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Rafael Nadal vs Kei Nishikori Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nadal vs Nishikori analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Rafael Nadal vs Kei Nishikori Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 58.33% of points on his second serve, while Nishikori has won 70%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 56.16% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nishikori has won 38.46%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.88% and 18.92% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 71.43% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nishikori has saved 50% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 66.67% of matches played (W/L 2/ 1), with Nishikori winning 71.43% (W/L 10/ 4) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 501/ 53), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38). Nishikori has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 71% (W/L 101/ 41), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 64% (W/L 48/ 27).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 2/ 1), where as Nishikori has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 80% of matches (W/L 8/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 14 times before with Nadal winning 12 times. They have played 36 sets in total, with Nadal winning 29 and Nishikori winning 7. The last match between Nadal and Nishikori was at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona, 22-04-2021, Third, Clay with Rafael Nadal getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:45:19.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Nishikori have played a deciding set 3 times, with Nadal winning 2 times and Nishikori 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 3, and Nishikori 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 98 while Nishikori has played against players with an average rank of 214.07.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 0% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nishikori has won 33% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 45% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nishikori has converted 0% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Nadal 12 - 2 Nishikori

Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

644

Rank

1

High

37

Age

L

Plays

12

Total

2

4

Hard

2

6

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

2

Grass

0

353

Rank

4

High

34

Age

R

Plays

Kei Nishikori

20

Total

0

Mast

7

Chall

0

Slam

12

Main

1

Minor

12

Total

2

4

Hard

2

6

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

2

Grass

0

L L W L L W L W W L

Form

W W L W W L W W L L

82% (1114-237)

Career Total W/L

68% (562-259)

67% (2-1)

YTD W/L

0% (0-1)

$96,394,795

Career Prize Money

$18,614,050

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nadal VS Nishikori H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Rafael Nadal Kei Nishikori
All H2H Matches 12 2
Sets Won 29 7
Games Won 194 138
Aces (Total) 57 36
DFs (Total) 31 33
Avg Match Time 1:45:19 1:45:19
1st Serve % 70% (751/1075) 62% (663/1061)
1st Serve Win% 70% (529/751) 64% (422/663)
2nd Serve Win% 52% (167/323) 47% (187/396)
BPs Won% (Total) 47% (54/115) 29% (29/99)
Return Points W% 42% (452/1069) 35% (379/1078)
Best of 3 Sets W% 78% (7/9) 22% (2/9)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (5/5) 0% (0/5)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
Deciding Set Win% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
1st set W, W 100% (11/11) 67% (3/2)
1st set W, L 0% (11/0) 33% (3/1)
1st set L, W 33% (3/1) 0% (11/0)

Nadal VS Nishikori H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-0 2-6 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Kei Nishikori
60% ( 49 of 82)
1st Serve %
62% ( 49 of 79)
2
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
1
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 27 of 49)
52% ( 17 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
40% ( 33 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 38 of 79)
87
Total Points Won
74
6-1 6-1 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Kei Nishikori
72% ( 50 of 69)
1st Serve %
73% ( 54 of 74)
3
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
1
76% ( 38 of 50)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 24 of 54)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
30% ( 21 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 40 of 74)
88
Total Points Won
55
6-3 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Kei Nishikori
70% ( 38 of 54)
1st Serve %
52% ( 28 of 54)
1
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
74% ( 28 of 38)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 17 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 26 of 54)
63
Total Points Won
45
6-2 6-7(1) 6-3
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Rafael Nadal
58% ( 52 of 89)
1st Serve %
77% ( 82 of 106)
7
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
69% ( 36 of 52)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 49 of 82)
69% ( 24 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
31% ( 27 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 45 of 105)
106
Total Points Won
89
6-4 7-5
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Kei Nishikori
74% ( 62 of 84)
1st Serve %
71% ( 52 of 73)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
60% ( 37 of 62)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 29 of 52)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 10 of 21)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
23% ( 3 of 13)
43% ( 36 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 34 of 73)
82
Total Points Won
75
6-4 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Kei Nishikori
89% ( 62 of 70)
1st Serve %
50% ( 27 of 54)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
63% ( 39 of 62)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
50% ( 4 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
39% ( 27 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 25 of 54)
68
Total Points Won
56
6-2 6-4
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Rafael Nadal
58% ( 30 of 52)
1st Serve %
56% ( 30 of 54)
5
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
6
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 20 of 30)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
35% ( 18 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 25 of 54)
59
Total Points Won
47
2-6 6-4 3-0 ret.
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Kei Nishikori
78% ( 43 of 55)
1st Serve %
58% ( 38 of 65)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
58% ( 7 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 27 of 65)
65
Total Points Won
55
7-6(3) 7-5 7-6(3)
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Kei Nishikori
71% ( 88 of 124)
1st Serve %
66% ( 76 of 115)
12
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
76% ( 67 of 88)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 51 of 76)
39% ( 14 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 16 of 39)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
35% ( 43 of 124)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 48 of 115)
129
Total Points Won
110
6-4 6-1 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Kei Nishikori
69% ( 54 of 78)
1st Serve %
65% ( 51 of 78)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
72% ( 39 of 54)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 27 of 51)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
29% ( 23 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 36 of 78)
91
Total Points Won
65
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Rafael Nadal Kei Nishikori
YTD W/L 67% (2/1) 0% (0/1)
Sets Win/Loss 71% (5/2) 0% (0/2)
Games Win/Loss 60% (41/27) 37% (7/12)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (2/1) 0% (0/1)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.42 0
Aces Total 14 0
DFs per game 0.18 0
DFs Total 6 0
Avg Match Time 2:6:38 1:19:40
Avg Opp Rank 98 192
1st Serve % 70% (140/200) 65% (37/57)
1st Serve W% 79% (110/140) 59% (22/37)
2nd Serve W% 58% (35/60) 70% (14/20)
BPs Won% Total 45% (9/20) 0% (0/3)
Return Pts W% 40% (83/209) 27% (17/63)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 67% (2/1) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set W% 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 67% (3/2) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 33% (3/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
76% ( 35 of 46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
58
Total Points Won
34
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
80% ( 12 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
13% ( 6 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 21 of 54)
61
Total Points Won
39
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66% ( 63 of 95)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 102)
107
Total Points Won
90
L
6-4 6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66% ( 78 of 119)
1st Serve %
58% ( 67 of 115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73% ( 57 of 78)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
51% ( 21 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 27 of 48)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
34% ( 41 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 46 of 115)
124
Total Points Won
110
W
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 H2H
Robin
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62% ( 62 of 100)
1st Serve %
61% ( 56 of 92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63% ( 39 of 62)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 34 of 56)
50% ( 19 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
42% ( 42 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 42 of 92)
100
Total Points Won
92
L
3-6 6-1 7-5 H2H
Robin
cross
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
58% ( 55 of 95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 40 of 55)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 34 of 95)
94
Total Points Won
89
L
3-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
Robin
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
70% ( 46 of 66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93% ( 38 of 41)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
18% ( 11 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 23 of 66)
73
Total Points Won
54
W
7-5 7-5 H2H
Robin
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 48 of 68)
1st Serve %
59% ( 36 of 61)
15
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
81% ( 39 of 48)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 26 of 36)
40% ( 8 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
31% ( 21 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 23 of 61)
70
Total Points Won
59
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
Robin
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Rafael Nadal
69% ( 40 of 58)
1st Serve %
71% ( 49 of 69)
8
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
4
80% ( 32 of 40)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 37 of 49)
78% ( 14 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 8 of 20)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 12 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 24 of 69)
70
Total Points Won
57
L
7-6(3) 6-1 H2H

Kei Nishikori Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Ofner
Player
Kei Nishikori
59% ( 37 of 63)
1st Serve %
65% ( 37 of 57)
9
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
70% ( 14 of 20)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
27% ( 17 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 21 of 57)
67
Total Points Won
53
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Kei Nishikori
63% ( 29 of 46)
1st Serve %
66% ( 38 of 58)
7
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
86% ( 25 of 29)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 26 of 38)
76% ( 13 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
17% ( 8 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 23 of 58)
61
Total Points Won
43
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Juncheng Shang
66% ( 40 of 61)
1st Serve %
67% ( 42 of 63)
4
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 31 of 40)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 13 of 21)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
28% ( 17 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 25 of 63)
69
Total Points Won
55
W
6-4 7-6(3) H2H
R1
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Jordan Thompson
71% ( 65 of 91)
1st Serve %
58% ( 52 of 89)
0
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
2
75% ( 49 of 65)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 42 of 52)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
0% ( 0 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
31% ( 28 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 29 of 89)
92
Total Points Won
88
W
7-6(5) 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Alex Michelsen
Player
Kei Nishikori
58% ( 61 of 105)
1st Serve %
64% ( 68 of 107)
7
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
3
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 46 of 68)
61% ( 27 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
35% ( 37 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 43 of 107)
111
Total Points Won
101
L
7-6(13) 3-6 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Skander Mansouri
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve %
65% ( 60 of 93)
1
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
3
85% ( 35 of 41)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 47 of 60)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 10 of 33)
13% ( 1 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
21% ( 13 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 36 of 93)
86
Total Points Won
70
W
7-6(1) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Alexis Galarneau
71% ( 41 of 58)
1st Serve %
61% ( 31 of 51)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
73% ( 30 of 41)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 20 of 31)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 24 of 51)
63
Total Points Won
46
W
7-6(3) 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Denis Kudla
Player
Kei Nishikori
45% ( 42 of 93)
1st Serve %
57% ( 53 of 93)
3
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
5
76% ( 32 of 42)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
53% ( 27 of 51)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
37% ( 34 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 38 of 93)
97
Total Points Won
89
L
6-4 3-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Adam Walton
59% ( 30 of 51)
1st Serve %
51% ( 22 of 43)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
73% ( 22 of 30)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
71% ( 15 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
27% ( 14 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 24 of 43)
61
Total Points Won
33
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Michael Zheng
69% ( 42 of 61)
1st Serve %
60% ( 40 of 67)
4
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
1
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 23 of 40)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 8 of 27)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
41% ( 25 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 36 of 67)
72
Total Points Won
56
W
6-2 7-5 H2H

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Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

Nadal vs Fils H2H Pick , could play in The Third round

Nadal vs Popyrin H2H Pick , could play in The Third round

Nadal vs Altmaier H2H Pick , could play in The Third round

Minaur vs Nadal H2H Pick , could play in The Second round

Today's H2H Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions

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