Tegan Bush vs Erin Pearce Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Bush has a second serve win rate of 39.64%, lower than Pearce's 46.59%—a crucial factor in determining the match outcome.
• Return Game Stats: Bush wins 54.66% of opponent's second serve points, slightly behind Pearce's 55.36%, indicating Pearce's slight edge in return games.
• First Serve Return: With a close battle in first serve returns, Bush at 36.46% and Pearce at 37.18%, does Pearce hold an advantage? Perhaps slightly.
• Under Pressure: Pearce excels in saving breakpoints, standing at 67.74%, compared to Bush's 45.05%. This could be very significant during tense moments.
• Performance Overview: Last year, Bush won 53.33% of matches (W/L 8/7), outperforming Pearce who won just 25% (W/L 3/9). Does this point to a likely winner? Possibly.
• Best Surface: Bush has a 60% win rate on Hard courts, Pearce just 25%, suggesting Bush could be more comfortable this surface.
• Player Level: Both compete on Challengers/ITF > $10K, but Bush has been more successful with a 53.33% win rate vs. Pearce's 33.33%, possibly indicating better form.
• Opponent Quality: Bush faces opponents with a rank average of 454.93, while Pearce faces higher-ranked foes averaging 201.17. Does this influence their performance stats? Possibly.
• Deciding Set Performance: Bush wins 60% of deciding sets in the last year, against Pearce's 22%, crucial for matches heading to a deciding set.
• Break Point Conversion: Bush converts 35.9% of break points vs. Pearce's 41.67%, indicating Pearce’s slight advantage in capitalizing on opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (July 14, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the stats, second serve performance and return statistics favor Pearce slightly, showcasing his better effectiveness in converting returns into points.

However, Bush's impressive match-winning record over the past year and his comfort on hard surfaces suggest he might have an overall advantage, especially considering Pearce's struggles on the same surface.

The deciding set performance is notably in Bush's favor, crucial for tight matches. Pearce's strengths in saving breakpoints and opponent quality faced could challenge Bush significantly.

In summary, while Pearce shows strengths in specific areas, Bush’s winning consistency and surface comfort tilt the odds in his favor. Bush is the likely winner of this upcoming match.