Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Sebastian Korda Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Carreno-Busta vs Korda analysis and find out who is favored!
Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Sebastian Korda Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Carreno-Busta 3 - 0 Korda
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Carreno-Busta has won 47.95% of points on their second serve, while Korda has won 53.9%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Carreno-Busta, in recent form, has won 48.44% of their opponent's second serve points, while Korda has won 50.23%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.77% and 28.56% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Carreno-Busta has saved 57.89% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Korda has saved 62.19% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Carreno-Busta has won 47.37% of matches played (W/L 9/ 10), with Korda winning 62.5% (W/L 40/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 340/ 171), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/ 14). Korda has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 64% (W/L 16/ 9), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 80/ 57).
- Player level: In the last year, Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 33.33% of matches (W/L 2/ 4), where as Korda has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 22/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Carreno-Busta winning 3 times and Korda being victorious 0 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Carreno-Busta winning 7 and Korda winning 2. The last match between Carreno-Busta and Korda was at the Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati, 14-08-2024, First, Hard with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 7-5 6-1.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:7:47.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Carreno-Busta and Korda have played a deciding set 1 times, with Carreno-Busta winning 1 times and Korda 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Carreno-Busta winning 0, and Korda 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Carreno-Busta has played against opponents with an average rank of 109.95 while Korda has played against players with an average rank of 71.7.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Carreno-Busta has won 60% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Korda has won 65% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Carreno-Busta has converted 46.49% of breakpoint opportunities, and Korda has converted 38.4% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
30
Total
1
Mast
11
Chall
0
Slam
6
Main
12
Minor
213
Rank
10
High
33
Age
R
Plays
3
Total0
2
Hard0
0
Clay0
0
Indoor0
1
Grass0
16
Rank
15
High
24
Age
R
Plays
4
Total
0
Mast
2
Chall
0
Slam
2
Main
0
Minor
Form
64% (568-323)
Career Total W/L
60% (238-156)
50% (8-8)
YTD W/L
62% (31-19)
$10,122,680
Career Prize Money
$4,796,860
0
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
The Best Odds For Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Sebastian Korda For Any Market:
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Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Carreno-Busta VS Korda
Carreno-Busta VS Korda H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
stats | Pablo Carreno-Busta | Sebastian Korda |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 3 | 0 |
Sets Won | 7 | 2 |
Games Won | 50 | 38 |
Aces (Total) | 19 | 29 |
DFs Total | 12 | 13 |
Avg Match Time | 2:7:47 | 2:7:47 |
1st Serve % | 62% (176/283) | 60% (160/265) |
1st Serve Win% | 73% (129/176) | 73% (116/160) |
2nd Serve Win% | 59% (63/107) | 45% (47/105) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 48% (12/25) | 27% (6/22) |
Return Points W% | 38% (102/265) | 32% (91/283) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/2) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
1st set W, W | 100% (3/3) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set W, L | 0% (3/0) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set L, W | 0% (0/0) | 0% (3/0) |
Carreno-Busta VS Korda H2h Matches played
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-5 6-1 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Sebastian Korda
67%
(
44 of
66)
1st Serve %
61%
(
27 of
44)
7
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
77%
(
34 of
44)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
20 of
27)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
7 of
17)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
29%
(
19 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
17 of
44)
64
Total Points Won
46
|
||||
6-4 0-6 6-3 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Sebastian Korda
56%
(
38 of
68)
1st Serve %
56%
(
40 of
72)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
5
71%
(
27 of
38)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
30 of
40)
60%
(
18 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
14 of
32)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
34%
(
23 of
68)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
28 of
72)
73
Total Points Won
67
|
||||
6-4 7-5 6-7(6) 6-3 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Sebastian Korda
63%
(
94 of
149)
1st Serve %
62%
(
93 of
149)
10
Aces
21
6
Double Faults
8
72%
(
68 of
94)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
66 of
93)
58%
(
32 of
55)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
26 of
56)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
15%
(
2 of
13)
33%
(
49 of
149)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
57 of
149)
157
Total Points Won
141
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Pablo Carreno-Busta | Sebastian Korda |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 50% (8/8) | 62% (31/19) |
Sets Win/Loss | 49% (19/20) | 57% (71/54) |
Games Win/Loss | 51% (195/189) | 52% (640/591) |
Hard Win/Loss | 64% (7/4) | 65% (17/9) |
Clay Win/Loss | 25% (1/3) | 50% (5/5) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 50% (2/2) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/1) | 70% (7/3) |
Aces pg | 0.29 | 0.65 |
Aces Total | 55 | 391 |
DFs per game | 0.26 | 0.14 |
DFs Total | 50 | 87 |
Avg Match Time | 1:52:5 | 1:43:49 |
Avg Opp Rank | 115.88 | 80.72 |
1st Serve % | 63% (793/1256) | 60% (2243/3727) |
1st Serve W% | 68% (543/793) | 74% (1669/2243) |
2nd Serve W% | 48% (222/463) | 52% (775/1484) |
BPs Won% Total | 46% (53/114) | 38% (134/350) |
Return Pts W% | 39% (466/1197) | 37% (1467/3943) |
Slam W/L | 0% (0/2) | 56% (5/4) |
Masters W/L | 60% (3/2) | 53% (8/7) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 67% (4/2) | 68% (17/8) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 33% (1/2) | 0% (0/0) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 57% (8/14) | 62% (24/39) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/2) | 60% (6/10) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 30% (3/10) | 48% (12/25) |
Deciding Set W% | 50% (2/4) | 69% (9/13) |
1st set W, W | 88% (8/7) | 96% (28/27) |
1st set W, L | 13% (8/1) | 4% (28/1) |
1st set L, W | 13% (8/1) | 18% (22/4) |
Pablo Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played
OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R1 |
Arthur Cazaux
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
47%
(
35 of
74)
1st Serve %
58%
(
42 of
73)
11
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
83%
(
29 of
35)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
25 of
42)
54%
(
21 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
9 of
31)
78%
(
7 of
9)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
32%
(
24 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
39 of
73)
89
Total Points Won
58
|
6-1 6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
SF |
Alex Michelsen
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
63%
(
38 of
60)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
5
71%
(
22 of
31)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
24 of
38)
40%
(
6 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
100%
(
2 of
2)
39%
(
18 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
27 of
60)
55
Total Points Won
51
|
7-6(5) 2-1 ret. | H2H | ||
QF |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Learner Tien
70%
(
47 of
67)
1st Serve %
72%
(
39 of
54)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
0
64%
(
30 of
47)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
21 of
39)
65%
(
13 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
36%
(
24 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
25 of
54)
68
Total Points Won
53
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Aleksandar Vukic
70%
(
56 of
80)
1st Serve %
45%
(
39 of
87)
3
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
75%
(
42 of
56)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
29 of
39)
54%
(
13 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
19 of
48)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
31%
(
25 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
39 of
87)
94
Total Points Won
73
|
6-3 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Alexander Shevchenko
43%
(
23 of
53)
1st Serve %
48%
(
24 of
50)
2
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
87%
(
20 of
23)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
15 of
24)
50%
(
15 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
8 of
26)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
34%
(
18 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
27 of
50)
62
Total Points Won
41
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Omni Kumar
55%
(
26 of
47)
1st Serve %
60%
(
24 of
40)
6
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
4
77%
(
20 of
26)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
13 of
24)
57%
(
12 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
4 of
16)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
32%
(
15 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
23 of
40)
55
Total Points Won
32
|
6-2 6-0 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Alexander Zverev
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
56%
(
42 of
75)
1st Serve %
61%
(
50 of
82)
8
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
7
71%
(
30 of
42)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
36 of
50)
67%
(
22 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
13 of
32)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
31%
(
23 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
33 of
82)
85
Total Points Won
72
|
7-5 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Max Purcell
63%
(
27 of
43)
1st Serve %
47%
(
21 of
45)
11
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
85%
(
23 of
27)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
15 of
21)
81%
(
13 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
13 of
24)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
16%
(
7 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
17 of
45)
53
Total Points Won
35
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Sebastian Korda
67%
(
44 of
66)
1st Serve %
61%
(
27 of
44)
7
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
77%
(
34 of
44)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
20 of
27)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
7 of
17)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
29%
(
19 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
17 of
44)
64
Total Points Won
46
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Holger Rune
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58%
(
25 of
43)
1st Serve %
57%
(
33 of
58)
4
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
76%
(
19 of
25)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
21 of
33)
78%
(
14 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
10 of
25)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
27 of
58)
60
Total Points Won
41
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H |
view more
Sebastian Korda Recent Matches Played
OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 |
Tomas Machac
Player
Sebastian Korda
62%
(
58 of
94)
1st Serve %
57%
(
51 of
89)
4
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
39 of
58)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
28 of
51)
61%
(
22 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
20 of
38)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
33 of
94)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
41 of
89)
102
Total Points Won
81
|
6-4 6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Sebastian Korda
Player
Corentin Moutet
58%
(
49 of
85)
1st Serve %
54%
(
47 of
87)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
78%
(
38 of
49)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
28 of
47)
56%
(
20 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
16 of
40)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
14%
(
1 of
7)
32%
(
27 of
85)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
43 of
87)
101
Total Points Won
71
|
7-6(3) 6-1 6-0 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Sebastian Korda
67%
(
44 of
66)
1st Serve %
61%
(
27 of
44)
7
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
77%
(
34 of
44)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
20 of
27)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
7 of
17)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
29%
(
19 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
17 of
44)
64
Total Points Won
46
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
QF |
Sebastian Korda
Player
Alexander Zverev
61%
(
57 of
93)
1st Serve %
66%
(
65 of
98)
7
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
11
74%
(
42 of
57)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
51 of
65)
39%
(
14 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
11 of
33)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
40%
(
37 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
36 of
98)
92
Total Points Won
99
|
7-6(5) 1-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
SF |
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Sebastian Korda
59%
(
41 of
70)
1st Serve %
56%
(
41 of
73)
2
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
5
83%
(
34 of
41)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
27 of
41)
34%
(
10 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
12 of
32)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
37%
(
26 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
34 of
73)
78
Total Points Won
65
|
7-6(0) 6-3 | H2H | ||
R3 | w/o | H2H | |||
R2 |
Sebastian Korda
Player
Taylor Fritz
53%
(
39 of
73)
1st Serve %
52%
(
42 of
81)
7
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
4
72%
(
28 of
39)
1st Serve Won
76%
(
32 of
42)
74%
(
25 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
22 of
39)
14%
(
1 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
27%
(
20 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
27 of
81)
80
Total Points Won
74
|
6-4 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
R1 |
Sebastian Korda
Player
Vasek Pospisil
67%
(
4 of
6)
1st Serve %
55%
(
6 of
11)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
50%
(
2 of
4)
1st Serve Won
83%
(
5 of
6)
100%
(
2 of
2)
2nd Serve Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
100%
(
1 of
1)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
9
Total Points Won
8
|
2-1 ret. | H2H | ||
F |
Sebastian Korda
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65%
(
41 of
63)
1st Serve %
55%
(
42 of
76)
7
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
4
83%
(
34 of
41)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
28 of
42)
64%
(
14 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
13 of
34)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
24%
(
15 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
35 of
76)
83
Total Points Won
56
|
4-6 6-2 6-0 | H2H | ||
SF |
Sebastian Korda
Player
Frances Tiafoe
63%
(
34 of
54)
1st Serve %
60%
(
45 of
75)
12
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
0
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
29 of
45)
80%
(
16 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
17 of
30)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
20%
(
11 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
29 of
75)
72
Total Points Won
57
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H |
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