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Sloane Stephens vs Heather Watson Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Stephens vs Watson analysis and find out who is favored!
Sloane Stephens vs Heather Watson Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Stephens has won 49.76% of points on his second serve, while Watson has won 51.45%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Stephens, in recent form, has won 53.42% of his opponent's second serve points, while Watson has won 58.91%. The same stats for first serve returns are 40.45% and 34.9% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Stephens has saved 58.48% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Watson has saved 58.58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Stephens has won 62.5% of matches played (W/L 35/ 21), with Watson winning 51.85% (W/L 28/ 26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Stephens has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 127/ 70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 52% (W/L 15/ 14). Watson has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 73/ 44), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 51% (W/L 58/ 55).
- Player level: In the last year, Stephens has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 65.22% of matches (W/L 15/ 8), where as Watson has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 57.14% of matches (W/L 16/ 12). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 9 times before with Stephens winning 4 times. They have played 22 sets in total, with Stephens winning 11 and Watson winning 11. The last match between Stephens and Watson was at the ATX Open - Austin, 01-03-2023, Second, Hard with Sloane Stephens getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:23:42.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Stephens and Watson have played a deciding set 4 times, with Stephens winning 1 times and Watson 3 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Stephens winning 0, and Watson 2.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Stephens has played against opponents with an average rank of 100.21 while Watson has played against players with an average rank of 181.17.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Stephens has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Watson has won 44% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Stephens has converted 42.53% of breakpoint opportunities, and Watson has converted 46.15% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Stephens 4 - 5 Watson
33
Rank
3
High
31
Age
R
Plays
4
Total5
2
Hard3
1
Clay1
0
Indoor1
1
Grass0
144
Rank
38
High
31
Age
R
Plays
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
Form
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
58% (360-265)
Career Total W/L
55% (404-335)
63% (15-9)
YTD W/L
50% (8-8)
$14,168,236
Career Prize Money
$2,525,404
1
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Sloane Stephens | Heather Watson |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Sets Won | 11 | 11 |
| Games Won | 97 | 102 |
| Aces (Total) | 16 | 18 |
| DFs (Total) | 21 | 19 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:23:42 | 1:23:42 |
| 1st Serve % | 61% (346/567) | 63% (369/587) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 59% (204/346) | 60% (223/369) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 46% (101/221) | 46% (100/218) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 44% (32/72) | 53% (32/60) |
| Return Points W% | 45% (264/587) | 46% (262/567) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 44% (4/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 25% (1/4) | 75% (3/4) |
| 1st set W, W | 60% (5/3) | 75% (4/3) |
| 1st set W, L | 40% (5/2) | 25% (4/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 25% (4/1) | 40% (5/2) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 6-4 |
Stats 
Sloane Stephens
Player
Heather Watson
69%
(
44 of
64)
1st Serve %
67%
(
39 of
58)
1
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
61%
(
27 of
44)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
21 of
39)
30%
(
6 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
26%
(
5 of
19)
60%
(
6 of
10)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
48%
(
31 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
32 of
58)
65
Total Points Won
57
|
||||
| 6-7(5) 7-5 6-1 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Heather Watson
64%
(
70 of
110)
1st Serve %
60%
(
75 of
126)
3
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
7
61%
(
43 of
70)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
45 of
75)
55%
(
22 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
21 of
51)
39%
(
7 of
18)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
41%
(
45 of
110)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
60 of
126)
125
Total Points Won
111
|
||||
| 6-3 6-0 |
Stats
Heather Watson
Player
Sloane Stephens
57%
(
26 of
46)
1st Serve %
46%
(
18 of
39)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
81%
(
21 of
26)
1st Serve Won
44%
(
8 of
18)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
5 of
21)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
30%
(
14 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
67%
(
26 of
39)
58
Total Points Won
27
|
||||
| 6-2 6-3 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Heather Watson
58%
(
30 of
52)
1st Serve %
57%
(
37 of
65)
4
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
73%
(
22 of
30)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
20 of
37)
50%
(
11 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
12 of
28)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
37%
(
19 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
33 of
65)
66
Total Points Won
51
|
||||
| 6-2 6-4 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Heather Watson
64%
(
32 of
50)
1st Serve %
61%
(
34 of
56)
-
Aces
-
1
Double Faults
2
63%
(
20 of
32)
1st Serve Won
44%
(
15 of
34)
67%
(
12 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
11 of
22)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
36%
(
18 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
30 of
56)
62
Total Points Won
44
|
||||
| 6-3 6-1 |
Stats
Heather Watson
Player
Sloane Stephens
60%
(
28 of
47)
1st Serve %
58%
(
28 of
48)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89%
(
25 of
28)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
16 of
28)
47%
(
9 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
7 of
20)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
25 of
48)
59
Total Points Won
36
|
||||
| 7-6(5) 4-6 6-1 |
Stats
Heather Watson
Player
Sloane Stephens
66%
(
63 of
95)
1st Serve %
59%
(
63 of
107)
1
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
8
59%
(
37 of
63)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
36 of
63)
44%
(
14 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
16 of
44)
58%
(
7 of
12)
Break Points Won
50%
(
5 of
10)
46%
(
44 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
55 of
107)
106
Total Points Won
96
|
||||
| 4-6 6-4 6-2 |
Stats
Heather Watson
Player
Sloane Stephens
71%
(
67 of
94)
1st Serve %
63%
(
61 of
97)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
58%
(
39 of
67)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
32 of
61)
63%
(
17 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
61%
(
22 of
36)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
23%
(
3 of
13)
40%
(
38 of
94)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
43 of
97)
99
Total Points Won
92
|
||||
| 1-6 6-0 6-4 | |||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Sloane Stephens | Heather Watson |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 63% (15/9) | 50% (8/8) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 61% (34/22) | 53% (20/18) |
| Games Win/Loss | 55% (268/223) | 53% (187/166) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 50% (8/8) | 33% (3/6) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 88% (7/1) | 50% (1/1) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 80% (4/1) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.07 | 0.41 |
| Aces Total | 16 | 71 |
| DFs per game | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| DFs Total | 34 | 50 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:36:43 | 1:37:6 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 81.29 | 221.38 |
| 1st Serve % | 74% (1196/1620) | 62% (686/1106) |
| 1st Serve W% | 61% (731/1196) | 68% (468/686) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 50% (211/424) | 53% (221/420) |
| BPs Won% Total | 43% (94/221) | 46% (53/114) |
| Return Pts W% | 45% (754/1672) | 42% (465/1116) |
| Slam W/L | 67% (2/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Masters W/L | 50% (4/4) | 0% (0/2) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 69% (9/4) | 57% (4/3) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 67% (4/2) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 63% (15/24) | 50% (8/16) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 50% (1/2) | 67% (2/3) |
| Deciding Set W% | 50% (4/8) | 33% (2/6) |
| 1st set W, W | 81% (16/13) | 75% (8/6) |
| 1st set W, L | 19% (16/3) | 25% (8/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 25% (8/2) | 25% (8/2) |
Sloane Stephens Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Magda Linette
82%
(
67 of
82)
1st Serve %
63%
(
57 of
90)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
64%
(
43 of
67)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
33%
(
5 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
11 of
33)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
41%
(
34 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
45 of
90)
93
Total Points Won
79
|
6-1 2-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Caroline Garcia
78%
(
46 of
59)
1st Serve %
67%
(
38 of
57)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
70%
(
32 of
46)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
22 of
38)
46%
(
6 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
8 of
19)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
36%
(
21 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
27 of
57)
65
Total Points Won
51
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Yue Yuan
72%
(
34 of
47)
1st Serve %
65%
(
33 of
51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
76%
(
26 of
34)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
19 of
33)
62%
(
8 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
25 of
51)
59
Total Points Won
39
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Karolina Pliskova
71%
(
37 of
52)
1st Serve %
64%
(
34 of
53)
2
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
8
59%
(
22 of
37)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
16 of
34)
67%
(
10 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
6 of
19)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
100%
(
3 of
3)
38%
(
20 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
31 of
53)
63
Total Points Won
42
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Peyton Stearns
73%
(
49 of
67)
1st Serve %
62%
(
49 of
79)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
4
53%
(
26 of
49)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
24 of
49)
61%
(
11 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
16 of
30)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
45%
(
30 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
39 of
79)
76
Total Points Won
70
|
1-6 6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Leylah Annie Fernandez
73%
(
41 of
56)
1st Serve %
62%
(
54 of
87)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
6
68%
(
28 of
41)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
28 of
54)
67%
(
10 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
19 of
33)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
32%
(
18 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
40 of
87)
78
Total Points Won
65
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Sloane Stephens
52%
(
30 of
58)
1st Serve %
72%
(
33 of
46)
2
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
77%
(
23 of
30)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
21 of
33)
64%
(
18 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
4 of
13)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
29%
(
17 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
21 of
46)
62
Total Points Won
42
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Magdalena Frech
78%
(
31 of
40)
1st Serve %
66%
(
29 of
44)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
77%
(
24 of
31)
1st Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
56%
(
5 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
5 of
15)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
28%
(
11 of
40)
Rtn Points Won
61%
(
27 of
44)
56
Total Points Won
28
|
6-0 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Sorana Cirstea
Player
Sloane Stephens
64%
(
27 of
42)
1st Serve %
97%
(
33 of
34)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
74%
(
20 of
27)
1st Serve Won
33%
(
11 of
33)
73%
(
11 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
26%
(
11 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
65%
(
22 of
34)
53
Total Points Won
23
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Angelique Kerber
73%
(
43 of
59)
1st Serve %
73%
(
43 of
59)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
70%
(
30 of
43)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
25 of
43)
50%
(
8 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
4 of
16)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
36%
(
21 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
30 of
59)
68
Total Points Won
50
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
view more
Heather Watson Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Daria Saville
Player
Heather Watson
69%
(
38 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
40 of
59)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
28 of
38)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
25 of
40)
59%
(
10 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
26%
(
5 of
19)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
31%
(
17 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
29 of
59)
67
Total Points Won
47
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Heather Watson
Player
Alana Smith
57%
(
27 of
47)
1st Serve %
51%
(
22 of
43)
4
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
1
74%
(
20 of
27)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
14 of
22)
70%
(
14 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
6 of
21)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
23 of
43)
57
Total Points Won
33
|
6-0 6-4 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Oceane Dodin
Player
Heather Watson
53%
(
38 of
72)
1st Serve %
66%
(
52 of
79)
8
Aces
11
9
Double Faults
6
68%
(
26 of
38)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
35 of
52)
44%
(
15 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
10 of
27)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
56%
(
5 of
9)
43%
(
31 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
34 of
79)
75
Total Points Won
76
|
6-4 1-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Taylah Preston
Player
Heather Watson
72%
(
61 of
85)
1st Serve %
59%
(
47 of
80)
1
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
6
66%
(
40 of
61)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
26 of
47)
42%
(
10 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
18 of
33)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
41%
(
35 of
85)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
36 of
80)
86
Total Points Won
79
|
6-4 4-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Rebeka Masarova
Player
Heather Watson
60%
(
65 of
109)
1st Serve %
56%
(
59 of
105)
8
Aces
1
11
Double Faults
5
72%
(
47 of
65)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
38 of
59)
32%
(
14 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
22 of
46)
31%
(
5 of
16)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
44%
(
48 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
45 of
105)
106
Total Points Won
108
|
3-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Lulu Sun
Player
Heather Watson
63%
(
50 of
80)
1st Serve %
60%
(
46 of
77)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
72%
(
36 of
50)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
27 of
46)
50%
(
15 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
18 of
31)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
36%
(
29 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
32 of
77)
83
Total Points Won
74
|
7-5 7-5 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Heather Watson
Player
Antonia Ruzic
60%
(
21 of
35)
1st Serve %
70%
(
33 of
47)
4
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
90%
(
19 of
21)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
17 of
33)
71%
(
10 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
21%
(
3 of
14)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
17%
(
6 of
35)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
27 of
47)
56
Total Points Won
26
|
6-1 6-0 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Heather Watson
Player
Viktoria Hruncakova
63%
(
52 of
83)
1st Serve %
60%
(
45 of
75)
8
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
6
81%
(
42 of
52)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
32 of
45)
48%
(
15 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
13 of
30)
20%
(
2 of
10)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
31%
(
26 of
83)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
30 of
75)
87
Total Points Won
71
|
6-3 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Heather Watson
Player
Talia Gibson
70%
(
35 of
50)
1st Serve %
65%
(
39 of
60)
6
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
71%
(
25 of
35)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
21 of
39)
73%
(
11 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
9 of
21)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
28%
(
14 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
30 of
60)
66
Total Points Won
44
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Heather Watson
Player
Hephzibah Oluwadare
65%
(
30 of
46)
1st Serve %
42%
(
22 of
53)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
6
77%
(
23 of
30)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
15 of
22)
63%
(
10 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
13 of
31)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
28%
(
13 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
25 of
53)
58
Total Points Won
41
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
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