 89)
1st Serve %
65% ( 76 of 117)
4
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 40 of 50)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 44 of 76)
46% ( 18 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 15 of 41)
53% ( 8 of 15)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
35% ( 31 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 58 of 117)
116
Total Points Won
90

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Tommy Paul Daniil Medvedev
YTD W/L 72% (26/10) 75% (27/9)
Sets Win/Loss 68% (63/29) 66% (66/34)
Games Win/Loss 56% (478/377) 54% (524/452)
Hard Win/Loss 63% (10/6) 82% (18/4)
Clay Win/Loss 70% (7/3) 67% (8/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (4/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 83% (5/1) 50% (1/1)
Aces pg 0.45 0.45
Aces Total 189 214
DFs per game 0.15 0.3
DFs Total 63 144
Avg Match Time 1:51:22 2:7:24
Avg Opp Rank 134.83 109.97
1st Serve % 61% (1654/2720) 62% (1890/3070)
1st Serve W% 71% (1173/1654) 73% (1372/1890)
2nd Serve W% 55% (588/1066) 49% (582/1180)
BPs Won% Total 42% (123/291) 45% (136/304)
Return Pts W% 42% (1166/2799) 40% (1264/3150)
Slam W/L 67% (4/2) 82% (9/2)
Masters W/L 69% (9/4) 74% (14/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 76% (13/4) 67% (4/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 76% (22/29) 76% (19/25)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (4/6) 80% (8/10)
TBs Win% (Total) 63% (5/8) 80% (12/15)
Deciding Set W% 58% (7/12) 80% (8/10)
1st set W, W 85% (27/23) 91% (22/20)
1st set W, L 11% (27/3) 9% (22/2)
1st set L, W 33% (9/3) 50% (14/7)

Tommy Paul Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
SF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Korda
68% ( 50 of 73)
1st Serve %
53% ( 35 of 66)
5
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
62% ( 31 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 12 of 31)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
74
Total Points Won
65
W
6-4 7-6(2) H2H
QF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Jack Draper
60% ( 57 of 95)
1st Serve %
57% ( 46 of 81)
7
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
4
75% ( 43 of 57)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 37 of 46)
53% ( 20 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 27 of 81)
90
Total Points Won
86
W
6-3 5-7 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Alejandro Tabilo
68% ( 36 of 53)
1st Serve %
65% ( 41 of 63)
10
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
86% ( 31 of 36)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 30 of 41)
76% ( 13 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
20% ( 2 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
17% ( 9 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 24 of 63)
68
Total Points Won
48
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Baez
67% ( 50 of 75)
1st Serve %
72% ( 59 of 82)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 38 of 50)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 30 of 59)
48% ( 12 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 38 of 82)
88
Total Points Won
69
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 59)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
84% ( 27 of 32)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 24 of 31)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
20% ( 9 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
61
Total Points Won
42
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Alexei Popyrin
66% ( 57 of 87)
1st Serve %
75% ( 79 of 105)
10
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
2
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 53 of 79)
67% ( 20 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
29% ( 25 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 42 of 105)
104
Total Points Won
88
W
5-7 6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Francisco Cerundolo
Player
Tommy Paul
73% ( 77 of 106)
1st Serve %
56% ( 64 of 115)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
0
66% ( 51 of 77)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 35 of 64)
38% ( 11 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 23 of 51)
47% ( 9 of 19)
Break Points Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
42% ( 44 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 57 of 115)
119
Total Points Won
102
L
3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Fabio Fognini
50% ( 31 of 62)
1st Serve %
58% ( 38 of 65)
7
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
77% ( 24 of 31)
1st Serve Won
39% ( 15 of 38)
71% ( 22 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
26% ( 16 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 37 of 65)
83
Total Points Won
44
W
6-1 6-0 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Pedro Cachin
55% ( 37 of 67)
1st Serve %
59% ( 54 of 91)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
78% ( 29 of 37)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 25 of 54)
57% ( 17 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 15 of 37)
50% ( 8 of 16)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
31% ( 21 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 51 of 91)
97
Total Points Won
61
W
6-2 6-3 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Tommy Paul
66% ( 78 of 118)
1st Serve %
63% ( 55 of 88)
13
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
67% ( 52 of 78)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 37 of 55)
53% ( 21 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
38% ( 45 of 118)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 30 of 88)
103
Total Points Won
103
L
6-3 6-7(3) 6-3 H2H

Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Zhizhen Zhang
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67% ( 71 of 106)
1st Serve %
63% ( 58 of 92)
12
Aces
13
4
Double Faults
5
72% ( 51 of 71)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 47 of 58)
49% ( 17 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 15 of 34)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
36% ( 38 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 30 of 92)
98
Total Points Won
100
L
6-3 2-6 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Nuno Borges
60% ( 45 of 75)
1st Serve %
72% ( 49 of 68)
9
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
2
76% ( 34 of 45)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 37 of 49)
57% ( 17 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 24 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 23 of 68)
74
Total Points Won
69
W
7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Daniil Medvedev
54% ( 55 of 101)
1st Serve %
57% ( 65 of 114)
7
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 42 of 55)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
57% ( 26 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 22 of 49)
50% ( 7 of 14)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
33% ( 33 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 52 of 114)
120
Total Points Won
95
L
4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tomas Machac
62% ( 93 of 149)
1st Serve %
63% ( 86 of 136)
14
Aces
3
9
Double Faults
2
66% ( 61 of 93)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 52 of 86)
50% ( 28 of 56)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 5 of 15)
40% ( 60 of 149)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 55 of 136)
144
Total Points Won
141
W
7-6(4) 7-5 1-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Miomir Kecmanovic
87% ( 27 of 31)
1st Serve %
59% ( 26 of 44)
6
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
85% ( 23 of 27)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
25% ( 1 of 4)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 5 of 18)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 7 of 31)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
50
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 5-0 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dominik Koepfer
68% ( 73 of 108)
1st Serve %
65% ( 88 of 135)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
5
77% ( 56 of 73)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 50 of 88)
43% ( 15 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 22 of 47)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 4 of 4)
34% ( 37 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 63 of 135)
134
Total Points Won
109
W
6-3 6-4 5-7 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve %
45% ( 19 of 42)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
59% ( 23 of 39)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
74% ( 14 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
36% ( 21 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
58
Total Points Won
42
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Jack Draper
50% ( 35 of 70)
1st Serve %
48% ( 32 of 66)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
83% ( 29 of 35)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 21 of 32)
40% ( 14 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 14 of 34)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
39% ( 27 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 31 of 66)
74
Total Points Won
62
W
7-5 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67% ( 16 of 24)
1st Serve %
70% ( 23 of 33)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
94% ( 15 of 16)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 15 of 23)
63% ( 5 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
17% ( 4 of 24)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 12 of 33)
32
Total Points Won
25
L
6-4 ret. H2H
R4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alexander Bublik
57% ( 37 of 65)
1st Serve %
57% ( 46 of 81)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
68% ( 25 of 37)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 12 of 35)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
35% ( 23 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 36 of 81)
78
Total Points Won
68
W
7-6(3) 6-4 H2H

Paul Vs Medvedev Prediction H2H Images To Share

More tennis photos of Paul are available here and Medvedev photos here.


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