Thiago Moura Monteiro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When assessing predictions and comparisons between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Thiago Monteiro for their upcoming tennis match, critical performance metrics provide a detailed lens. Over the recent six months, Carabelli's second serve success stands at 42.05%, whereas Monteiro showcases a more robust performance with 50.38%. This particular statistic often plays a significant role in determining match outcomes.

The analysis of return game effectiveness shows that Carabelli has been able to claim 48.23% of points from his opponent's second serves, compared to Monteiro’s 40.5%. When examining first serve return stats, Carabelli leads with 30.83% against Monteiro's 21.32%, a substantial indicator of the competitors' head-to-head matchup potential. Furthermore, the ability to handle critical pressure situations is vital: Carabelli has saved 52.42% of breakpoints in recent competition, while Monteiro has excelled with 62.43%.

Examining year-long performance, Carabelli boasts a 66.29% match win rate (W/L 59/30), overshadowing Monteiro's 55.22% (W/L 37/30). Both players display their prowess on clay, with Carabelli achieving a 65% win record (W/L 326/174) and Monteiro at 60% (W/L 415/273), though their least favorable surfaces differ, with Carabelli struggling on Grass and Monteiro on Indoor hard courts.

Exploring the level of tournaments they frequented, Carabelli stood out in Challengers/ITF events > $10K, with a significant 76.47% win rate (W/L 52/16), while Monteiro held a 60% success rate (W/L 15/10) within the same competitive tier. Taking into account their head-to-head history, Monteiro has a marginal edge, having won twice out of three past encounters, although both players have claimed four sets each.

The head-to-head rematches have averaged close to two and a half hours in match duration, indicating closely contested games. Interestingly, in deciding sets, where match intensity peaks, Monteiro holds the advantage, having won both instances, while Carabelli's broader performance in deciding sets showcases a higher overall success rate over the past year, securing 70% against Monteiro's 46%.

When examining opponent quality, Carabelli’s opponents have had an average rank of 226.7, facing comparatively stiffer competition, as Monteiro's opponents averaged a ranking of 204.75. Additionally, Carabelli has outperformed Monteiro in converting breakpoints, achieving a 34.62% conversion rate to Monteiro's 27.78%, providing insights for in-game betting when breakpoint opportunities arise.

Given the combination of Carabelli's superior performance metrics in key areas like breakpoints conversion, return stats, and a higher win rate in deciding sets, alongside a recent head-to-head victory on clay, it appears Carabelli might have a slight edge coming into this match. Consequently, if current trends continue, Carabelli could be expected to emerge victorious in this encounter.