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Roger Federer vs Andy Murray Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Federer vs Murray analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Roger Federer vs Andy Murray Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Federer 14 - 11 Murray

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Federer has won 0% of points on their second serve, while Murray has won 51.25%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Federer, in recent form, has won 0% of their opponent's second serve points, while Murray has won 48.8%. The same stats for first serve returns are 0% and 25.56% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Federer has saved 0% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Murray has saved 55.96% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Federer has won 0% of matches played (W/L 0/ 0), with Murray winning 40.54% (W/L 15/ 22) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Federer has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 87% (W/L 195/ 30), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 76% (W/L 229/ 74). Murray has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 78% (W/L 137/ 38), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 144/ 66).
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 25 times before with Federer winning 14 times and Murray being victorious 11 times. They have played 67 sets in total, with Federer winning 40 and Murray winning 27. The last match between Federer and Murray was at the Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati, 22-08-2015, Semifinals, Hard with Roger Federer getting the victory 6-4 7-6(6).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:3:19.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Federer and Murray have played a deciding set 7 times, with Federer winning 1 times and Murray 6 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 10 tiebreaks against each other with Federer winning 8, and Murray 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Federer has played against opponents with an average rank of while Murray has played against players with an average rank of 101.43.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Federer has won 0% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Murray has won 33% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Federer has converted 0% of breakpoint opportunities, and Murray has converted 32.65% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Roger Federer

104

Total

28

Mast

1

Chall

20

Slam

49

Main

0

Minor

Ret.

Rank

1

High

42

Age

R

Plays

14

Total

11

7

Hard

8

0

Clay

0

5

Indoor

2

2

Grass

1

129

Rank

1

High

37

Age

R

Plays

Andy Murray

55

Total

14

Mast

5

Chall

3

Slam

26

Main

4

Minor

14

Total

11

7

Hard

8

0

Clay

0

5

Indoor

2

2

Grass

1

W W W W L W W W W L

Form

W W L W L L L L W L

82% (1277-284)

Career Total W/L

74% (840-297)

0% (0-0)

YTD W/L

35% (7-13)

$84,339,395

Career Prize Money

$44,771,615

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Federer VS Murray H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Roger Federer Andy Murray
All H2H Matches 14 11
Sets Won 40 27
Games Won 350 324
Aces (Total) 148 194
DFs Total 40 57
Avg Match Time 1:3:19 1:3:19
1st Serve % 61% (1242/2023) 56% (1175/2105)
1st Serve Win% 73% (908/1242) 72% (847/1175)
2nd Serve Win% 52% (405/781) 51% (472/930)
BPs Won% (Total) 37% (69/186) 41% (62/151)
Return Points W% 37% (786/2109) 35% (710/2025)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (9/18) 50% (9/18)
Best of 5 Sets W% 71% (5/7) 29% (2/7)
TBs Win% (Total) 80% (8/10) 20% (2/10)
Deciding Set Win% 14% (1/7) 86% (6/7)
1st set W, W 75% (16/12) 78% (9/7)
1st set W, L 25% (16/4) 22% (9/2)
1st set L, W 22% (9/2) 25% (16/4)

Federer VS Murray H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 7-6(6)
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Andy Murray
55% ( 35 of 64)
1st Serve %
61% ( 49 of 80)
4
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
0
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 36 of 49)
79% ( 23 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 14 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 27 of 80)
77
Total Points Won
67
7-5 7-5 6-4
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Andy Murray
76% ( 69 of 91)
1st Serve %
74% ( 79 of 107)
20
Aces
12
1
Double Faults
1
84% ( 58 of 69)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 56 of 79)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 21 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 37 of 107)
107
Total Points Won
91
6-0 6-1
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Andy Murray
39% ( 14 of 36)
1st Serve %
45% ( 19 of 42)
0
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
100% ( 14 of 14)
1st Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 9 of 23)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 8 of 36)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
54
Total Points Won
24
6-3 7-5
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Andy Murray
60% ( 38 of 63)
1st Serve %
48% ( 35 of 73)
3
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
2
71% ( 27 of 38)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 21 of 35)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 17 of 38)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
37% ( 23 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 35 of 73)
75
Total Points Won
61
6-3 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Andy Murray
64% ( 78 of 122)
1st Serve %
61% ( 89 of 146)
10
Aces
9
0
Double Faults
1
78% ( 61 of 78)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 60 of 89)
64% ( 28 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 28 of 57)
24% ( 4 of 17)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 33 of 122)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 58 of 146)
147
Total Points Won
121
6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 6-7(2) 6-2
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Roger Federer
64% ( 100 of 157)
1st Serve %
61% ( 105 of 171)
21
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
75% ( 75 of 100)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 77 of 105)
63% ( 36 of 57)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
29% ( 46 of 157)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 66 of 171)
177
Total Points Won
151
7-6(5) 6-2
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Andy Murray
54% ( 32 of 59)
1st Serve %
47% ( 31 of 66)
2
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
1
84% ( 27 of 32)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 25 of 31)
63% ( 17 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
25% ( 15 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 66)
70
Total Points Won
55
6-4 6-4
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Roger Federer
53% ( 30 of 57)
1st Serve %
59% ( 47 of 80)
5
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
5
87% ( 26 of 30)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 31 of 47)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 12 of 33)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
33% ( 19 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 37 of 80)
75
Total Points Won
62
6-2 6-1 6-4
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Roger Federer
51% ( 44 of 87)
1st Serve %
65% ( 51 of 78)
5
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
1
75% ( 33 of 44)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 33 of 51)
63% ( 27 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 9)
31% ( 27 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 35 of 78)
97
Total Points Won
68
4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Andy Murray
69% ( 90 of 131)
1st Serve %
56% ( 88 of 157)
12
Aces
16
3
Double Faults
1
76% ( 68 of 90)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 61 of 88)
49% ( 20 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
33% ( 43 of 131)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 63 of 157)
151
Total Points Won
137
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Roger Federer Andy Murray
YTD W/L 0% (0/0) 35% (7/13)
Sets Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 38% (18/30)
Games Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 47% (221/252)
Hard Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 45% (5/6)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 25% (1/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/2)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 33% (1/2)
Aces pg 0 0.48
Aces Total 0 112
DFs per game 0 0.16
DFs Total 0 37
Avg Match Time 1st Match 1st Match
Avg Opp Rank 0 91.45
1st Serve % 0% (0/0) 59% (850/1449)
1st Serve W% 0% (0/0) 73% (617/850)
2nd Serve W% 0% (0/0) 51% (307/599)
BPs Won% Total 0% (0/0) 33% (32/98)
Return Pts W% 0% (0/0) 34% (523/1517)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/2)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 60% (3/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 27% (3/8)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (1/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 41% (7/17)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 44% (4/9)
Deciding Set W% 0% (0/0) 43% (3/7)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 63% (8/5)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 38% (8/3)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 17% (12/2)

Roger Federer Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Roger Federer
59% ( 52 of 88)
1st Serve %
65% ( 60 of 93)
10
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
79% ( 41 of 52)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 40 of 60)
56% ( 20 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 11 of 33)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
31% ( 27 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 42 of 93)
103
Total Points Won
78
L
6-3 7-6(4) 6-0 H2H
R4
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
60% ( 47 of 78)
1st Serve %
62% ( 67 of 108)
4
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
79% ( 37 of 47)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 44 of 67)
65% ( 20 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 18 of 41)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
27% ( 21 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 46 of 108)
103
Total Points Won
83
W
7-5 6-4 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Cameron Norrie
67% ( 76 of 114)
1st Serve %
66% ( 87 of 132)
7
Aces
12
0
Double Faults
7
74% ( 56 of 76)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 59 of 87)
66% ( 25 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 22 of 45)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
29% ( 33 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 51 of 132)
132
Total Points Won
114
W
6-4 6-4 5-7 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Richard Gasquet
65% ( 62 of 95)
1st Serve %
57% ( 55 of 96)
10
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
84% ( 52 of 62)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 36 of 55)
58% ( 19 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 21 of 41)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
25% ( 24 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 39 of 96)
110
Total Points Won
81
W
7-6(1) 6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Adrian Mannarino
61% ( 68 of 112)
1st Serve %
64% ( 83 of 130)
16
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
6
74% ( 50 of 68)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 63 of 83)
61% ( 27 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 20 of 47)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
31% ( 35 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 47 of 130)
124
Total Points Won
118
W
6-4 6-7(3) 3-6 6-2 0-0 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Roger Federer
70% ( 48 of 69)
1st Serve %
67% ( 61 of 91)
13
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
88% ( 42 of 48)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 38 of 61)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
20% ( 14 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 37 of 91)
92
Total Points Won
68
L
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Ilya Ivashka
75% ( 57 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 43 of 70)
4
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
0
77% ( 44 of 57)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 31 of 43)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
74% ( 20 of 27)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
29% ( 22 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
27% ( 19 of 70)
73
Total Points Won
73
W
7-6(4) 7-5 H2H
R4
L
w/o H2H
R3
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Dominik Koepfer
64% ( 101 of 158)
1st Serve %
59% ( 95 of 161)
6
Aces
11
1
Double Faults
4
68% ( 69 of 101)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 62 of 95)
58% ( 33 of 57)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 41 of 66)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
35% ( 56 of 158)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 58 of 161)
160
Total Points Won
159
W
7-6(5) 6-7(3) 7-6(4) 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Roger Federer
Player
Marin Cilic
68% ( 80 of 117)
1st Serve %
64% ( 77 of 120)
16
Aces
12
1
Double Faults
6
75% ( 60 of 80)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 58 of 77)
57% ( 21 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 17 of 43)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
31% ( 36 of 117)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 45 of 120)
126
Total Points Won
111
W
6-2 2-6 7-6(4) 6-2 H2H

Andy Murray Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Andy Murray
50% ( 5 of 10)
1st Serve %
56% ( 9 of 16)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
100% ( 5 of 5)
1st Serve Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
60% ( 3 of 5)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 2 of 10)
Rtn Points Won
63% ( 10 of 16)
18
Total Points Won
8
L
4-1 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Alexei Popyrin
67% ( 56 of 83)
1st Serve %
60% ( 45 of 75)
9
Aces
12
4
Double Faults
3
77% ( 43 of 56)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 37 of 45)
56% ( 15 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 25 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 24 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
76
W
6-3 3-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Marcos Giron
Player
Andy Murray
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve %
69% ( 34 of 49)
7
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 9 of 15)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
29% ( 18 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 17 of 49)
62
Total Points Won
50
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Stan Wawrinka
Player
Andy Murray
54% ( 48 of 89)
1st Serve %
56% ( 45 of 81)
3
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
79% ( 38 of 48)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 32 of 45)
56% ( 23 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
31% ( 28 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 31 of 81)
92
Total Points Won
78
L
6-4 6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Yannick Hanfmann
Player
Andy Murray
72% ( 43 of 60)
1st Serve %
40% ( 23 of 57)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
74% ( 32 of 43)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
65% ( 11 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
28% ( 17 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 24 of 57)
67
Total Points Won
50
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Gregoire Barrere
Player
Andy Murray
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve %
43% ( 24 of 56)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
69% ( 25 of 36)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
35% ( 9 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 11 of 32)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
45% ( 28 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
67
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Kyrian Jacquet
45% ( 20 of 44)
1st Serve %
60% ( 24 of 40)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
90% ( 18 of 20)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
54% ( 13 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
30% ( 13 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 18 of 40)
49
Total Points Won
35
W
7-5 2-0 ret. H2H
R3
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Andy Murray
59% ( 77 of 130)
1st Serve %
56% ( 62 of 110)
6
Aces
15
3
Double Faults
3
75% ( 58 of 77)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 51 of 62)
51% ( 27 of 53)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 21 of 48)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
13% ( 2 of 15)
35% ( 45 of 130)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 38 of 110)
123
Total Points Won
117
L
5-7 7-5 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
60% ( 41 of 68)
1st Serve %
68% ( 52 of 76)
10
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
83% ( 34 of 41)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 33 of 52)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 14 of 24)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
24% ( 16 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 29 of 76)
81
Total Points Won
63
W
7-6(0) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Matteo Berrettini
67% ( 56 of 83)
1st Serve %
64% ( 68 of 107)
9
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
0
79% ( 44 of 56)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 51 of 68)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
25% ( 21 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 38 of 107)
100
Total Points Won
90
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H

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