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Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Djokovic vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Djokovic has won 57.61% of points on his second serve, while Nadal has won 52%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Djokovic, in recent form, has won 55.37% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 53.54%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.54% and 29.84% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Djokovic has saved 62.07% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 55.56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Djokovic has won 86.21% of matches played (W/L 50/ 8), with Nadal winning 60% (W/L 3/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Djokovic has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 86% (W/L 119/ 20), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 200/ 52). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 502/ 54), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
  • Player level: In the last year, Djokovic has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 92.59% of matches (W/L 25/ 2), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 59 times before with Djokovic winning 30 times. They have played 160 sets in total, with Djokovic winning 82 and Nadal winning 78. The last match between Djokovic and Nadal was at the French Open - Paris, 31-05-2022, Quarterfinals, Clay with Rafael Nadal getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:39:20.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Djokovic and Nadal have played a deciding set 13 times, with Djokovic winning 5 times and Nadal 8 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 19 tiebreaks against each other with Djokovic winning 9, and Nadal 10.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Djokovic has played against opponents with an average rank of 84.57 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 106.2.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Djokovic has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Djokovic has converted 40.64% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 42.42% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Djokovic 30 - 29 Nadal

Novak Djokovic

103

Total

40

Mast

3

Chall

24

Slam

27

Main

2

Minor

1

Rank

1

High

36

Age

R

Plays

30

Total

29

16

Hard

5

8

Clay

20

4

Indoor

2

2

Grass

2

644

Rank

1

High

37

Age

L

Plays

Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

30

Total

29

16

Hard

5

8

Clay

20

4

Indoor

2

2

Grass

2

W W W L W L W W W L

Form

W L L W L W W L W L

83% (1200-241)

Career Total W/L

82% (1115-238)

73% (11-4)

YTD W/L

60% (3-2)

$128,033,620

Career Prize Money

$96,415,145

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Djokovic VS Nadal H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Novak Djokovic Rafael Nadal
All H2H Matches 30 29
Sets Won 82 78
Games Won 785 763
Aces (Total) 286 170
DFs (Total) 97 101
Avg Match Time 1:39:20 1:39:20
1st Serve % 66% (3118/4736) 68% (3268/4790)
1st Serve Win% 67% (2101/3118) 65% (2129/3268)
2nd Serve Win% 52% (842/1618) 51% (780/1522)
BPs Won% (Total) 40% (188/468) 43% (183/422)
Return Points W% 39% (1879/4790) 38% (1793/4736)
Best of 3 Sets W% 56% (23/41) 44% (18/41)
Best of 5 Sets W% 39% (7/18) 61% (11/18)
TBs Win% (Total) 47% (9/19) 53% (10/19)
Deciding Set Win% 38% (5/13) 62% (8/13)
1st set W, W 89% (28/25) 84% (31/26)
1st set W, L 11% (28/3) 16% (31/5)
1st set L, W 16% (31/5) 11% (28/3)

Djokovic VS Nadal H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 4-6 6-2 7-6(4)
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Novak Djokovic
71% ( 98 of 138)
1st Serve %
68% ( 95 of 140)
3
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
4
65% ( 64 of 98)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 61 of 95)
60% ( 24 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 19 of 45)
41% ( 7 of 17)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
36% ( 50 of 138)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 60 of 140)
148
Total Points Won
130
3-6 6-3 7-6(4) 6-2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Rafael Nadal
64% ( 85 of 133)
1st Serve %
65% ( 86 of 133)
6
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
8
65% ( 55 of 85)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 51 of 86)
50% ( 24 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 19 of 47)
36% ( 8 of 22)
Break Points Won
38% ( 6 of 16)
41% ( 54 of 133)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 63 of 133)
142
Total Points Won
124
7-5 1-6 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Novak Djokovic
75% ( 72 of 96)
1st Serve %
66% ( 63 of 95)
3
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
4
65% ( 47 of 72)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 41 of 63)
46% ( 11 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
40% ( 38 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 39 of 95)
97
Total Points Won
94
6-0 6-2 7-5
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Novak Djokovic
65% ( 55 of 84)
1st Serve %
67% ( 66 of 99)
4
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
4
67% ( 37 of 55)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 33 of 66)
66% ( 19 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
39% ( 7 of 18)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
33% ( 28 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 50 of 99)
106
Total Points Won
77
6-2 7-6(4)
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Rafael Nadal
77% ( 49 of 64)
1st Serve %
73% ( 51 of 70)
12
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
3
84% ( 41 of 49)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 39 of 51)
60% ( 9 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
22% ( 14 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 25 of 70)
75
Total Points Won
59
6-0 4-6 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Novak Djokovic
73% ( 48 of 66)
1st Serve %
75% ( 72 of 96)
0
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
1
73% ( 35 of 48)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 43 of 72)
61% ( 11 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
35% ( 6 of 17)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 20 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 46 of 96)
92
Total Points Won
70
6-3 6-2 6-3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Rafael Nadal
72% ( 50 of 69)
1st Serve %
64% ( 47 of 73)
8
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
80% ( 40 of 50)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 24 of 47)
84% ( 16 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
19% ( 13 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 33 of 73)
89
Total Points Won
53
6-4 3-6 7-6(9) 3-6 10-8
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 125 of 176)
1st Serve %
71% ( 150 of 210)
23
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
4
76% ( 95 of 125)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 100 of 150)
47% ( 24 of 51)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 34 of 60)
21% ( 4 of 19)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
32% ( 57 of 176)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 76 of 210)
195
Total Points Won
191
7-6(4) 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Novak Djokovic
60% ( 39 of 65)
1st Serve %
71% ( 45 of 63)
1
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
0
64% ( 25 of 39)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 27 of 45)
69% ( 18 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 11 of 18)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
34% ( 22 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 25 of 63)
68
Total Points Won
60
6-2 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Novak Djokovic
63% ( 36 of 57)
1st Serve %
70% ( 39 of 56)
2
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 22 of 39)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
33% ( 19 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
65
Total Points Won
48
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Novak Djokovic Rafael Nadal
YTD W/L 73% (11/4) 60% (3/2)
Sets Win/Loss 68% (30/14) 64% (7/4)
Games Win/Loss 58% (240/176) 57% (59/45)
Hard Win/Loss 73% (8/3) 67% (2/1)
Clay Win/Loss 75% (3/1) 50% (1/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.56 0.28
Aces Total 114 14
DFs per game 0.14 0.2
DFs Total 28 10
Avg Match Time 2:22:24 1:55:33
Avg Opp Rank 104.33 106.2
1st Serve % 63% (785/1241) 69% (222/322)
1st Serve W% 75% (589/785) 74% (164/222)
2nd Serve W% 57% (258/456) 52% (52/100)
BPs Won% Total 42% (60/143) 42% (14/33)
Return Pts W% 41% (535/1299) 39% (125/318)
Slam W/L 83% (5/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 67% (4/2) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 67% (2/1) 60% (3/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (6/9) 60% (3/5)
Best of 5 Sets W% 83% (5/6) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (4/6) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set W% 50% (2/4) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (11/11) 75% (4/3)
1st set W, L 0% (11/0) 25% (4/1)
1st set L, W 0% (4/0) 0% (1/0)

Novak Djokovic Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Novak Djokovic
56% ( 44 of 78)
1st Serve %
58% ( 46 of 79)
4
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
64% ( 28 of 44)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
44% ( 34 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 29 of 79)
73
Total Points Won
84
L
6-4 1-6 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Alex De Minaur
66% ( 42 of 64)
1st Serve %
42% ( 30 of 71)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 20 of 41)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 71)
73
Total Points Won
62
W
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
69% ( 46 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 33 of 62)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 20 of 33)
52% ( 11 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 62)
72
Total Points Won
57
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Roman Safiullin
65% ( 22 of 34)
1st Serve %
43% ( 26 of 61)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
77% ( 17 of 22)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
92% ( 11 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 11 of 35)
26% ( 5 of 19)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 6 of 34)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 34 of 61)
62
Total Points Won
33
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Luca Nardi
Player
Novak Djokovic
71% ( 64 of 90)
1st Serve %
60% ( 57 of 95)
6
Aces
4
7
Double Faults
1
69% ( 44 of 64)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 44 of 57)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 16 of 38)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 33 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 35 of 95)
92
Total Points Won
93
L
6-4 3-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Aleksandar Vukic
61% ( 46 of 76)
1st Serve %
56% ( 56 of 100)
11
Aces
9
5
Double Faults
3
83% ( 38 of 46)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 44 of 56)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 12 of 44)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
29% ( 22 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 44 of 100)
98
Total Points Won
78
W
6-2 5-7 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Novak Djokovic
58% ( 64 of 110)
1st Serve %
68% ( 79 of 116)
9
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
4
83% ( 53 of 64)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 53 of 79)
63% ( 29 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
25% ( 28 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 46 of 116)
128
Total Points Won
98
L
6-1 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Taylor Fritz
63% ( 72 of 115)
1st Serve %
58% ( 90 of 154)
20
Aces
16
3
Double Faults
2
82% ( 59 of 72)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 59 of 90)
58% ( 25 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 31 of 64)
19% ( 4 of 21)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
27% ( 31 of 115)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 64 of 154)
148
Total Points Won
121
W
7-6(3) 4-6 6-2 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Adrian Mannarino
70% ( 48 of 69)
1st Serve %
59% ( 34 of 58)
17
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
0
81% ( 39 of 48)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 17 of 34)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 8 of 24)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
25% ( 17 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 33 of 58)
85
Total Points Won
42
W
6-0 6-0 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
68% ( 57 of 84)
1st Serve %
72% ( 72 of 100)
10
Aces
13
0
Double Faults
1
86% ( 49 of 57)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 51 of 72)
59% ( 16 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 19 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 39 of 100)
104
Total Points Won
80
W
6-3 6-3 7-6(2) H2H

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
76% ( 35 of 46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
58
Total Points Won
34
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
80% ( 12 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
13% ( 6 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 21 of 54)
61
Total Points Won
39
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66% ( 63 of 95)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 102)
107
Total Points Won
90
L
6-4 6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66% ( 78 of 119)
1st Serve %
58% ( 67 of 115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73% ( 57 of 78)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
51% ( 21 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 27 of 48)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
34% ( 41 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 46 of 115)
124
Total Points Won
110
W
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 H2H
Robin
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62% ( 62 of 100)
1st Serve %
61% ( 56 of 92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63% ( 39 of 62)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 34 of 56)
50% ( 19 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
42% ( 42 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 42 of 92)
100
Total Points Won
92
L
3-6 6-1 7-5 H2H
Robin
cross
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
58% ( 55 of 95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 40 of 55)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 34 of 95)
94
Total Points Won
89
L
3-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
Robin
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
70% ( 46 of 66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93% ( 38 of 41)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
18% ( 11 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 23 of 66)
73
Total Points Won
54
W
7-5 7-5 H2H

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