Reilly Opelka vs Sebastian Baez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How crucial is second serve performance in predicting match outcomes? Opelka has a slight upper hand here, winning 48.74% of second serve points compared to Baez's 44.58% in recent form.
• Who excels at returning serves better? Baez seems to have an edge, winning 48.54% of opponent's second serve points, while Opelka manages only 39.30%. When it comes to the first serve, Baez outshines with 29.80% compared to Opelka's 18.17%.
• Under pressure, Reilly Opelka shines, saving 68.22% of breakpoints, outperforming Baez's 52.17%. This could be a critical factor during tense match moments.
• Who enjoys better performance overall? Over the last year, Opelka has a better win rate of 54.39% while Baez trails with 42.55%, suggesting a slight advantage for Opelka in match outcomes.
• What are their best performing surfaces? Baez is most successful on clay with a win rate of 69%, while Opelka excels on indoor hard courts with 69%. Their weaknesses lie on indoor hard for Baez (13%) and grass for Opelka (46%).
• How does opponent quality factor in? Baez has faced relatively tougher competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 87.83 compared to Opelka's average of 94.49.
• In potential deciding sets, Opelka appears stronger, winning 63% of these tight contests, while Baez wins only 36%.

Editorial Prediction (October 19, 2025, UTC):

When assessing the upcoming match, Opelka's recent performance reveals his superiority in critical areas such as second serve efficiency and breakpoint saving. These elements could be pivotal during intense game scenarios.

Baez, on the other hand, demonstrates formidable return abilities on both first and second serves, potentially countering Opelka's strengths. However, his less favorable deciding set record might hinder him if the match goes to the wire.

Considering the diverse factors at play, including surface preferences and opponent quality, Opelka emerges as the likely winner. His formidable pressure handling and overall win rate tip the scales in his favor for the upcoming encounter.