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Peyton Stearns vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

By Wojtek Kolan

Head To Head: Stearns 2 - 0 Keys

They have played 6 sets in total, with Stearns winning 4 and Keys winning 2. The last match between Stearns and Keys was at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome, 10-05-2025, Round: Third, Surface: Clay, with Peyton Stearns getting the victory 2-6 6-2 7-6(3).

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Peyton Stearns 2
Madison Keys 0

LAST H2H MATCH: Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome(10-05-2025)

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2 6
6 2
7 6
Stearns vs Keys H2H Profile
Stearns Stats Keys
55% (16-13) YTD Win/Loss 77% (30-9)
2 Head-to-Head 0
35 Ranking 6
28 Highest Rank 5
23 Age 30
- Plays R
6 Titles 14
59% (174-119) Career Total W/L 64% (414-228)
$1,522,399 Career Prize Money $20,503,470
0 YTD Titles 2
1 Hard H2H 0
1 Clay H2H 0

Upcoming Match

Today’s Tennis Tips:

Bublik VS Comesana PREDICTION Grass

Rothesay International - Eastbourne atp

22 Jun 2025 / First

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Francisco Comesana

To Win

23.06 %
5.39%

Trungelliti VS Kachmazov PREDICTION Grass

Wimbledon - London atp

23 Jun 2025 / Q1 round

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Marco Trungelliti

To Win

57.92 %
6.64%

Stearns VS Keys H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
2-6 6-2 7-6(3)
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Madison Keys
56% ( 57 of 102)
1st Serve %
66% ( 67 of 102)
2
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
6
63% ( 36 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
49% ( 22 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
43% ( 44 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 47 of 102)
105
Total Points Won
99
3-6 7-5 3-0 ret.
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Madison Keys
66% ( 50 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 54 of 89)
4
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
5
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 35 of 54)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
34% ( 26 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 40 of 89)
90
Total Points Won
75

Stearns VS Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stearns Vs Keys H2H Stats
Peyton Stearns Stearns Stats Madison Keys Keys
2 H2H Matches 0
4 Sets Won 2
28 Games Won 25
6 Aces (Total) 16
8 Total Double Faults 11
2:3:43 Average Match Time 2:3:43
60% (107/178) 1st Serve % 63% (121/191)
68% (73/107) 1st Serve Win % 64% (77/121)
49% (35/71) 2nd Serve Win % 39% (27/70)
32% (9/28) Break Points Won % (Total) 31% (8/26)
46% (87/191) Return Points Win % 39% (70/178)
100% (1/1) Best of 3 Sets Win % 0% (0/1)
100% (1/1) Best of 5 Sets Win % 0% (0/1)
100% (1/1) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 0% (0/1)
100% (1/1) Deciding Set Win % 0% (0/1)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Won, Won Match 0% (2/0)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 100% (2/2)
100% (2/2) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (0/0)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Stearns vs Keys Match Preview :

  • How effective is each player's second serve in recent form? Stearns has a second serve win rate of 39.04%, while Keys has a slightly higher rate at 42.89%.
  • In return games, Stearns excels by winning 52.61% of her opponent's second serve points compared to Keys' 48.45%. On first serve returns, both are nearly identical, with Stearns at 31.35% and Keys at 31.44%.
  • Both players have similar ability to handle pressure, with Stearns saving 50.97% of breakpoints and Keys a slightly better 51.62%.
  • Considering the last year's performance, Stearns has a match win rate of 58.93%, while Keys leads with 75.93%.
  • Stearns' favored surface is indoor hard, winning 68% of matches, whereas Keys excels on grass with a 72% win rate.
  • In terms of competition level, Stearns has played primarily on the Main tour with a 56.52% win rate, while Keys has competed mostly in the Masters series, achieving a 66.67% success rate.
  • In their only head-to-head matchup, Stearns holds the victory. The match duration averaged 1:44:21, but without any deciding sets or tiebreaks.
  • Stearns usually faces lower-ranked players, with an average opponent rank of 107.82, while Keys' average opponent ranks at 40.5.
  • Who performs better in deciding sets? In the past year, Stearns has a 65% win rate, whereas Keys has a better 79% success rate.
  • Both players show similar proficiency in converting breakpoints, with Stearns at 36.31% and Keys slightly higher at 37.08%.

Editorial Prediction (May 8, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent performance patterns, Keys has a slight edge on second serve performance, which could prove crucial in a tight match. Her consistency under pressure is also noteworthy, though only marginally better than Stearns.

When comparing their competitive environments, Keys' experience against higher-ranked opponents could provide an invaluable edge in adapting to different styles of play.

Despite Stearns' previous head-to-head win, the overall statistics suggest Keys has been more consistent, especially in tournament settings. Given these insights, Maddison Keys is the likely favorite to win the upcoming match.

Stearns vs Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88

Peyton Stearns Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Eva Lys
Player
Peyton Stearns
75% ( 51 of 68)
1st Serve %
51% ( 23 of 45)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
63% ( 32 of 51)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
23% ( 5 of 22)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
40% ( 27 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
67
Total Points Won
46
L
6-0 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Peyton Stearns
84% ( 58 of 69)
1st Serve %
55% ( 39 of 71)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
60% ( 35 of 58)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
45% ( 5 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 11 of 32)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
42% ( 29 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 37 of 71)
77
Total Points Won
63
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Elina Svitolina
67% ( 70 of 104)
1st Serve %
52% ( 53 of 101)
0
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
4
60% ( 42 of 70)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 28 of 53)
38% ( 13 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 23 of 48)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
47% ( 49 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 50 of 101)
105
Total Points Won
100
W
6-2 4-6 7-6(4) H2H
R4
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Naomi Osaka
60% ( 63 of 105)
1st Serve %
65% ( 56 of 86)
6
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
0
75% ( 47 of 63)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 43 of 56)
45% ( 19 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
37% ( 39 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 26 of 86)
92
Total Points Won
99
W
6-4 3-6 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Madison Keys
56% ( 57 of 102)
1st Serve %
66% ( 67 of 102)
2
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
6
63% ( 36 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
49% ( 22 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
43% ( 44 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 47 of 102)
105
Total Points Won
99
W
2-6 6-2 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Anna Kalinskaya
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
60% ( 29 of 48)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 24 of 48)
61
Total Points Won
43
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Nuria Brancaccio
61% ( 35 of 57)
1st Serve %
63% ( 31 of 49)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
86% ( 30 of 35)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
41% ( 9 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
32% ( 18 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 24 of 49)
63
Total Points Won
43
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Peyton Stearns
56% ( 36 of 64)
1st Serve %
74% ( 39 of 53)
3
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 22 of 39)
43% ( 12 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
8% ( 1 of 13)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 26 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
51
L
6-2 6-4 H2H

Madison Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Marketa Vondrousova
Player
Madison Keys
53% ( 43 of 81)
1st Serve %
70% ( 61 of 87)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
70% ( 30 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 44 of 61)
63% ( 24 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 9 of 26)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
33% ( 27 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 34 of 87)
88
Total Points Won
80
L
7-5 7-6(6) H2H
SF
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Madison Keys
64% ( 47 of 74)
1st Serve %
77% ( 54 of 70)
5
Aces
10
0
Double Faults
2
89% ( 42 of 47)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 39 of 54)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 20 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 23 of 70)
77
Total Points Won
67
L
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
QF
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Diana Shnaider
63% ( 65 of 104)
1st Serve %
67% ( 56 of 83)
4
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
1
68% ( 44 of 65)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 37 of 56)
51% ( 20 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 16 of 27)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
38% ( 40 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 30 of 83)
94
Total Points Won
93
W
2-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Anastasia Zakharova
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve %
61% ( 40 of 66)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
63% ( 5 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
27% ( 11 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 36 of 66)
66
Total Points Won
41
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Madison Keys
58% ( 52 of 90)
1st Serve %
67% ( 73 of 109)
1
Aces
0
10
Double Faults
4
75% ( 39 of 52)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 40 of 73)
34% ( 13 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 12 of 36)
53% ( 9 of 17)
Break Points Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
42% ( 38 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 57 of 109)
109
Total Points Won
90
L
6-7(6) 6-4 6-1 H2H
R4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Hailey Baptiste
67% ( 45 of 67)
1st Serve %
56% ( 40 of 72)
7
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 34 of 45)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 24 of 40)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
31% ( 21 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 32 of 72)
78
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Sofia Kenin
58% ( 58 of 100)
1st Serve %
58% ( 62 of 106)
8
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
6
76% ( 44 of 58)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 42 of 62)
60% ( 25 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 20 of 44)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
31% ( 31 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 106)
113
Total Points Won
93
W
4-6 6-3 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Katie Boulter
63% ( 29 of 46)
1st Serve %
62% ( 47 of 76)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
9
79% ( 23 of 29)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 25 of 47)
59% ( 10 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 11 of 29)
29% ( 5 of 17)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 13 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 40 of 76)
73
Total Points Won
49
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stearns & Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Peyton Stearns Stearns Stats Madison Keys Keys
59% (174/119) Win/Loss 64% (414/228)
58% (395/286) Sets Win/Loss 62% (918/551)
54% (3434/2907) Games Win/Loss 55% (7537/6228)
57% (100/74) Hard Win/Loss 64% (247/138)
63% (57/34) Clay Win/Loss 64% (98/54)
68% (15/7) Indoor Hard W/L 53% (17/15)
33% (2/4) Grass Win/Loss 71% (52/21)
0.15 Aces Per Game 0.42
473 Aces Total 2841
0.33 Double Faults Per Game 0.2
1011 Total Double Faults 1337
1:32:50 Average Match Time 1:18:47
323.74 Average Opponent Rank 342.91
66% (12397/18807) 1st Serve % 63% (24854/39426)
62% (7698/12397) 1st Serve Win % 69% (17060/24854)
46% (2944/6409) 2nd Serve Win % 48% (7023/14555)
49% (1126/2302) Break Points Won % (Total) 44% (2072/4715)
46% (8421/18247) Return Points Win % 43% (17647/40584)
45% (9/11) Slam W/L 71% (122/49)
55% (28/23) Masters W/L 56% (111/88)
0% (0/0) Cups W/L 44% (4/5)
51% (24/23) Main Tour W/L 66% (126/64)
64% (100/56) Challenger W/L 65% (37/20)
68% (13/6) Futures W/L 88% (14/2)
59% (172/290) Best of 3 Sets Win % 65% (410/630)
50% (1/2) Best of 5 Sets Win % 25% (1/4)
45% (36/80) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 58% (99/172)
50% (47/94) Deciding Set Win % 53% (100/190)
86% (176/151) 1st Set Won, Won Match 87% (420/366)
14% (176/25) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 13% (420/53)
20% (117/23) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 21% (222/47)

Stearns vs. Keys Prediction Form Trend:

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