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Sebastian Korda vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Korda vs Alcaraz analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Sebastian Korda vs Carlos Alcaraz Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Korda 1 - 3 Alcaraz

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Korda has won 50.41% of points on their second serve, while Alcaraz has won 57.65%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Korda, in recent form, has won 51.74% of their opponent's second serve points, while Alcaraz has won 57.52%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.2% and 36.32% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Korda has saved 58.77% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alcaraz has saved 63.29% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Korda has won 57.38% of matches played (W/L 35/ 26), with Alcaraz winning 79.71% (W/L 55/ 14) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Korda has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 16/ 8), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 80/ 57). Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 85% (W/L 17/ 3), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10).
  • Player level: In the last year, Korda has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60.61% of matches (W/L 20/ 13), where as Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 20/ 6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Korda winning 1 times and Alcaraz being victorious 3 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Korda winning 2 and Alcaraz winning 9. The last match between Korda and Alcaraz was at the French Open - Paris, 31-05-2024, Third, Clay with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-4 7-6(5) 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:17:17.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Korda and Alcaraz have played a deciding set 1 times, with Korda winning 1 times and Alcaraz 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Korda winning 1, and Alcaraz 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Korda has played against opponents with an average rank of 127 while Alcaraz has played against players with an average rank of 96.52.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Korda has won 57% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alcaraz has won 72% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Korda has converted 39.39% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alcaraz has converted 45.28% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Sebastian Korda

3

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

0

Minor

23

Rank

23

High

23

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

3

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

2

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

2

Rank

1

High

21

Age

R

Plays

Carlos Alcaraz

21

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

3

Slam

6

Main

3

Minor

1

Total

3

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

2

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

L W W W W L W W W L

Form

L W W W W W W W W L

60% (229-152)

Career Total W/L

79% (256-69)

59% (22-15)

YTD W/L

81% (26-6)

$3,931,945

Career Prize Money

$21,310,640

0

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Korda VS Alcaraz H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Sebastian Korda Carlos Alcaraz
All H2H Matches 1 3
Sets Won 2 9
Games Won 49 65
Aces (Total) 21 7
DFs Total 20 8
Avg Match Time 2:17:17 2:17:17
1st Serve % 60% (255/427) 68% (226/334)
1st Serve Win% 66% (168/255) 72% (163/226)
2nd Serve Win% 44% (75/172) 56% (60/108)
BPs Won% (Total) 43% (10/23) 31% (17/55)
Return Points W% 33% (111/334) 43% (184/427)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 100% (2/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (3/3)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (3/0)
1st set L, W 0% (3/0) 0% (1/0)

Korda VS Alcaraz H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 7-6(5) 6-3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Korda
78% ( 70 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 26 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 55 of 124)
119
Total Points Won
95
6-3 6-4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Korda
65% ( 37 of 57)
1st Serve %
65% ( 39 of 60)
2
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
6
84% ( 31 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 26 of 39)
45% ( 9 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
30% ( 17 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 60)
66
Total Points Won
51
6-4 6-4 6-2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Korda
63% ( 51 of 81)
1st Serve %
59% ( 57 of 96)
1
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
3
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 41 of 57)
70% ( 21 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 17 of 39)
27% ( 4 of 15)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
26% ( 21 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 38 of 96)
98
Total Points Won
79
7-6(2) 6-7(5) 6-3
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
59% ( 87 of 147)
1st Serve %
64% ( 68 of 106)
2
Aces
1
9
Double Faults
4
66% ( 57 of 87)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 42 of 68)
42% ( 25 of 60)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 17 of 38)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
44% ( 65 of 147)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 47 of 106)
129
Total Points Won
124

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Sebastian Korda Carlos Alcaraz
YTD W/L 59% (22/15) 81% (26/6)
Sets Win/Loss 55% (51/41) 76% (65/20)
Games Win/Loss 52% (470/440) 60% (466/312)
Hard Win/Loss 57% (8/6) 87% (13/2)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (5/5) 80% (12/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 50% (2/2) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 78% (7/2) 50% (1/1)
Aces pg 0.66 0.27
Aces Total 295 102
DFs per game 0.15 0.16
DFs Total 65 61
Avg Match Time 1st Match 1st Match
Avg Opp Rank 125.27 121.47
1st Serve % 60% (1677/2780) 67% (1590/2366)
1st Serve W% 74% (1240/1677) 72% (1138/1590)
2nd Serve W% 50% (556/1103) 57% (443/776)
BPs Won% Total 39% (104/264) 45% (133/295)
Return Pts W% 38% (1093/2900) 44% (1113/2550)
Slam W/L 67% (4/2) 92% (11/1)
Masters W/L 50% (5/5) 86% (12/2)
Cups W/L 100% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 60% (12/8) 50% (3/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 58% (18/31) 79% (15/19)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (4/6) 92% (11/12)
TBs Win% (Total) 44% (7/16) 62% (8/13)
Deciding Set W% 70% (7/10) 83% (5/6)
1st set W, W 95% (21/20) 96% (24/23)
1st set W, L 5% (21/1) 4% (24/1)
1st set L, W 13% (16/2) 43% (7/3)

Sebastian Korda Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
SF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Korda
68% ( 50 of 73)
1st Serve %
53% ( 35 of 66)
5
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
62% ( 31 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 12 of 31)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
74
Total Points Won
65
L
6-4 7-6(2) H2H
QF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Rinky Hijikata
55% ( 58 of 106)
1st Serve %
52% ( 46 of 89)
6
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
71% ( 41 of 58)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 35 of 46)
54% ( 26 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 18 of 43)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
37% ( 39 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 36 of 89)
103
Total Points Won
92
W
6-7(4) 6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
66% ( 54 of 82)
1st Serve %
62% ( 64 of 103)
8
Aces
11
0
Double Faults
5
83% ( 45 of 54)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 49 of 64)
46% ( 13 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 17 of 39)
21% ( 3 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
29% ( 24 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 103)
95
Total Points Won
90
W
6-4 3-6 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Karen Khachanov
60% ( 39 of 65)
1st Serve %
57% ( 46 of 81)
11
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
4
92% ( 36 of 39)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 38 of 46)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
14% ( 1 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
18% ( 12 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 27 of 81)
80
Total Points Won
66
W
7-5 7-6(5) H2H
F
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Sebastian Korda
53% ( 30 of 57)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
2
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
4
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
37% ( 10 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
42% ( 24 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 38 of 72)
71
Total Points Won
58
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
58% ( 33 of 57)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
81% ( 13 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 9 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 23 of 57)
60
Total Points Won
43
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tommy Paul
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 59)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
84% ( 27 of 32)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 24 of 31)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
20% ( 9 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
61
Total Points Won
42
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Luca Nardi
59% ( 44 of 75)
1st Serve %
67% ( 60 of 89)
7
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
4
84% ( 37 of 44)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 37 of 60)
42% ( 13 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 40 of 89)
90
Total Points Won
74
W
7-5 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Tristan Schoolkate
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve %
55% ( 36 of 65)
15
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
1
84% ( 36 of 43)
1st Serve Won
89% ( 32 of 36)
80% ( 16 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
17% ( 11 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 19 of 65)
71
Total Points Won
57
W
6-4 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Korda
78% ( 70 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 26 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 55 of 124)
119
Total Points Won
95
L
6-4 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
59% ( 39 of 66)
1st Serve %
67% ( 50 of 75)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
1
82% ( 32 of 39)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 38 of 50)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 16 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 25 of 75)
75
Total Points Won
66
L
7-6(3) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Francisco Cerundolo
59% ( 33 of 56)
1st Serve %
56% ( 30 of 54)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
79% ( 26 of 33)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 26 of 54)
67
Total Points Won
43
W
6-1 7-5 H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
60% ( 96 of 159)
1st Serve %
73% ( 97 of 133)
3
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
6
65% ( 62 of 96)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 61 of 97)
49% ( 31 of 63)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 12 of 36)
56% ( 9 of 16)
Break Points Won
26% ( 6 of 23)
42% ( 66 of 159)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 60 of 133)
153
Total Points Won
139
W
6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
66% ( 103 of 157)
1st Serve %
56% ( 76 of 135)
8
Aces
7
7
Double Faults
8
66% ( 68 of 103)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 56 of 76)
46% ( 25 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
41% ( 64 of 157)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 52 of 135)
145
Total Points Won
147
W
2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
73% ( 61 of 84)
1st Serve %
61% ( 60 of 98)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
74% ( 45 of 61)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
74% ( 17 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 22 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 39 of 98)
101
Total Points Won
81
W
6-3 7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67% ( 53 of 79)
1st Serve %
57% ( 48 of 84)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 40 of 53)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 14 of 36)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 25 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 41 of 84)
95
Total Points Won
68
W
6-3 6-3 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Korda
78% ( 70 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 26 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 55 of 124)
119
Total Points Won
95
W
6-4 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jesper De Jong
70% ( 78 of 112)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
7
64% ( 50 of 78)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 40 of 72)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
40% ( 45 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 61 of 124)
128
Total Points Won
108
W
6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jeff Wolf
70% ( 47 of 67)
1st Serve %
56% ( 37 of 66)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 8 of 29)
64% ( 9 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
31% ( 21 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 41 of 66)
87
Total Points Won
46
W
6-1 6-2 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74% ( 64 of 86)
1st Serve %
70% ( 57 of 81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 51 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
76
L
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H

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