Shunsuke Nakagawa vs Ryan Peniston Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance highlights a slight edge for Ryan Peniston, winning 42.20% of points versus Shunsuke Nakagawa's 40.82% over the last six months. Does this statistic give Peniston a competitive advantage?
• Return game analysis demonstrates Peniston’s superior ability to win return points on the opponent’s second serves, standing at 48.28% compared to Nakagawa’s 45.53%.
• In terms of first serve returns, Nakagawa wins a slightly higher percentage (29.22%) than Peniston (28.92%), suggesting a minimal advantage here.
• Handling pressure, Peniston is more efficient at saving breakpoints, with a success rate of 52.24%, compared to Nakagawa's 48.91%.
• Overall match performance in the past year favors Peniston, who has won 72.22% of his matches, compared to Nakagawa's 65.38%.
• Both players excel on hard courts, each with a 62% win rate, but their least favored surfaces differ, with Nakagawa struggling more on clay and Peniston on grass.
• Peniston's recent tournament performance is stronger, winning 81.25% of his Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K matches, over Nakagawa’s 65.96%.
• Ryan Peniston has faced slightly higher-ranked opponents (average rank of 394.11) than Shunsuke Nakagawa (average rank of 427) over the last 12 months, potentially honing his competitive edge.
• If a deciding set occurs, Peniston has a notable advantage, winning 71% of such sets in the past year, compared to Nakagawa’s 60% win rate.
• Assessing current event stats could offer additional insight, factoring in how players perform at specific events.

Editorial Prediction (November 5, 2025, UTC):

As we approach this matchup, Ryan Peniston seems to have a slight edge based on multiple performance metrics. His second serve success, ability to break opponents' second serves, and superior breakpoint resilience create a formidable profile.

The overall win percentage in the past year and his strong performance against slightly higher-ranked opponents further support his candidacy as the favorite.

Although both players show equal proficiency on hard courts, Peniston's challenge against higher-ranked players and better deciding set win rate tips the scale in his favor.

Considering all available data, Ryan Peniston appears to be the most likely victor in this upcoming tennis match.