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Rafael Nadal vs Milos Raonic Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nadal vs Raonic analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Rafael Nadal vs Milos Raonic Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Nadal 8 - 2 Raonic

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 53.74% of points on his second serve, while Raonic has won 60%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 53.29% of his opponent's second serve points, while Raonic has won 46.25%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.58% and 24.14% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 55.1% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Raonic has saved 70% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 63.64% of matches played (W/L 7/ 4), with Raonic winning 57.14% (W/L 8/ 6) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 506/ 56), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38). Raonic has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 69% (W/L 244/ 112), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 61% (W/L 70/ 45).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 4/ 2), where as Raonic has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 10 times before with Nadal winning 8 times. They have played 24 sets in total, with Nadal winning 19 and Raonic winning 5. The last match between Nadal and Raonic was at the Laver Cup - Geneva, 21-09-2019, Robin, I.hard with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 6-3 7-6(1).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:56:55.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Raonic have played a deciding set 3 times, with Nadal winning 1 times and Raonic 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 3, and Raonic 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 104.36 while Raonic has played against players with an average rank of 75.14.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Raonic has won 100% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 43.75% of breakpoint opportunities, and Raonic has converted 23.08% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

276

Rank

1

High

37

Age

L

Plays

8

Total

2

6

Hard

2

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

197

Rank

3

High

33

Age

R

Plays

Milos Raonic

12

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

4

Minor

8

Total

2

6

Hard

2

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L W L W W W L W L

Form

W W L L W L W W L W

82% (1119-240)

Career Total W/L

67% (472-236)

64% (7-4)

YTD W/L

60% (3-2)

$96,533,810

Career Prize Money

$15,006,639

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nadal VS Raonic H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Rafael Nadal Milos Raonic
All H2H Matches 8 2
Sets Won 19 5
Games Won 140 102
Aces (Total) 38 118
DFs (Total) 13 26
Avg Match Time 1:56:55 1:56:55
1st Serve % 71% (508/713) 61% (467/770)
1st Serve Win% 76% (384/508) 76% (353/467)
2nd Serve Win% 66% (135/205) 44% (133/303)
BPs Won% (Total) 43% (24/56) 18% (6/34)
Return Points W% 37% (284/770) 27% (194/713)
Best of 3 Sets W% 78% (7/9) 22% (2/9)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 75% (3/4) 25% (1/4)
Deciding Set Win% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
1st set W, W 78% (9/7) 0% (1/0)
1st set W, L 22% (9/2) 100% (1/1)
1st set L, W 100% (1/1) 22% (9/2)

Nadal VS Raonic H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 7-6(1)
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Milos Raonic
63% ( 48 of 76)
1st Serve %
56% ( 40 of 71)
2
Aces
13
1
Double Faults
3
65% ( 31 of 48)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 32 of 40)
68% ( 19 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 11 of 31)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
34% ( 26 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 71)
78
Total Points Won
69
6-4 7-6(7) 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Milos Raonic
72% ( 76 of 105)
1st Serve %
66% ( 71 of 107)
4
Aces
14
4
Double Faults
2
83% ( 63 of 76)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 48 of 71)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 20 of 36)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 27 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 39 of 107)
117
Total Points Won
95
4-6 6-3 6-4
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Rafael Nadal
64% ( 62 of 97)
1st Serve %
73% ( 61 of 84)
23
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
0
81% ( 50 of 62)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 39 of 61)
46% ( 16 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
32% ( 31 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 31 of 84)
97
Total Points Won
84
6-3 7-6(3)
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Milos Raonic
74% ( 48 of 65)
1st Serve %
59% ( 40 of 68)
4
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
2
79% ( 38 of 48)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 31 of 40)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
20% ( 1 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 15 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 22 of 68)
72
Total Points Won
61
4-6 7-6(10) 7-5
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 73 of 119)
1st Serve %
64% ( 66 of 103)
19
Aces
7
6
Double Faults
1
81% ( 59 of 73)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 54 of 66)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 24 of 37)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
32% ( 38 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
24% ( 25 of 103)
106
Total Points Won
116
4-6 6-2 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Milos Raonic
75% ( 63 of 84)
1st Serve %
55% ( 57 of 103)
2
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 47 of 63)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 43 of 57)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 18 of 46)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 25 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 42 of 103)
101
Total Points Won
86
6-2 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Milos Raonic
70% ( 28 of 40)
1st Serve %
50% ( 23 of 46)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
79% ( 22 of 28)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
92% ( 11 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
18% ( 7 of 40)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
55
Total Points Won
31
6-4 6-0
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Milos Raonic
74% ( 31 of 42)
1st Serve %
67% ( 38 of 57)
4
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
0
71% ( 22 of 31)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 22 of 38)
64% ( 7 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 5 of 19)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 13 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 30 of 57)
59
Total Points Won
40
7-5 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Milos Raonic
77% ( 43 of 56)
1st Serve %
56% ( 28 of 50)
2
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
1
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve Won
86% ( 24 of 28)
92% ( 12 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 11 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 15 of 50)
60
Total Points Won
46
6-4 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Milos Raonic
76% ( 44 of 58)
1st Serve %
67% ( 35 of 52)
5
Aces
14
1
Double Faults
1
80% ( 35 of 44)
1st Serve Won
86% ( 30 of 35)
64% ( 9 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
24% ( 14 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 17 of 52)
61
Total Points Won
49

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Rafael Nadal Milos Raonic
YTD W/L 64% (7/4) 60% (3/2)
Sets Win/Loss 60% (15/10) 70% (7/3)
Games Win/Loss 56% (131/104) 54% (54/46)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (2/1) 50% (1/1)
Clay Win/Loss 63% (5/3) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 67% (2/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.19 1.31
Aces Total 22 64
DFs per game 0.17 0.35
DFs Total 19 17
Avg Match Time 2:1:36 1:28:40
Avg Opp Rank 104.36 104.8
1st Serve % 68% (490/717) 59% (173/295)
1st Serve W% 70% (342/490) 83% (143/173)
2nd Serve W% 54% (122/227) 57% (70/122)
BPs Won% Total 44% (35/80) 21% (7/34)
Return Pts W% 40% (298/745) 33% (109/332)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 67% (4/2) 100% (1/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 60% (3/2) 67% (2/1)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 64% (7/11) 100% (3/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
Deciding Set W% 67% (2/3) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 86% (7/6) 75% (4/3)
1st set W, L 14% (7/1) 25% (4/1)
1st set L, W 25% (4/1) 0% (1/0)

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Rafael Nadal
54% ( 30 of 56)
1st Serve %
72% ( 38 of 53)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83% ( 25 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
43
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Zizou Bergs
62% ( 58 of 93)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 78)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
63% ( 22 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
34% ( 32 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 27 of 78)
88
Total Points Won
83
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 46 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89% ( 41 of 46)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 17 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
76
Total Points Won
61
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78% ( 59 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 74 of 122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 39 of 74)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
50% ( 9 of 18)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 65 of 122)
109
Total Points Won
89
W
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62% ( 24 of 39)
1st Serve %
69% ( 27 of 39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
76% ( 35 of 46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
58
Total Points Won
34
W
6-1 6-2 H2H

Milos Raonic Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
L
w/o H2H
R1
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Sumit Nagal
51% ( 34 of 67)
1st Serve %
60% ( 38 of 63)
9
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
2
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 24 of 38)
52% ( 17 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
36% ( 24 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 27 of 63)
70
Total Points Won
60
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Milos Raonic
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve %
76% ( 29 of 38)
3
Aces
11
0
Double Faults
0
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 23 of 29)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 6 of 9)
100% ( 1 of 1)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
27% ( 12 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
24% ( 9 of 38)
42
Total Points Won
41
L
7-6(4) 1-1 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Alexander Bublik
61% ( 33 of 54)
1st Serve %
63% ( 41 of 65)
12
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
4
85% ( 28 of 33)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 27 of 41)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 14 of 24)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
22% ( 12 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 24 of 65)
66
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Jesper De Jong
56% ( 37 of 66)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 79)
20
Aces
7
7
Double Faults
4
97% ( 36 of 37)
1st Serve Won
84% ( 37 of 44)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
13% ( 1 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 15 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 25 of 79)
76
Total Points Won
69
W
7-6(5) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Milos Raonic
51% ( 41 of 80)
1st Serve %
57% ( 40 of 70)
10
Aces
12
1
Double Faults
1
85% ( 35 of 41)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 30 of 40)
62% ( 24 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 21 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 22 of 70)
81
Total Points Won
69
L
6-7(6) 6-3 2-0 ret. H2H
Rubber 1
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Patrick Kaukovalta
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve %
60% ( 36 of 60)
18
Aces
11
1
Double Faults
0
97% ( 33 of 34)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 27 of 36)
85% ( 11 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
6% ( 3 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 21 of 60)
65
Total Points Won
42
W
6-3 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Milos Raonic
59% ( 45 of 76)
1st Serve %
46% ( 39 of 84)
7
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
8
84% ( 38 of 45)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 32 of 39)
55% ( 17 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 15 of 45)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 21 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 37 of 84)
92
Total Points Won
68
L
6-2 6-3 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Milos Raonic
71% ( 37 of 52)
1st Serve %
64% ( 35 of 55)
5
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
6
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 27 of 35)
67% ( 10 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
23% ( 12 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 22 of 55)
62
Total Points Won
45
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Taro Daniel
57% ( 29 of 51)
1st Serve %
59% ( 41 of 69)
15
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
90% ( 26 of 29)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 31 of 41)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 10 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 27 of 69)
68
Total Points Won
52
W
6-4 6-3 H2H

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