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Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

By Wojtek Kolan

Head To Head: Maria 1 - 3 Keys

They have played 9 sets in total, with Maria winning 3 and Keys winning 6. The last match between Maria and Keys was at the LTA London Championships - London, 14-06-2025, Round: Semifinals, Surface: Grass, with Tatjana Maria getting the victory 6-3 7-6(3).

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Tatjana Maria 1
Madison Keys 3

LAST H2H MATCH: LTA London Championships - London(14-06-2025)

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6 3
7 6
Maria vs Keys H2H Profile
Maria Stats Keys
54% (22-19) YTD Win/Loss 76% (32-10)
1 Head-to-Head 3
45 Ranking 8
42 Highest Rank 5
37 Age 30
R Plays R
24 Titles 14
56% (662-524) Career Total W/L 64% (416-229)
$2,917,997 Career Prize Money $20,655,470
2 YTD Titles 2
0 Hard H2H 1
0 Clay H2H 1
1 Grass H2H 1

Upcoming Match

ODDS

T. Maria

To Win

S. Ishii

To Win

Today’s Tennis Tips:

Fritz VS Alcaraz PREDICTION Grass

Wimbledon - London atp

11 Jul 2025 / Semifinals

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Taylor Fritz

To Win

46.47 %
24.59%

Sinner VS Djokovic PREDICTION Grass

Wimbledon - London atp

11 Jul 2025 / Semifinals

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Novak Djokovic

To Win

63.9 %
25.44%

Maria VS Keys H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 7-6(3)
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Madison Keys
64% ( 47 of 74)
1st Serve %
77% ( 54 of 70)
5
Aces
10
0
Double Faults
2
89% ( 42 of 47)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 39 of 54)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 20 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 23 of 70)
77
Total Points Won
67
7-6(5) 4-6 6-4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Tatjana Maria
64% ( 70 of 109)
1st Serve %
59% ( 64 of 108)
2
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
1
66% ( 46 of 70)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 43 of 64)
54% ( 21 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 23 of 44)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
39% ( 42 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 42 of 108)
109
Total Points Won
108
6-3 6-4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Tatjana Maria
60% ( 33 of 55)
1st Serve %
56% ( 40 of 72)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 13 of 32)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 16 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 34 of 72)
73
Total Points Won
54
6-4 6-4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Tatjana Maria
66% ( 37 of 56)
1st Serve %
51% ( 29 of 57)
9
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
86% ( 32 of 37)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 22 of 29)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
21% ( 12 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 20 of 57)
64
Total Points Won
49

Maria VS Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Maria Vs Keys H2H Stats
Tatjana Maria Maria Stats Madison Keys Keys
1 H2H Matches 3
3 Sets Won 6
44 Games Won 50
13 Aces (Total) 26
6 Total Double Faults 8
1:20:6 Average Match Time 1:20:6
58% (180/311) 1st Serve % 67% (194/290)
73% (132/180) 1st Serve Win % 73% (142/194)
48% (63/131) 2nd Serve Win % 57% (55/96)
31% (5/16) Break Points Won % (Total) 33% (9/27)
32% (93/290) Return Points Win % 37% (116/311)
25% (1/4) Best of 3 Sets Win % 75% (3/4)
50% (1/2) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 50% (1/2)
0% (0/1) Deciding Set Win % 100% (1/1)
100% (1/1) 1st Set Won, Won Match 100% (3/3)
0% (1/0) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 0% (3/0)
0% (3/0) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (1/0)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Maria vs Keys Match Preview :

  • Second Serve Performance: Maria has recently secured 41.29% of points on her second serve, compared to Keys’ 42.41%. Why might this be significant? Slight edges in second serve success often reflect in match outcomes.
  • Return Game Statistics: In recent matches, Maria has won 50.58% of her opponent's second serve points, slightly higher than Keys at 48.72%. For first serve returns, Keys leads with 30.47% over Maria's 28.79%. These figures often help determine the favorite in this matchup.
  • Pressure Situations: Under pressure, Maria saved 44.65% of breakpoints, while Keys saved 53.53%. Why is this important? Greater breakpoint saving can tip the balance during crucial moments.
  • Overall Performance: Over the past year, Maria has a win rate of 50.7%, while Keys boasts a more impressive 74.51%. Could this indicate Keys' dominance? Possibly, judging by the win-loss records of 36/35 for Maria and 38/13 for Keys.
  • Surface Preference: Both excel on Grass, with Maria winning 66% and Keys outperforming slightly with 73%. On other surfaces, Maria is less dominant, winning 51% on Hard, whereas Keys holds a modest 53% on Indoor Hard courts.
  • Match Experience: Recent tournaments showed Maria playing mostly in lower-tier events, winning 72.73%, while Keys competed mainly in Grand Slams, winning an impressive 84.21%. Will experience at the top level give Keys an edge?
  • Direct Rivalry: In their three direct encounters, Keys has won every time, taking 6 out of 7 sets. Their most recent meeting saw Keys triumph in a three-set match on clay.
  • Deciding Sets and Tiebreaks: Keys shows dominance here as well, winning both the deciding set and tiebreak played between them.
  • Opponent Quality: Over the last year, Keys faced tougher opponents, with an average rank of 114.22 against Maria's 151.54. How could this impact the match? Facing higher-ranked opponents usually toughens a player.
  • Break Point Conversion: Keys edges Maria with a conversion rate of 36.32% against Maria’s 36.1%. This could be crucial during pivotal moments in the match.

Editorial Prediction (June 13, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the second serve success and return efficiency, Keys marginally surpasses Maria, indicating a potential edge in controlling serve games.

Keys consistently excels in high-pressure scenarios, saving more breakpoints, which could be pivotal in deciding tense moments during the match.

With a significantly higher win percentage over the last year, particularly in major tournaments, Keys appears more adept at handling competitive pressure compared to Maria's recent form.

Direct head-to-head results solidly favor Keys, having won all previous encounters, which may psychologically impact Maria's performance.

Overall, given Keys' superior pressure handling, higher quality of recent opponents faced, and past dominance against Maria, Keys is most likely to emerge victorious in the upcoming match.

Maria vs Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88

Tatjana Maria Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Yuriko Miyazaki
55% ( 30 of 55)
1st Serve %
70% ( 43 of 61)
6
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 22 of 43)
64% ( 16 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
29% ( 16 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 30 of 61)
69
Total Points Won
47
W
6-1 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Kayla Cross
57% ( 24 of 42)
1st Serve %
62% ( 36 of 58)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
92% ( 22 of 24)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 26 of 36)
78% ( 14 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
14% ( 6 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 24 of 58)
60
Total Points Won
40
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Katie Volynets
Player
Tatjana Maria
86% ( 97 of 113)
1st Serve %
45% ( 46 of 103)
1
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
7
56% ( 54 of 97)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 30 of 46)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 22 of 57)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
45% ( 51 of 113)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 51 of 103)
113
Total Points Won
103
L
3-6 7-6(4) 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Player
Tatjana Maria
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve %
67% ( 38 of 57)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 24 of 31)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 26 of 38)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
25% ( 13 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
63
Total Points Won
45
L
6-0 7-6(1) H2H
F
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Amanda Anisimova
70% ( 53 of 76)
1st Serve %
69% ( 34 of 49)
7
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
1
66% ( 35 of 53)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
48% ( 11 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
39% ( 30 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 22 of 49)
68
Total Points Won
57
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Madison Keys
64% ( 47 of 74)
1st Serve %
77% ( 54 of 70)
5
Aces
10
0
Double Faults
2
89% ( 42 of 47)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 39 of 54)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 20 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 23 of 70)
77
Total Points Won
67
W
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
QF
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Elena Rybakina
64% ( 56 of 87)
1st Serve %
52% ( 36 of 69)
9
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
1
73% ( 41 of 56)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 25 of 36)
39% ( 12 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
39% ( 34 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 25 of 69)
78
Total Points Won
78
W
6-4 7-6(4) H2H
R2
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Karolina Muchova
55% ( 54 of 98)
1st Serve %
59% ( 63 of 107)
5
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
2
69% ( 37 of 54)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 37 of 63)
55% ( 24 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 22 of 44)
47% ( 7 of 15)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 37 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 48 of 107)
109
Total Points Won
96
W
6-7(3) 7-5 6-1 H2H

Madison Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R3
cross
Laura Siegemund
Player
Madison Keys
69% ( 43 of 62)
1st Serve %
70% ( 45 of 64)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
70% ( 30 of 43)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 29 of 45)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
5% ( 1 of 19)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
40% ( 25 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 34 of 64)
71
Total Points Won
55
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Olga Danilovic
80% ( 48 of 60)
1st Serve %
69% ( 46 of 67)
3
Aces
2
7
Double Faults
4
73% ( 35 of 48)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 26 of 46)
33% ( 4 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 21 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 32 of 67)
71
Total Points Won
56
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Elena Gabriela Ruse
73% ( 79 of 108)
1st Serve %
77% ( 86 of 112)
5
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
5
66% ( 52 of 79)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 49 of 86)
31% ( 9 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
44% ( 47 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 52 of 112)
113
Total Points Won
107
W
6-7(4) 7-5 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Marketa Vondrousova
Player
Madison Keys
53% ( 43 of 81)
1st Serve %
70% ( 61 of 87)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
70% ( 30 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 44 of 61)
63% ( 24 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 9 of 26)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
33% ( 27 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 34 of 87)
88
Total Points Won
80
L
7-5 7-6(6) H2H
SF
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Madison Keys
64% ( 47 of 74)
1st Serve %
77% ( 54 of 70)
5
Aces
10
0
Double Faults
2
89% ( 42 of 47)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 39 of 54)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 20 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 23 of 70)
77
Total Points Won
67
L
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
QF
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Diana Shnaider
63% ( 65 of 104)
1st Serve %
67% ( 56 of 83)
4
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
1
68% ( 44 of 65)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 37 of 56)
51% ( 20 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 16 of 27)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
38% ( 40 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 30 of 83)
94
Total Points Won
93
W
2-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Anastasia Zakharova
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve %
61% ( 40 of 66)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
63% ( 5 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
27% ( 11 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 36 of 66)
66
Total Points Won
41
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Madison Keys
58% ( 52 of 90)
1st Serve %
67% ( 73 of 109)
1
Aces
0
10
Double Faults
4
75% ( 39 of 52)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 40 of 73)
34% ( 13 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 12 of 36)
53% ( 9 of 17)
Break Points Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
42% ( 38 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 57 of 109)
109
Total Points Won
90
L
6-7(6) 6-4 6-1 H2H
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Maria & Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Tatjana Maria Maria Stats Madison Keys Keys
56% (662/524) Win/Loss 64% (416/229)
55% (1485/1199) Sets Win/Loss 62% (922/554)
52% (12735/11702) Games Win/Loss 55% (7575/6263)
51% (216/211) Hard Win/Loss 64% (247/138)
54% (213/181) Clay Win/Loss 64% (98/54)
63% (156/93) Indoor Hard W/L 53% (17/15)
66% (77/39) Grass Win/Loss 71% (54/22)
0.24 Aces Per Game 0.42
2875 Aces Total 2851
0.18 Double Faults Per Game 0.2
2103 Total Double Faults 1353
1st Match Average Match Time 1:18:41
460.13 Average Opponent Rank 341.69
57% (29918/52926) 1st Serve % 63% (25026/39658)
66% (19650/29898) 1st Serve Win % 69% (17176/25026)
45% (10469/23049) 2nd Serve Win % 48% (7037/14615)
46% (2777/6050) Break Points Won % (Total) 44% (2085/4747)
43% (22588/52026) Return Points Win % 43% (17756/40825)
42% (44/61) Slam W/L 71% (124/50)
40% (40/61) Masters W/L 56% (111/88)
50% (8/8) Cups W/L 44% (4/5)
44% (145/184) Main Tour W/L 66% (126/64)
66% (410/207) Challenger W/L 65% (37/20)
83% (15/3) Futures W/L 88% (14/2)
56% (649/1169) Best of 3 Sets Win % 65% (412/633)
0% (0/0) Best of 5 Sets Win % 25% (1/4)
51% (124/245) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 57% (99/173)
47% (156/329) Deciding Set Win % 53% (101/191)
85% (696/590) 1st Set Won, Won Match 87% (421/367)
15% (696/105) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 13% (421/53)
15% (490/72) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 21% (224/48)

Maria vs. Keys Prediction Form Trend:

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