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Rafael Nadal vs Grigor Dimitrov Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nadal vs Dimitrov analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Rafael Nadal vs Grigor Dimitrov Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Nadal 14 - 1 Dimitrov

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 53.74% of points on his second serve, while Dimitrov has won 55.02%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 53.29% of his opponent's second serve points, while Dimitrov has won 50.15%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.58% and 28.56% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 55.1% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Dimitrov has saved 67.44% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 63.64% of matches played (W/L 7/ 4), with Dimitrov winning 72.97% (W/L 54/ 20) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 506/ 56), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38). Dimitrov has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 64% (W/L 116/ 66), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 48/ 34).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 4/ 2), where as Dimitrov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75% of matches (W/L 24/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 15 times before with Nadal winning 14 times. They have played 41 sets in total, with Nadal winning 30 and Dimitrov winning 11. The last match between Nadal and Dimitrov was at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo, 15-04-2021, Third, Clay with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 6-1 6-1.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:0:59.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Dimitrov have played a deciding set 7 times, with Nadal winning 7 times and Dimitrov 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 5 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 3, and Dimitrov 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 104.36 while Dimitrov has played against players with an average rank of 100.34.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Dimitrov has won 75% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 43.75% of breakpoint opportunities, and Dimitrov has converted 31.74% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

276

Rank

1

High

37

Age

L

Plays

14

Total

1

6

Hard

1

6

Clay

0

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

10

Rank

3

High

33

Age

R

Plays

Grigor Dimitrov

19

Total

1

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

6

Minor

14

Total

1

6

Hard

1

6

Clay

0

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L W L W W W L W L

Form

W W L W W L L W W L

82% (1119-240)

Career Total W/L

62% (571-349)

64% (7-4)

YTD W/L

75% (24-8)

$96,533,810

Career Prize Money

$17,539,275

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nadal VS Dimitrov H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Rafael Nadal Grigor Dimitrov
All H2H Matches 14 1
Sets Won 30 11
Games Won 228 160
Aces (Total) 44 115
DFs (Total) 29 57
Avg Match Time 2:0:59 2:0:59
1st Serve % 70% (857/1218) 63% (771/1231)
1st Serve Win% 69% (591/857) 67% (519/771)
2nd Serve Win% 58% (209/361) 42% (195/460)
BPs Won% (Total) 47% (63/133) 32% (31/97)
Return Points W% 42% (517/1231) 34% (418/1218)
Best of 3 Sets W% 92% (12/13) 8% (1/13)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 60% (3/5) 40% (2/5)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (7/7) 0% (0/7)
1st set W, W 100% (13/13) 50% (2/1)
1st set W, L 0% (13/0) 50% (2/1)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 0% (13/0)

Nadal VS Dimitrov H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-1 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
65% ( 24 of 37)
1st Serve %
57% ( 25 of 44)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
77% ( 10 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 8 of 37)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
55
Total Points Won
26
6-3 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
63% ( 41 of 65)
1st Serve %
72% ( 33 of 46)
4
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
1
68% ( 28 of 41)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
38% ( 9 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 5 of 13)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
43% ( 28 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 25 of 46)
62
Total Points Won
49
6-4 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
55% ( 32 of 58)
1st Serve %
48% ( 25 of 52)
1
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
4
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 17 of 25)
46% ( 12 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
34% ( 20 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
63
Total Points Won
47
6-4 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
66% ( 35 of 53)
1st Serve %
63% ( 33 of 52)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
5
63% ( 22 of 35)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 20 of 33)
72% ( 13 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 5 of 19)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
34% ( 18 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 27 of 52)
62
Total Points Won
43
6-4 6-7(4) 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
75% ( 71 of 95)
1st Serve %
75% ( 72 of 96)
6
Aces
13
2
Double Faults
4
75% ( 53 of 71)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 52 of 72)
71% ( 17 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 25 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 32 of 96)
102
Total Points Won
89
6-3 4-6 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
68% ( 61 of 90)
1st Serve %
64% ( 54 of 84)
1
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
6
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 36 of 54)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
34% ( 31 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 35 of 84)
94
Total Points Won
80
6-3 5-7 7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
73% ( 135 of 184)
1st Serve %
69% ( 124 of 181)
8
Aces
20
3
Double Faults
5
69% ( 93 of 135)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 87 of 124)
55% ( 27 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 28 of 57)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
35% ( 64 of 184)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 66 of 181)
186
Total Points Won
179
6-2 6-4
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Rafael Nadal
72% ( 39 of 54)
1st Serve %
74% ( 48 of 65)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
69% ( 27 of 39)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 25 of 48)
47% ( 7 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
37% ( 20 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 33 of 65)
67
Total Points Won
52
6-4 4-6 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
67% ( 53 of 79)
1st Serve %
54% ( 50 of 92)
4
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
72% ( 38 of 53)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 37 of 50)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 15 of 42)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
33% ( 26 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 40 of 92)
93
Total Points Won
78
6-3 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
69% ( 38 of 55)
1st Serve %
64% ( 53 of 83)
4
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
63% ( 24 of 38)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 29 of 53)
59% ( 10 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
38% ( 21 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 42 of 83)
76
Total Points Won
62
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Rafael Nadal Grigor Dimitrov
YTD W/L 64% (7/4) 75% (24/8)
Sets Win/Loss 60% (15/10) 68% (54/25)
Games Win/Loss 56% (131/104) 55% (437/360)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (2/1) 82% (14/3)
Clay Win/Loss 63% (5/3) 57% (4/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 75% (6/2)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.19 0.66
Aces Total 22 257
DFs per game 0.17 0.24
DFs Total 19 93
Avg Match Time 2:1:36 1:58:47
Avg Opp Rank 104.36 127.31
1st Serve % 68% (490/717) 64% (1490/2337)
1st Serve W% 70% (342/490) 80% (1190/1490)
2nd Serve W% 54% (122/227) 55% (466/847)
BPs Won% Total 44% (35/80) 32% (73/230)
Return Pts W% 40% (298/745) 37% (959/2622)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 67% (2/1)
Masters W/L 67% (4/2) 69% (11/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 60% (3/2) 85% (11/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 64% (7/11) 76% (22/29)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 67% (2/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 68% (13/19)
Deciding Set W% 67% (2/3) 67% (6/9)
1st set W, W 86% (7/6) 95% (20/19)
1st set W, L 14% (7/1) 5% (20/1)
1st set L, W 25% (4/1) 42% (12/5)

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Rafael Nadal
54% ( 30 of 56)
1st Serve %
72% ( 38 of 53)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83% ( 25 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
43
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Zizou Bergs
62% ( 58 of 93)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 78)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
63% ( 22 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
34% ( 32 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 27 of 78)
88
Total Points Won
83
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 46 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89% ( 41 of 46)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 17 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
76
Total Points Won
61
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78% ( 59 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 74 of 122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 39 of 74)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
50% ( 9 of 18)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 65 of 122)
109
Total Points Won
89
W
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62% ( 24 of 39)
1st Serve %
69% ( 27 of 39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
76% ( 35 of 46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
58
Total Points Won
34
W
6-1 6-2 H2H

Grigor Dimitrov Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
63% ( 66 of 104)
1st Serve %
48% ( 46 of 96)
13
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
11
76% ( 50 of 66)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
66% ( 25 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 25 of 50)
25% ( 4 of 16)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 11)
28% ( 29 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 38 of 96)
113
Total Points Won
87
L
6-2 6-7(11) 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Terence Atmane
58% ( 38 of 66)
1st Serve %
56% ( 40 of 71)
5
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
5
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
29% ( 19 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 71)
75
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(3) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Yoshihito Nishioka
47% ( 25 of 53)
1st Serve %
54% ( 36 of 67)
11
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
92% ( 23 of 25)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 25 of 36)
75% ( 21 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
17% ( 9 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 24 of 67)
68
Total Points Won
52
W
7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Jakub Mensik
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
59% ( 74 of 126)
1st Serve %
68% ( 59 of 87)
16
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
5
69% ( 51 of 74)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 44 of 59)
54% ( 28 of 52)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
37% ( 47 of 126)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 31 of 87)
110
Total Points Won
103
L
6-2 6-7(4) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Miomir Kecmanovic
61% ( 33 of 54)
1st Serve %
71% ( 44 of 62)
4
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
1
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 17 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 27 of 62)
64
Total Points Won
52
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
70% ( 94 of 135)
1st Serve %
63% ( 74 of 117)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
4
64% ( 60 of 94)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 54 of 74)
54% ( 22 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 20 of 43)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
39% ( 53 of 135)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 43 of 117)
125
Total Points Won
127
L
7-6(9) 3-6 7-6(2) H2H
R1
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Valentin Vacherot
49% ( 27 of 55)
1st Serve %
68% ( 40 of 59)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
4
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 24 of 40)
68% ( 19 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 10 of 19)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
29% ( 16 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 25 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
50
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
56% ( 24 of 43)
1st Serve %
64% ( 32 of 50)
4
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
88% ( 21 of 24)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 19 of 32)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 22 of 50)
55
Total Points Won
38
L
6-3 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Alexander Zverev
68% ( 65 of 96)
1st Serve %
75% ( 69 of 92)
18
Aces
14
2
Double Faults
1
78% ( 51 of 65)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 54 of 69)
65% ( 20 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 25 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 28 of 92)
99
Total Points Won
89
W
6-4 6-7(4) 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve %
58% ( 34 of 59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
51
W
6-2 6-4 H2H

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