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Stan Wawrinka vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Wawrinka vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Stan Wawrinka vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Wawrinka 3 - 19 Nadal

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Wawrinka has won 48.13% of points on their second serve, while Nadal has won 53.08%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Wawrinka, in recent form, has won 46.35% of their opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 53.23%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.52% and 31.06% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Wawrinka has saved 55.24% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 58.21% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Wawrinka has won 45% of matches played (W/L 18/ 22), with Nadal winning 58.33% (W/L 7/ 5) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Wawrinka has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 277/ 135), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 34/ 34). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 506/ 57), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
  • Player level: In the last year, Wawrinka has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 47.37% of matches (W/L 9/ 10), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 4/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 22 times before with Wawrinka winning 3 times and Nadal being victorious 19 times. They have played 49 sets in total, with Wawrinka winning 7 and Nadal winning 42. The last match between Wawrinka and Nadal was at the BNP Paribas Masters - Paris, 31-10-2019, Third, I.hard with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 6-4 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:22:24.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Wawrinka and Nadal have played a deciding set 0 times, with Wawrinka winning 0 times and Nadal 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 10 tiebreaks against each other with Wawrinka winning 3, and Nadal 7.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Wawrinka has played against opponents with an average rank of 134.88 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 95.92.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Wawrinka has won 17% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Wawrinka has converted 34.45% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 40.66% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Stan Wawrinka

23

Total

1

Mast

7

Chall

3

Slam

12

Main

0

Minor

93

Rank

3

High

39

Age

R

Plays

3

Total

19

1

Hard

7

1

Clay

8

1

Indoor

4

0

Grass

0

261

Rank

1

High

38

Age

L

Plays

Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

3

Total

19

1

Hard

7

1

Clay

8

1

Indoor

4

0

Grass

0

L W L L L L W L W L

Form

L W L W W W L W L L

63% (679-397)

Career Total W/L

82% (1119-241)

29% (4-10)

YTD W/L

58% (7-5)

$26,536,956

Career Prize Money

$96,533,810

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Wawrinka VS Nadal H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Stan Wawrinka Rafael Nadal
All H2H Matches 3 19
Sets Won 7 42
Games Won 185 290
Aces (Total) 125 44
DFs Total 48 26
Avg Match Time 1:22:24 1:22:24
1st Serve % 55% (858/1558) 69% (1031/1501)
1st Serve Win% 69% (589/858) 74% (759/1031)
2nd Serve Win% 46% (323/700) 56% (265/470)
BPs Won% (Total) 29% (26/89) 39% (74/192)
Return Points W% 32% (477/1502) 41% (646/1558)
Best of 3 Sets W% 11% (2/18) 89% (16/18)
Best of 5 Sets W% 25% (1/4) 75% (3/4)
TBs Win% (Total) 30% (3/10) 70% (7/10)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (3/3) 100% (19/19)
1st set W, L 0% (3/0) 0% (19/0)
1st set L, W 0% (19/0) 0% (3/0)

Wawrinka VS Nadal H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stan Wawrinka
63% ( 39 of 62)
1st Serve %
63% ( 32 of 51)
4
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
0
77% ( 30 of 39)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 24 of 32)
61% ( 14 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
29% ( 18 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 16 of 51)
60
Total Points Won
53
6-1 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stan Wawrinka
72% ( 28 of 39)
1st Serve %
58% ( 26 of 45)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 22 of 28)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
91% ( 10 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 7 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 25 of 45)
57
Total Points Won
27
7-5 7-6(4)
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stan Wawrinka
62% ( 44 of 71)
1st Serve %
54% ( 49 of 91)
2
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
2
75% ( 33 of 44)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 35 of 49)
63% ( 17 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 20 of 42)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
30% ( 21 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 36 of 91)
86
Total Points Won
76
6-2 6-3 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stan Wawrinka
65% ( 42 of 65)
1st Serve %
58% ( 50 of 86)
4
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
83% ( 35 of 42)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 26 of 50)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 15 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 44 of 86)
94
Total Points Won
57
6-1 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stan Wawrinka
58% ( 26 of 45)
1st Serve %
51% ( 26 of 51)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 18 of 26)
58% ( 11 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 7 of 25)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
27% ( 12 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 26 of 51)
59
Total Points Won
37
6-3 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stan Wawrinka
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve %
60% ( 43 of 72)
1
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
3
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 26 of 43)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 10 of 29)
27% ( 4 of 15)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 17 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 36 of 72)
70
Total Points Won
53
7-6(8) 7-6(7)
cross
Stan Wawrinka
Player
Rafael Nadal
60% ( 54 of 90)
1st Serve %
68% ( 63 of 92)
11
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
81% ( 44 of 54)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 42 of 63)
50% ( 18 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 18 of 29)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
31% ( 28 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 32 of 92)
94
Total Points Won
88
6-2 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Stan Wawrinka
74% ( 39 of 53)
1st Serve %
47% ( 23 of 49)
1
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
77% ( 30 of 39)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
43% ( 6 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
32% ( 17 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 25 of 49)
61
Total Points Won
41
7-6(7) 6-2
cross
Stan Wawrinka
Player
Rafael Nadal
57% ( 47 of 82)
1st Serve %
70% ( 52 of 74)
1
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
64% ( 30 of 47)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 35 of 52)
57% ( 20 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
39% ( 32 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 31 of 74)
81
Total Points Won
75
6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3
cross
Stan Wawrinka
Player
Rafael Nadal
55% ( 53 of 96)
1st Serve %
78% ( 84 of 108)
19
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
87% ( 46 of 53)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 50 of 84)
51% ( 22 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
29% ( 28 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 48 of 108)
116
Total Points Won
88
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Stan Wawrinka Rafael Nadal
YTD W/L 29% (4/10) 58% (7/5)
Sets Win/Loss 43% (17/23) 54% (15/13)
Games Win/Loss 49% (192/203) 54% (143/123)
Hard Win/Loss 0% (0/2) 67% (2/1)
Clay Win/Loss 33% (4/8) 56% (5/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.4 0.19
Aces Total 77 24
DFs per game 0.17 0.17
DFs Total 33 22
Avg Match Time 2:13:52 2:6:53
Avg Opp Rank 169.79 95.92
1st Serve % 56% (701/1262) 69% (568/828)
1st Serve W% 71% (501/701) 68% (387/568)
2nd Serve W% 48% (270/561) 53% (138/260)
BPs Won% Total 34% (41/119) 41% (37/91)
Return Pts W% 36% (424/1194) 39% (329/838)
Slam W/L 33% (1/2) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 0% (0/2) 67% (4/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 33% (2/4) 60% (3/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 33% (1/2) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 27% (3/11) 64% (7/11)
Best of 5 Sets W% 33% (1/3) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 29% (2/7) 25% (1/4)
Deciding Set W% 14% (1/7) 67% (2/3)
1st set W, W 50% (6/3) 86% (7/6)
1st set W, L 50% (6/3) 14% (7/1)
1st set L, W 13% (8/1) 20% (5/1)

Stan Wawrinka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Pavel Kotov
Player
Stan Wawrinka
68% ( 89 of 131)
1st Serve %
54% ( 69 of 127)
6
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
0
66% ( 59 of 89)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 47 of 69)
62% ( 26 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 34 of 58)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
35% ( 46 of 131)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 46 of 127)
131
Total Points Won
127
L
7-6(5) 6-4 1-6 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Stan Wawrinka
Player
Andy Murray
54% ( 48 of 89)
1st Serve %
56% ( 45 of 81)
3
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
79% ( 38 of 48)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 32 of 45)
56% ( 23 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
31% ( 28 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 31 of 81)
92
Total Points Won
78
W
6-4 6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Pedro Martinez Portero
Player
Stan Wawrinka
82% ( 51 of 62)
1st Serve %
65% ( 47 of 72)
3
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
2
75% ( 38 of 51)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 31 of 47)
45% ( 5 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
31% ( 19 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 31 of 72)
74
Total Points Won
60
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Stan Wawrinka
Player
Bernabe Zapata Miralles
52% ( 37 of 71)
1st Serve %
84% ( 49 of 58)
6
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
0
73% ( 27 of 37)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 28 of 49)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 6 of 9)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
38% ( 27 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 24 of 58)
68
Total Points Won
61
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Albert Ramos-Vinolas
Player
Stan Wawrinka
66% ( 69 of 105)
1st Serve %
61% ( 69 of 113)
3
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
3
72% ( 50 of 69)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 43 of 69)
50% ( 18 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 25 of 44)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
8% ( 1 of 12)
35% ( 37 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 45 of 113)
113
Total Points Won
105
L
6-3 6-7(3) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Nuno Borges
Player
Stan Wawrinka
56% ( 49 of 87)
1st Serve %
49% ( 42 of 85)
6
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
82% ( 40 of 49)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 30 of 42)
58% ( 22 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 26 of 43)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
29% ( 25 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 29 of 85)
91
Total Points Won
81
L
3-6 7-5 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Stan Wawrinka
43% ( 19 of 44)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
63% ( 12 of 19)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
64% ( 16 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
36% ( 16 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 31 of 54)
59
Total Points Won
39
L
6-3 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Mariano Navone
Player
Stan Wawrinka
69% ( 55 of 80)
1st Serve %
61% ( 62 of 102)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
5
75% ( 41 of 55)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 47 of 62)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 12 of 40)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
31% ( 25 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 43 of 102)
98
Total Points Won
84
L
3-6 7-5 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Stan Wawrinka
Player
Albert Ramos-Vinolas
58% ( 33 of 57)
1st Serve %
72% ( 33 of 46)
8
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
88% ( 29 of 33)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
33% ( 8 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
23% ( 3 of 13)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
35% ( 20 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
59
Total Points Won
44
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Stan Wawrinka
57% ( 49 of 86)
1st Serve %
55% ( 51 of 92)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
67% ( 33 of 49)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 35 of 51)
59% ( 22 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 17 of 41)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
36% ( 31 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 40 of 92)
95
Total Points Won
83
L
7-6(3) 4-6 6-2 H2H

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
77% ( 72 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 78 of 111)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
72% ( 52 of 72)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 45 of 78)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
33% ( 31 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 50 of 111)
112
Total Points Won
92
L
6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Rafael Nadal
54% ( 30 of 56)
1st Serve %
72% ( 38 of 53)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83% ( 25 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
43
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Zizou Bergs
62% ( 58 of 93)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 78)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
63% ( 22 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
34% ( 32 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 27 of 78)
88
Total Points Won
83
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 46 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89% ( 41 of 46)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 17 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
76
Total Points Won
61
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78% ( 59 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 74 of 122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 39 of 74)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
50% ( 9 of 18)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 65 of 122)
109
Total Points Won
89
W
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62% ( 24 of 39)
1st Serve %
69% ( 27 of 39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H

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