Tom Paris vs Matthew William Donald Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Over the past six months, Tom Paris has outperformed Matthew William Donald on second serves, winning 44.80% of points compared to 40.98%. This stat is a strong predictor for match outcomes.
• Return Game Analysis: Although Tom Paris excels in winning 47.02% of second serve return points, Matthew William Donald edges ahead on first serve returns, capturing 30.58% compared to Paris's 24.14%.
• Breakpoint Resilience: Both players show similar capability under pressure, with Matthew William Donald slightly ahead, saving 50.71% of breakpoints to Tom Paris's 50.59%.
• Overall Performance: Over the last year, Tom Paris won 65.38% of his matches, whereas Matthew William Donald achieved a 58.57% win rate, indicating a stronger overall performance by Paris.
• Preferred Surface: Both players show equal strength on hard courts with a 65% win rate; however, Paris performs slightly better than Donald on clay.
• Player Circuit Level: Paris has mostly competed in Challengers/ITF tournaments, while Donald has played in Futures/Satellites, winning a higher proportion of matches in his respective category.
• Head-to-Head Record: Paris leads the head-to-head with a 1-0 record, winning both sets played against Donald in their past encounter.
• Opponent Ranking: The average ranking of Paris's opponents over the past year has been slightly higher, suggesting tougher competition compared to Donald's matches.
• Deciding Set Performance: If this match reaches a deciding set, Tom Paris has the advantage, having won 78% of such sets in the last year, compared to Donald's 44%.

Editorial Prediction (October 24, 2025, UTC):

With both players showcasing competitive stats, the key differentiators will likely emerge from their second serve performance and return capabilities.

Tom Paris demonstrates superior overall match-winning consistency and higher success rates when matches are close, particularly in deciding sets.

Furthermore, their head-to-head history favors Paris, whose recent victory on the same surface emphasizes his advantage over Matthew William Donald.

Given these factors, Tom Paris is the predicted favorite to win the upcoming match against Matthew William Donald.