Sebastian Baez vs Juan Pablo Varillas Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Baez vs Varillas analysis and find out who is favored!
Sebastian Baez vs Juan Pablo Varillas Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Baez has won 53.17% of points on his second serve, while Varillas has won 50.8%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Baez, in recent form, has won 49.94% of his opponent's second serve points, while Varillas has won 50.48%. The same stats for first serve returns are 33.81% and 32.34% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Baez has saved 56.84% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Varillas has saved 58.45% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Baez has won 61.19% of matches played (W/L 41/ 26), with Varillas winning 50.85% (W/L 30/ 29) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Baez has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 200/ 80), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 8% (W/L 1/ 12). Varillas has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 373/ 221), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/ 3).
- Player level: In the last year, Baez has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 67.44% of matches (W/L 29/ 14), where as Varillas has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 76.19% of matches (W/L 16/ 5). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 10 times before with Baez winning 8 times. They have played 23 sets in total, with Baez winning 17 and Varillas winning 6. The last match between Baez and Varillas was at the Movistar Chile Open - Santiago, 29-02-2024, Second, Clay with Sebastian Baez getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:52:22.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Baez and Varillas have played a deciding set 3 times, with Baez winning 2 times and Varillas 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Baez winning 2, and Varillas 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Baez has played against opponents with an average rank of 148.49 while Varillas has played against players with an average rank of 199.97.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Baez has won 61% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Varillas has won 58% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Baez has converted 42.86% of breakpoint opportunities, and Varillas has converted 41.4% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Baez 8 - 2 Varillas
17
Total
0
Mast
6
Chall
0
Slam
6
Main
5
Minor
19
Rank
19
High
23
Age
R
Plays
8
Total2
0
Hard0
8
Clay2
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
95
Rank
60
High
28
Age
R
Plays
11
Total
0
Mast
6
Chall
0
Slam
0
Main
5
Minor
Form
65% (235-126)
Career Total W/L
61% (411-268)
71% (17-7)
YTD W/L
55% (11-9)
$2,216,340
Career Prize Money
$730,520
2
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
stats | Sebastian Baez | Juan Pablo Varillas |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 8 | 2 |
Sets Won | 17 | 6 |
Games Won | 131 | 98 |
Aces (Total) | 25 | 19 |
DFs (Total) | 19 | 13 |
Avg Match Time | 1:52:22 | 1:52:22 |
1st Serve % | 72% (510/711) | 58% (431/739) |
1st Serve Win% | 63% (322/510) | 61% (264/431) |
2nd Serve Win% | 56% (113/201) | 46% (143/308) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 48% (44/91) | 47% (29/62) |
Return Points W% | 45% (332/739) | 39% (276/711) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 80% (8/10) | 20% (2/10) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 67% (2/3) | 33% (1/3) |
Deciding Set Win% | 67% (2/3) | 33% (1/3) |
1st set W, W | 100% (6/6) | 50% (4/2) |
1st set W, L | 0% (6/0) | 50% (4/2) |
1st set L, W | 50% (4/2) | 0% (6/0) |
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4-6 6-4 6-2 |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
70%
(
61 of
87)
1st Serve %
59%
(
57 of
97)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
62%
(
38 of
61)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
50%
(
13 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
20 of
40)
38%
(
6 of
16)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
41%
(
36 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
43 of
97)
94
Total Points Won
90
|
||||
7-5 6-3 |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
68%
(
54 of
80)
1st Serve %
62%
(
48 of
77)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
61%
(
33 of
54)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
29 of
48)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
27%
(
4 of
15)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
39%
(
31 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
36 of
77)
85
Total Points Won
72
|
||||
7-5 7-6(6) |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
74%
(
59 of
80)
1st Serve %
58%
(
45 of
77)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
56%
(
33 of
59)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
21 of
45)
57%
(
12 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
16 of
32)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
71%
(
5 of
7)
44%
(
35 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
40 of
77)
85
Total Points Won
72
|
||||
6-4 6-4 |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
73%
(
43 of
59)
1st Serve %
49%
(
31 of
63)
1
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
1
74%
(
32 of
43)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
21 of
31)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
17 of
32)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
31%
(
18 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
25 of
63)
66
Total Points Won
56
|
||||
7-5 6-2 |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
78%
(
45 of
58)
1st Serve %
57%
(
30 of
53)
3
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
73%
(
33 of
45)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
19 of
30)
54%
(
7 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
11 of
23)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
31%
(
18 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
23 of
53)
63
Total Points Won
48
|
||||
6-4 7-5 |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Sebastian Baez
63%
(
44 of
70)
1st Serve %
72%
(
48 of
67)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
73%
(
32 of
44)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
25 of
48)
42%
(
11 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
11 of
19)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
39%
(
27 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
31 of
67)
74
Total Points Won
63
|
||||
6-2 3-6 7-6(0) |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Sebastian Baez
54%
(
55 of
102)
1st Serve %
71%
(
69 of
97)
4
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
4
67%
(
37 of
55)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
38 of
69)
43%
(
20 of
47)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
13 of
28)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
44%
(
45 of
102)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
46 of
97)
103
Total Points Won
96
|
||||
3-6 6-3 6-1 |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
81%
(
61 of
75)
1st Serve %
56%
(
41 of
73)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
27 of
41)
50%
(
7 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
13 of
32)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
36%
(
27 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
33 of
73)
81
Total Points Won
67
|
||||
6-1 7-6(3) |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
69%
(
40 of
58)
1st Serve %
62%
(
40 of
65)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
75%
(
30 of
40)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
23 of
40)
72%
(
13 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
26%
(
15 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
29 of
65)
72
Total Points Won
51
|
||||
6-3 6-3 |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
60%
(
30 of
50)
1st Serve %
65%
(
40 of
62)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
63%
(
19 of
30)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
21 of
40)
60%
(
12 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
10 of
22)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
38%
(
19 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
31 of
62)
62
Total Points Won
50
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Sebastian Baez | Juan Pablo Varillas |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 71% (17/7) | 55% (11/9) |
Sets Win/Loss | 63% (38/22) | 52% (27/25) |
Games Win/Loss | 53% (284/253) | 50% (252/248) |
Hard Win/Loss | 38% (3/5) | 0% (0/4) |
Clay Win/Loss | 88% (14/2) | 69% (11/5) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.21 | 0.31 |
Aces Total | 54 | 77 |
DFs per game | 0.13 | 0.15 |
DFs Total | 35 | 36 |
Avg Match Time | 1:44:11 | 2:11:48 |
Avg Opp Rank | 168.96 | 205.7 |
1st Serve % | 71% (1158/1628) | 60% (928/1555) |
1st Serve W% | 64% (742/1158) | 69% (636/928) |
2nd Serve W% | 54% (253/470) | 52% (329/627) |
BPs Won% Total | 42% (79/186) | 41% (66/162) |
Return Pts W% | 42% (691/1637) | 40% (640/1620) |
Slam W/L | 67% (2/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Masters W/L | 33% (1/2) | 0% (0/0) |
Cups W/L | 100% (1/0) | 0% (0/2) |
Main Tour W/L | 76% (13/4) | 17% (1/5) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 91% (10/1) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 71% (15/21) | 58% (11/19) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 67% (2/3) | 0% (0/1) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 100% (2/2) | 71% (5/7) |
Deciding Set W% | 71% (5/7) | 55% (6/11) |
1st set W, W | 93% (14/13) | 69% (13/9) |
1st set W, L | 7% (14/1) | 31% (13/4) |
1st set L, W | 40% (10/4) | 29% (7/2) |
Sebastian Baez Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 |
Dominik Koepfer
Player
Sebastian Baez
60%
(
28 of
47)
1st Serve %
73%
(
32 of
44)
5
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
20 of
32)
68%
(
13 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
3 of
12)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
21 of
44)
55
Total Points Won
36
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Taylor Fritz
Player
Sebastian Baez
63%
(
25 of
40)
1st Serve %
68%
(
38 of
56)
9
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
88%
(
22 of
25)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
18 of
38)
67%
(
10 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
61%
(
11 of
18)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
20%
(
8 of
40)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
27 of
56)
59
Total Points Won
37
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Fabio Fognini
60%
(
45 of
75)
1st Serve %
44%
(
28 of
63)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
6
64%
(
29 of
45)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
19 of
28)
70%
(
21 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
16 of
35)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
33%
(
25 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
28 of
63)
78
Total Points Won
60
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
F |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Alejandro Tabilo
65%
(
54 of
83)
1st Serve %
69%
(
66 of
95)
5
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
70%
(
38 of
54)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
39 of
66)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
11 of
29)
31%
(
5 of
16)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
35%
(
29 of
83)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
45 of
95)
99
Total Points Won
79
|
3-6 6-0 6-4 | H2H | ||
SF |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Pedro Martinez Portero
68%
(
44 of
65)
1st Serve %
60%
(
40 of
67)
5
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
75%
(
33 of
44)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
24 of
40)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
13 of
27)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
34%
(
22 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
30 of
67)
73
Total Points Won
59
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
QF |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
71%
(
61 of
86)
1st Serve %
67%
(
39 of
58)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
5
61%
(
37 of
61)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
25 of
39)
56%
(
14 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
9 of
19)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
14%
(
1 of
7)
41%
(
35 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
24 of
58)
75
Total Points Won
69
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
70%
(
61 of
87)
1st Serve %
59%
(
57 of
97)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
62%
(
38 of
61)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
50%
(
13 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
20 of
40)
38%
(
6 of
16)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
41%
(
36 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
43 of
97)
94
Total Points Won
90
|
4-6 6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
F |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Mariano Navone
79%
(
34 of
43)
1st Serve %
72%
(
43 of
60)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
68%
(
23 of
34)
1st Serve Won
42%
(
18 of
43)
67%
(
6 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
7 of
17)
43%
(
6 of
14)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
33%
(
14 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
35 of
60)
64
Total Points Won
39
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
SF |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Francisco Cerundolo
78%
(
42 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
40 of
59)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
69%
(
29 of
42)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
20 of
40)
67%
(
8 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
8 of
19)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
14%
(
1 of
7)
31%
(
17 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
31 of
59)
68
Total Points Won
45
|
7-5 6-0 | H2H | ||
QF |
Sebastian Baez
Player
Thiago Moura Monteiro
69%
(
57 of
83)
1st Serve %
56%
(
39 of
70)
3
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
68%
(
39 of
57)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
30 of
39)
46%
(
12 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
11 of
31)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
39%
(
32 of
83)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
29 of
70)
80
Total Points Won
73
|
6-4 1-6 6-2 | H2H |
view more
Juan Pablo Varillas Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
62%
(
65 of
105)
1st Serve %
58%
(
67 of
115)
9
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
3
71%
(
46 of
65)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
44 of
67)
58%
(
23 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
24 of
48)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
34%
(
36 of
105)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
47 of
115)
116
Total Points Won
104
|
7-6(2) 5-7 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Gonzalo Villanueva
66%
(
45 of
68)
1st Serve %
65%
(
59 of
91)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
71%
(
32 of
45)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
29 of
59)
48%
(
11 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
16 of
32)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
67%
(
4 of
6)
37%
(
25 of
68)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
46 of
91)
89
Total Points Won
70
|
7-5 7-6(0) | H2H | ||
SF |
Gustavo Heide
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
63%
(
29 of
46)
1st Serve %
66%
(
39 of
59)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
79%
(
23 of
29)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
21 of
39)
65%
(
11 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
60%
(
12 of
20)
29%
(
4 of
14)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
26 of
59)
60
Total Points Won
45
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
QF |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Federico Agustin Gomez
50%
(
29 of
58)
1st Serve %
64%
(
52 of
81)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
79%
(
23 of
29)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
33 of
52)
72%
(
21 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
14 of
29)
27%
(
3 of
11)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
24%
(
14 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
34 of
81)
78
Total Points Won
61
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Nicolas Zanellato
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
72%
(
47 of
65)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
4
68%
(
21 of
31)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
21 of
47)
60%
(
9 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
35%
(
16 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
35 of
65)
65
Total Points Won
46
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
70%
(
45 of
64)
1st Serve %
54%
(
37 of
68)
1
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
1
67%
(
30 of
45)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
23 of
37)
37%
(
7 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
42%
(
27 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
31 of
68)
68
Total Points Won
64
|
1-6 6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
F |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Facundo Bagnis
57%
(
29 of
51)
1st Serve %
53%
(
32 of
60)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
72%
(
21 of
29)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
17 of
32)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
33%
(
17 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
29 of
60)
63
Total Points Won
48
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
SF |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Liam Draxl
68%
(
49 of
72)
1st Serve %
60%
(
34 of
57)
3
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
71%
(
35 of
49)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
16 of
34)
52%
(
12 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
12 of
23)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
11%
(
1 of
9)
35%
(
25 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
29 of
57)
76
Total Points Won
53
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
QF |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Francesco Passaro
59%
(
74 of
126)
1st Serve %
71%
(
82 of
116)
4
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
3
70%
(
52 of
74)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
57 of
82)
52%
(
27 of
52)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
14 of
34)
29%
(
4 of
14)
Break Points Won
31%
(
4 of
13)
37%
(
47 of
126)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
45 of
116)
124
Total Points Won
118
|
7-5 4-6 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Orlando Luz
68%
(
53 of
78)
1st Serve %
60%
(
71 of
119)
9
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
3
77%
(
41 of
53)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
50 of
71)
56%
(
14 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
21 of
48)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
29%
(
23 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
48 of
119)
103
Total Points Won
94
|
6-3 2-6 7-6(3) | H2H |
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