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Prediction of Rafael Nadal [173rd] vs Daniil Medvedev [9th] Head-to-Head At The

By Wojtek Kolan

Head To Head: Nadal 5 - 1 Medvedev

They have played 20 sets in total, with Nadal winning 13 and Medvedev winning 7. The last match between Nadal and Medvedev was at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco, 25-02-2022, Semifinals, Hard with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 6-3 6-3.

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Rafael Nadal 5
Daniil Medvedev 1
Nadal vs Medvedev H2H Profile
Nadal Stats Medvedev
0% (0-0) YTD Win/Loss 64% (14-8)
5 Head-to-Head 1
173 Ranking 9
1 Highest Rank 1
38 Age 29
L Plays R
94 Titles 25
82% (1124-244) Career Total W/L 71% (551-228)
$96,585,210 Career Prize Money $31,831,320
4 Hard H2H 0
1 Indoor H2H 1

Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)

Nadal VS Medvedev H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Daniil Medvedev
71% ( 57 of 80)
1st Serve %
63% ( 40 of 64)
2
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
7
65% ( 37 of 57)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 6 of 24)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 11)
35% ( 28 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 29 of 64)
81
Total Points Won
63
2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Daniil Medvedev
62% ( 117 of 189)
1st Serve %
69% ( 126 of 182)
3
Aces
23
5
Double Faults
5
67% ( 78 of 117)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 89 of 126)
47% ( 34 of 72)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 23 of 56)
32% ( 7 of 22)
Break Points Won
27% ( 6 of 22)
41% ( 77 of 189)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 70 of 182)
182
Total Points Won
189
3-6 7-6(4) 6-3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Rafael Nadal
70% ( 57 of 82)
1st Serve %
56% ( 66 of 117)
13
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
77% ( 44 of 57)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 49 of 66)
48% ( 12 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 19 of 51)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
32% ( 26 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 49 of 117)
105
Total Points Won
94
6-7(3) 6-3 7-6(4)
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Daniil Medvedev
64% ( 69 of 107)
1st Serve %
60% ( 64 of 106)
4
Aces
21
2
Double Faults
2
72% ( 50 of 69)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 48 of 64)
58% ( 22 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 22 of 42)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 35 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 36 of 106)
108
Total Points Won
105
7-5 6-3 5-7 4-6 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Daniil Medvedev
58% ( 93 of 159)
1st Serve %
64% ( 117 of 182)
5
Aces
14
5
Double Faults
4
77% ( 72 of 93)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 76 of 117)
52% ( 34 of 66)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 35 of 65)
29% ( 6 of 21)
Break Points Won
33% ( 5 of 15)
33% ( 53 of 159)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 71 of 182)
177
Total Points Won
164
6-3 6-0
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Daniil Medvedev
72% ( 33 of 46)
1st Serve %
63% ( 31 of 49)
0
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
5
82% ( 27 of 33)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
62% ( 8 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 11 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 24 of 49)
59
Total Points Won
36

Nadal VS Medvedev H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Nadal Vs Medvedev H2H Stats
Rafael Nadal Nadal Stats Daniil Medvedev Medvedev
5 H2H Matches 1
13 Sets Won 7
113 Games Won 92
17 Aces (Total) 86
17 Total Double Faults 26
3:7:52 Average Match Time 3:7:52
62% (435/698) 1st Serve % 65% (435/665)
72% (313/435) 1st Serve Win % 70% (305/435)
50% (132/263) 2nd Serve Win % 45% (104/230)
39% (27/70) Break Points Won % (Total) 26% (17/66)
38% (256/665) Return Points Win % 36% (253/698)
75% (3/4) Best of 3 Sets Win % 25% (1/4)
100% (2/2) Best of 5 Sets Win % 0% (0/2)
25% (1/4) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 75% (3/4)
75% (3/4) Deciding Set Win % 25% (1/4)
75% (4/3) 1st Set Won, Won Match 0% (2/0)
25% (4/1) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 100% (2/2)
100% (2/2) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 25% (4/1)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Nadal 5 - 1 Medvedev

Editorial Prediction:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 43.33% of points on their second serve, while Medvedev has won 42.96%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 61.9% of their opponent's second serve points, while Medvedev has won 46.72%. The same stats for first serve returns are 22.22% and 26.09% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 50% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Medvedev has saved 55.41% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 60% of matches played (W/L 9/ 6), with Medvedev winning 63.08% (W/L 41/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 511/ 59), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 39). Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 75% (W/L 256/ 84), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 90/ 49).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 4/ 2), where as Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 60.87% of matches (W/L 14/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Nadal winning 5 times and Medvedev being victorious 1 times. They have played 20 sets in total, with Nadal winning 13 and Medvedev winning 7. The last match between Nadal and Medvedev was at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco, 25-02-2022, Semifinals, Hard with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 6-3 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 3:7:52.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Medvedev have played a deciding set 4 times, with Nadal winning 3 times and Medvedev 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 1, and Medvedev 3.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 132.27 while Medvedev has played against players with an average rank of 50.57.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 100% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Medvedev has won 58% in all matches played on tour.
  • Current event H2H stats: Past player performance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below (if they have played a match in the current event). Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 33.33% of breakpoint opportunities, and Medvedev has converted 33.11% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
  • Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

    OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
    Rubber 1
    cross
    Botic Van De Zandschulp
    Player
    Rafael Nadal
    71% ( 45 of 63)
    1st Serve %
    58% ( 42 of 72)
    8
    Aces
    2
    9
    Double Faults
    3
    78% ( 35 of 45)
    1st Serve Won
    67% ( 28 of 42)
    38% ( 8 of 21)
    2nd Serve Won
    43% ( 13 of 30)
    50% ( 3 of 6)
    Break Points Won
    33% ( 1 of 3)
    35% ( 23 of 66)
    Rtn Points Won
    43% ( 31 of 72)
    74
    Total Points Won
    64
    L
    6-4 6-4 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Novak Djokovic
    Player
    Rafael Nadal
    62% ( 29 of 47)
    1st Serve %
    72% ( 42 of 58)
    5
    Aces
    1
    1
    Double Faults
    2
    79% ( 23 of 29)
    1st Serve Won
    55% ( 23 of 42)
    56% ( 10 of 18)
    2nd Serve Won
    36% ( 5 of 14)
    42% ( 5 of 12)
    Break Points Won
    67% ( 2 of 3)
    30% ( 14 of 47)
    Rtn Points Won
    50% ( 28 of 56)
    63
    Total Points Won
    43
    L
    6-1 6-4 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Rafael Nadal
    Player
    Marton Fucsovics
    73% ( 67 of 92)
    1st Serve %
    64% ( 53 of 83)
    1
    Aces
    1
    3
    Double Faults
    1
    70% ( 47 of 67)
    1st Serve Won
    62% ( 33 of 53)
    58% ( 15 of 26)
    2nd Serve Won
    47% ( 14 of 30)
    50% ( 4 of 8)
    Break Points Won
    20% ( 2 of 10)
    33% ( 31 of 93)
    Rtn Points Won
    43% ( 36 of 83)
    97
    Total Points Won
    78
    W
    6-1 4-6 6-4 H2H
    F
    cross
    Nuno Borges
    Player
    Rafael Nadal
    62% ( 33 of 53)
    1st Serve %
    68% ( 38 of 56)
    2
    Aces
    0
    1
    Double Faults
    3
    67% ( 22 of 33)
    1st Serve Won
    53% ( 20 of 38)
    60% ( 12 of 20)
    2nd Serve Won
    28% ( 5 of 18)
    42% ( 5 of 12)
    Break Points Won
    40% ( 2 of 5)
    36% ( 19 of 53)
    Rtn Points Won
    55% ( 31 of 56)
    65
    Total Points Won
    44
    L
    6-3 6-2 H2H
    SF
    cross
    Rafael Nadal
    Player
    Duje Ajdukovic
    80% ( 63 of 79)
    1st Serve %
    49% ( 39 of 80)
    0
    Aces
    4
    0
    Double Faults
    5
    62% ( 39 of 63)
    1st Serve Won
    64% ( 25 of 39)
    63% ( 10 of 16)
    2nd Serve Won
    44% ( 18 of 41)
    100% ( 6 of 6)
    Break Points Won
    50% ( 5 of 10)
    38% ( 30 of 79)
    Rtn Points Won
    46% ( 37 of 80)
    86
    Total Points Won
    73
    W
    4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
    QF
    cross
    Rafael Nadal
    Player
    Mariano Navone
    64% ( 78 of 121)
    1st Serve %
    64% ( 90 of 141)
    1
    Aces
    0
    4
    Double Faults
    3
    62% ( 48 of 78)
    1st Serve Won
    51% ( 46 of 90)
    40% ( 17 of 43)
    2nd Serve Won
    47% ( 24 of 51)
    48% ( 10 of 21)
    Break Points Won
    53% ( 8 of 15)
    46% ( 56 of 121)
    Rtn Points Won
    50% ( 71 of 141)
    136
    Total Points Won
    126
    W
    6-7(2) 7-5 7-5 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Rafael Nadal
    Player
    Cameron Norrie
    72% ( 43 of 60)
    1st Serve %
    72% ( 44 of 61)
    5
    Aces
    1
    0
    Double Faults
    0
    74% ( 32 of 43)
    1st Serve Won
    64% ( 28 of 44)
    65% ( 11 of 17)
    2nd Serve Won
    47% ( 8 of 17)
    43% ( 3 of 7)
    Break Points Won
    25% ( 1 of 4)
    28% ( 17 of 60)
    Rtn Points Won
    41% ( 25 of 61)
    68
    Total Points Won
    53
    W
    6-4 6-4 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Rafael Nadal
    Player
    Leo Borg
    74% ( 39 of 53)
    1st Serve %
    61% ( 34 of 56)
    5
    Aces
    2
    0
    Double Faults
    2
    82% ( 32 of 39)
    1st Serve Won
    74% ( 25 of 34)
    64% ( 9 of 14)
    2nd Serve Won
    50% ( 11 of 22)
    50% ( 2 of 4)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 0)
    23% ( 12 of 53)
    Rtn Points Won
    36% ( 20 of 56)
    61
    Total Points Won
    48
    W
    6-3 6-4 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Alexander Zverev
    Player
    Rafael Nadal
    77% ( 72 of 93)
    1st Serve %
    70% ( 78 of 111)
    8
    Aces
    2
    3
    Double Faults
    3
    72% ( 52 of 72)
    1st Serve Won
    58% ( 45 of 78)
    48% ( 10 of 21)
    2nd Serve Won
    48% ( 16 of 33)
    33% ( 6 of 18)
    Break Points Won
    18% ( 2 of 11)
    33% ( 31 of 93)
    Rtn Points Won
    45% ( 50 of 111)
    112
    Total Points Won
    92
    L
    6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Player
    Rafael Nadal
    54% ( 30 of 56)
    1st Serve %
    72% ( 38 of 53)
    9
    Aces
    1
    1
    Double Faults
    1
    83% ( 25 of 30)
    1st Serve Won
    53% ( 20 of 38)
    62% ( 16 of 26)
    2nd Serve Won
    53% ( 8 of 15)
    57% ( 4 of 7)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 7)
    27% ( 15 of 56)
    Rtn Points Won
    47% ( 25 of 53)
    66
    Total Points Won
    43
    L
    6-1 6-3 H2H

    Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played

    OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
    R3
    cross
    Alex De Minaur
    Player
    Daniil Medvedev
    52% ( 24 of 46)
    1st Serve %
    56% ( 29 of 52)
    3
    Aces
    3
    3
    Double Faults
    3
    58% ( 14 of 24)
    1st Serve Won
    45% ( 13 of 29)
    55% ( 12 of 22)
    2nd Serve Won
    26% ( 6 of 23)
    58% ( 7 of 12)
    Break Points Won
    75% ( 3 of 4)
    43% ( 20 of 46)
    Rtn Points Won
    63% ( 33 of 52)
    59
    Total Points Won
    39
    L
    6-2 6-2 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Alexandre Muller
    56% ( 58 of 103)
    1st Serve %
    57% ( 69 of 122)
    7
    Aces
    1
    8
    Double Faults
    4
    72% ( 42 of 58)
    1st Serve Won
    61% ( 42 of 69)
    42% ( 19 of 45)
    2nd Serve Won
    49% ( 26 of 53)
    50% ( 5 of 10)
    Break Points Won
    67% ( 4 of 6)
    41% ( 42 of 103)
    Rtn Points Won
    44% ( 54 of 122)
    115
    Total Points Won
    110
    W
    7-6(6) 5-7 6-2 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Karen Khachanov
    50% ( 48 of 96)
    1st Serve %
    71% ( 85 of 119)
    4
    Aces
    1
    5
    Double Faults
    2
    73% ( 35 of 48)
    1st Serve Won
    52% ( 44 of 85)
    33% ( 16 of 48)
    2nd Serve Won
    38% ( 13 of 34)
    45% ( 9 of 20)
    Break Points Won
    50% ( 8 of 16)
    47% ( 45 of 96)
    Rtn Points Won
    52% ( 62 of 119)
    113
    Total Points Won
    102
    W
    7-5 4-6 6-4 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
    Player
    Daniil Medvedev
    58% ( 31 of 53)
    1st Serve %
    58% ( 31 of 53)
    0
    Aces
    1
    0
    Double Faults
    4
    77% ( 24 of 31)
    1st Serve Won
    61% ( 19 of 31)
    68% ( 15 of 22)
    2nd Serve Won
    45% ( 10 of 22)
    27% ( 3 of 11)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 2)
    26% ( 14 of 53)
    Rtn Points Won
    45% ( 24 of 53)
    63
    Total Points Won
    43
    L
    6-2 6-3 H2H
    SF
    cross
    Holger Rune
    Player
    Daniil Medvedev
    67% ( 47 of 70)
    1st Serve %
    50% ( 30 of 60)
    1
    Aces
    2
    2
    Double Faults
    0
    72% ( 34 of 47)
    1st Serve Won
    67% ( 20 of 30)
    61% ( 14 of 23)
    2nd Serve Won
    53% ( 16 of 30)
    75% ( 3 of 4)
    Break Points Won
    50% ( 1 of 2)
    31% ( 22 of 70)
    Rtn Points Won
    40% ( 24 of 60)
    72
    Total Points Won
    58
    L
    7-5 6-4 H2H
    QF
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Arthur Fils
    61% ( 54 of 88)
    1st Serve %
    58% ( 61 of 106)
    5
    Aces
    2
    3
    Double Faults
    7
    63% ( 34 of 54)
    1st Serve Won
    74% ( 45 of 61)
    74% ( 25 of 34)
    2nd Serve Won
    47% ( 21 of 45)
    27% ( 3 of 11)
    Break Points Won
    50% ( 4 of 8)
    33% ( 29 of 88)
    Rtn Points Won
    38% ( 40 of 106)
    99
    Total Points Won
    95
    W
    6-4 2-6 7-6(7) H2H
    R4
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Tommy Paul
    61% ( 31 of 51)
    1st Serve %
    67% ( 37 of 55)
    8
    Aces
    4
    4
    Double Faults
    4
    71% ( 22 of 31)
    1st Serve Won
    51% ( 19 of 37)
    45% ( 9 of 20)
    2nd Serve Won
    28% ( 5 of 18)
    75% ( 6 of 8)
    Break Points Won
    40% ( 2 of 5)
    39% ( 20 of 51)
    Rtn Points Won
    56% ( 31 of 55)
    62
    Total Points Won
    44
    W
    6-4 6-0 H2H
    R3
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Alex Michelsen
    80% ( 4 of 5)
    1st Serve %
    43% ( 3 of 7)
    1
    Aces
    0
    0
    Double Faults
    1
    75% ( 3 of 4)
    1st Serve Won
    33% ( 1 of 3)
    100% ( 1 of 1)
    2nd Serve Won
    25% ( 1 of 4)
    100% ( 1 of 1)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 0)
    20% ( 1 of 5)
    Rtn Points Won
    71% ( 5 of 7)
    9
    Total Points Won
    3
    W
    2-0 ret. H2H
    R2
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Bu Yunchaokete
    40% ( 21 of 52)
    1st Serve %
    47% ( 29 of 62)
    3
    Aces
    0
    1
    Double Faults
    1
    90% ( 19 of 21)
    1st Serve Won
    62% ( 18 of 29)
    45% ( 14 of 31)
    2nd Serve Won
    36% ( 12 of 33)
    36% ( 5 of 14)
    Break Points Won
    50% ( 1 of 2)
    37% ( 19 of 52)
    Rtn Points Won
    52% ( 32 of 62)
    65
    Total Points Won
    49
    W
    6-2 6-2 H2H
    QF
    cross
    Tallon Griekspoor
    Player
    Daniil Medvedev
    72% ( 81 of 112)
    1st Serve %
    72% ( 78 of 109)
    5
    Aces
    15
    1
    Double Faults
    4
    68% ( 55 of 81)
    1st Serve Won
    71% ( 55 of 78)
    52% ( 16 of 31)
    2nd Serve Won
    61% ( 19 of 31)
    29% ( 2 of 7)
    Break Points Won
    21% ( 3 of 14)
    37% ( 41 of 112)
    Rtn Points Won
    32% ( 35 of 109)
    106
    Total Points Won
    115
    L
    2-6 7-6(7) 7-5 H2H
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    Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

    Nadal & Medvedev Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
    Rafael Nadal Nadal Stats Daniil Medvedev Medvedev
    82% (1124/244) Win/Loss 71% (551/228)
    77% (2696/825) Sets Win/Loss 66% (1290/659)
    59% (19730/13449) Games Win/Loss 56% (10357/8252)
    0.24 Aces Per Game 0.57
    3839 Aces Total 5166
    0.12 Double Faults Per Game 0.27
    2000 Total Double Faults 2461
    1:7:13 Average Match Time 1:33:26
    412.9 Average Opponent Rank 322.28
    68% (58555/86368) 1st Serve % 61% (31609/51932)
    72% (42361/58544) 1st Serve Win % 75% (23654/31609)
    57% (15931/27857) 2nd Serve Win % 51% (10361/20316)
    45% (4679/10428) Break Points Won % (Total) 43% (2322/5367)
    42% (38917/92075) Return Points Win % 40% (21457/53665)
    80% (775/968) Best of 3 Sets Win % 71% (458/647)
    88% (338/384) Best of 5 Sets Win % 72% (88/123)
    61% (276/452) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 57% (159/278)
    68% (199/291) Deciding Set Win % 63% (137/219)
    94% (1049/990) 1st Set Won, Won Match 91% (503/458)
    5% (1049/57) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 9% (503/44)
    41% (319/132) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 33% (275/92)

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