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Sebastian Baez vs Holger Rune Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Baez vs Rune analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Sebastian Baez vs Holger Rune Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Baez has won 53.74% of points on his second serve, while Rune has won 54.22%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Baez, in recent form, has won 50.38% of his opponent's second serve points, while Rune has won 49.27%. The same stats for first serve returns are 33.99% and 26.48% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Baez has saved 57.61% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Rune has saved 68.72% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Baez has won 61.19% of matches played (W/L 41/ 26), with Rune winning 63.38% (W/L 45/ 26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Baez has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 200/ 80), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 8% (W/L 1/ 12). Rune has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 73% (W/L 60/ 22), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 54% (W/L 40/ 34).
  • Player level: In the last year, Baez has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 67.44% of matches (W/L 29/ 14), where as Rune has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 72.41% of matches (W/L 21/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Baez winning 2 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Baez winning 4 and Rune winning 4. The last match between Baez and Rune was at the Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel, 26-10-2023, Second, I.hard with Holger Rune getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:36:13.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Baez and Rune have played a deciding set 0 times, with Baez winning 0 times and Rune 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Baez winning 1, and Rune 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Baez has played against opponents with an average rank of 147.94 while Rune has played against players with an average rank of 117.27.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Baez has won 61% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Rune has won 61% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Baez has converted 42.59% of breakpoint opportunities, and Rune has converted 35.33% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Baez 2 - 2 Rune

Sebastian Baez

17

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

5

Minor

19

Rank

19

High

23

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

2

0

Hard

0

2

Clay

1

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

7

Rank

4

High

20

Age

R

Plays

Holger Rune

13

Total

1

Mast

5

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

4

Minor

2

Total

2

0

Hard

0

2

Clay

1

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

W W W W W W W W W L

Form

L W L W W W L W W L

65% (235-125)

Career Total W/L

66% (218-112)

74% (17-6)

YTD W/L

68% (13-6)

$2,216,340

Career Prize Money

$5,630,010

2

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Baez VS Rune H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Sebastian Baez Holger Rune
All H2H Matches 2 2
Sets Won 4 4
Games Won 37 40
Aces (Total) 6 10
DFs (Total) 5 4
Avg Match Time 1:36:13 1:36:13
1st Serve % 77% (208/269) 64% (163/255)
1st Serve Win% 63% (130/208) 66% (108/163)
2nd Serve Win% 48% (29/61) 58% (53/92)
BPs Won% (Total) 38% (9/24) 27% (10/37)
Return Points W% 37% (94/255) 41% (110/269)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (2/4) 50% (2/4)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (2/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 0% (2/0)

Baez VS Rune H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(2) 6-1
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Sebastian Baez
61% ( 36 of 59)
1st Serve %
81% ( 50 of 62)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 34 of 50)
78% ( 18 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
22% ( 13 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 24 of 62)
70
Total Points Won
51
7-6(4) 6-3
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Holger Rune
73% ( 52 of 71)
1st Serve %
61% ( 45 of 74)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
65% ( 34 of 52)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 29 of 45)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
34% ( 24 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 31 of 74)
78
Total Points Won
67
6-2 6-4
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Holger Rune
77% ( 60 of 78)
1st Serve %
68% ( 47 of 69)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
62% ( 37 of 60)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 26 of 47)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
14% ( 2 of 14)
42% ( 33 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 35 of 69)
80
Total Points Won
67
6-3 6-2
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Sebastian Baez
66% ( 35 of 53)
1st Serve %
79% ( 46 of 58)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
71% ( 25 of 35)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 25 of 46)
72% ( 13 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 15 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 29 of 58)
67
Total Points Won
44

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Sebastian Baez Holger Rune
YTD W/L 74% (17/6) 68% (13/6)
Sets Win/Loss 66% (38/20) 63% (30/18)
Games Win/Loss 54% (279/241) 53% (257/224)
Hard Win/Loss 43% (3/4) 71% (10/4)
Clay Win/Loss 88% (14/2) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 60% (3/2)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.21 0.67
Aces Total 53 157
DFs per game 0.13 0.19
DFs Total 32 46
Avg Match Time 1:45:47 N/A
Avg Opp Rank 173.96 167.53
1st Serve % 71% (1126/1584) 61% (918/1517)
1st Serve W% 64% (722/1126) 75% (693/918)
2nd Serve W% 55% (250/458) 56% (336/599)
BPs Won% Total 42% (78/185) 33% (43/129)
Return Pts W% 43% (678/1590) 36% (546/1512)
Slam W/L 67% (2/1) 50% (1/1)
Masters W/L 50% (1/1) 67% (2/1)
Cups W/L 100% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 76% (13/4) 71% (10/4)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 75% (15/20) 71% (12/17)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 50% (1/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (2/2) 82% (9/11)
Deciding Set W% 71% (5/7) 67% (4/6)
1st set W, W 93% (14/13) 92% (12/11)
1st set W, L 7% (14/1) 8% (12/1)
1st set L, W 44% (9/4) 29% (7/2)

Sebastian Baez Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Sebastian Baez
63% ( 25 of 40)
1st Serve %
68% ( 38 of 56)
9
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
88% ( 22 of 25)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
67% ( 10 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 11 of 18)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 8 of 40)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
59
Total Points Won
37
L
6-2 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Fabio Fognini
60% ( 45 of 75)
1st Serve %
44% ( 28 of 63)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
6
64% ( 29 of 45)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 19 of 28)
70% ( 21 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 28 of 63)
78
Total Points Won
60
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
R1
L
bye H2H
F
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Alejandro Tabilo
65% ( 54 of 83)
1st Serve %
69% ( 66 of 95)
5
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
70% ( 38 of 54)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 39 of 66)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 11 of 29)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
35% ( 29 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 45 of 95)
99
Total Points Won
79
W
3-6 6-0 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Pedro Martinez Portero
68% ( 44 of 65)
1st Serve %
60% ( 40 of 67)
5
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
75% ( 33 of 44)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 24 of 40)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
34% ( 22 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 30 of 67)
73
Total Points Won
59
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
71% ( 61 of 86)
1st Serve %
67% ( 39 of 58)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
5
61% ( 37 of 61)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 25 of 39)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 9 of 19)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
41% ( 35 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 24 of 58)
75
Total Points Won
69
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
70% ( 61 of 87)
1st Serve %
59% ( 57 of 97)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
62% ( 38 of 61)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
41% ( 36 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 43 of 97)
94
Total Points Won
90
W
4-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Mariano Navone
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve %
72% ( 43 of 60)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
68% ( 23 of 34)
1st Serve Won
42% ( 18 of 43)
67% ( 6 of 9)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
33% ( 14 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 35 of 60)
64
Total Points Won
39
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Francisco Cerundolo
78% ( 42 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 40 of 59)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
31% ( 17 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 31 of 59)
68
Total Points Won
45
W
7-5 6-0 H2H
QF
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Thiago Moura Monteiro
69% ( 57 of 83)
1st Serve %
56% ( 39 of 70)
3
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 39 of 57)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 30 of 39)
46% ( 12 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 11 of 31)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
39% ( 32 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 29 of 70)
80
Total Points Won
73
W
6-4 1-6 6-2 H2H

Holger Rune Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Holger Rune
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
56% ( 47 of 84)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
6
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 32 of 47)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 14 of 37)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
34% ( 25 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 38 of 84)
86
Total Points Won
71
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Taylor Fritz
56% ( 53 of 94)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 91)
4
Aces
8
4
Double Faults
3
77% ( 41 of 53)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 36 of 52)
61% ( 25 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 24 of 39)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
30% ( 28 of 94)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 31 of 91)
97
Total Points Won
88
W
2-6 7-6(2) 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve %
68% ( 46 of 68)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
82% ( 31 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
71% ( 15 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
22% ( 13 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 25 of 68)
71
Total Points Won
56
W
6-2 7-6(5) H2H
R2
W
w/o H2H
R1
L
bye H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Holger Rune
64% ( 56 of 88)
1st Serve %
49% ( 40 of 82)
5
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
3
75% ( 42 of 56)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
44% ( 14 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 23 of 42)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
36% ( 32 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 82)
86
Total Points Won
84
L
3-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Dominik Koepfer
65% ( 52 of 80)
1st Serve %
57% ( 39 of 68)
7
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
77% ( 40 of 52)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
46% ( 13 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 15 of 29)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
34% ( 27 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 25 of 68)
78
Total Points Won
70
W
7-6(2) 7-6(0) H2H
R2
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
58% ( 43 of 74)
1st Serve %
61% ( 40 of 66)
11
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
2
74% ( 32 of 43)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 32 of 40)
68% ( 21 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 9 of 26)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
28% ( 21 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 25 of 66)
78
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(5) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Michael Mmoh
54% ( 29 of 54)
1st Serve %
58% ( 31 of 53)
6
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
6
86% ( 25 of 29)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 22 of 31)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 6 of 22)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
63
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Alexander Shevchenko
Player
Holger Rune
66% ( 53 of 80)
1st Serve %
60% ( 40 of 67)
6
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
0
81% ( 43 of 53)
1st Serve Won
85% ( 34 of 40)
33% ( 9 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
35% ( 28 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
27% ( 18 of 67)
70
Total Points Won
77
L
6-4 1-6 6-3 H2H

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