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Nicolas Jarry vs Sebastian Baez Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Jarry vs Baez analysis and find out who is favored!

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Nicolas Jarry vs Sebastian Baez Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Jarry 1 - 1 Baez

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Jarry has won 48.51% of points on their second serve, while Baez has won 50.5%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Jarry, in recent form, has won 43.23% of their opponent's second serve points, while Baez has won 50.51%. The same stats for first serve returns are 23.52% and 31.75% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Jarry has saved 67.72% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Baez has saved 61.98% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Jarry has won 46.67% of matches played (W/L 21/ 24), with Baez winning 52.46% (W/L 32/ 29) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Jarry has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 296/ 160), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 33% (W/L 9/ 18). Baez has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 212/ 89), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 7% (W/L 1/ 13).
  • Player level: In the last year, Jarry has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 52.38% of matches (W/L 11/ 10), where as Baez has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 58.82% of matches (W/L 20/ 14). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Jarry winning 1 times and Baez being victorious 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Jarry winning 2 and Baez winning 2. The last match between Jarry and Baez was at the Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro, 24-02-2023, Quarterfinals, Clay with Nicolas Jarry getting the victory 6-3 7-6(3).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:34:23.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Jarry and Baez have played a deciding set 0 times, with Jarry winning 0 times and Baez 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Jarry winning 1, and Baez 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Jarry has played against opponents with an average rank of 97.31 while Baez has played against players with an average rank of 68.21.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Jarry has won 60% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Baez has won 54% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Jarry has converted 29% of breakpoint opportunities, and Baez has converted 39.75% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Nicolas Jarry

14

Total

0

Mast

5

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

6

Minor

29

Rank

16

High

28

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

1

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

26

Rank

18

High

23

Age

R

Plays

Sebastian Baez

17

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

5

Minor

1

Total

1

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L L L L L W L L L

Form

W W L W L L W L L L

60% (393-266)

Career Total W/L

64% (249-143)

45% (17-21)

YTD W/L

56% (31-24)

$3,156,540

Career Prize Money

$2,791,435

0

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Jarry VS Baez H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Nicolas Jarry Sebastian Baez
All H2H Matches 1 1
Sets Won 2 2
Games Won 21 21
Aces (Total) 10 2
DFs Total 5 5
Avg Match Time 1:34:23 1:34:23
1st Serve % 56% (71/126) 73% (96/131)
1st Serve Win% 75% (53/71) 65% (62/96)
2nd Serve Win% 56% (31/55) 63% (22/35)
BPs Won% (Total) 25% (3/12) 57% (4/7)
Return Points W% 36% (47/131) 33% (42/126)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)

Jarry VS Baez H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 7-6(3)
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Sebastian Baez
54% ( 34 of 63)
1st Serve %
79% ( 55 of 70)
6
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
1
85% ( 29 of 34)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 33 of 55)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 7 of 15)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 18 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 30 of 70)
75
Total Points Won
58
6-4 6-4
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Nicolas Jarry
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
59% ( 37 of 63)
0
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
71% ( 29 of 41)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 24 of 37)
75% ( 15 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 15 of 26)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
28% ( 17 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 24 of 63)
68
Total Points Won
56

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Nicolas Jarry Sebastian Baez
YTD W/L 45% (17/21) 56% (31/24)
Sets Win/Loss 44% (44/56) 53% (76/67)
Games Win/Loss 48% (492/529) 51% (681/663)
Hard Win/Loss 42% (8/11) 36% (5/9)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (9/9) 70% (26/11)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 0% (0/3)
Aces pg 0.66 0.19
Aces Total 332 126
DFs per game 0.17 0.16
DFs Total 86 105
Avg Match Time 2:15:11 1:54:43
Avg Opp Rank 104.68 69.84
1st Serve % 63% (1975/3149) 72% (3121/4331)
1st Serve W% 74% (1465/1975) 64% (1987/3121)
2nd Serve W% 50% (588/1174) 52% (624/1210)
BPs Won% Total 33% (75/225) 41% (181/443)
Return Pts W% 33% (1068/3195) 40% (1709/4239)
Slam W/L 0% (0/4) 50% (4/4)
Masters W/L 50% (8/8) 42% (5/7)
Cups W/L 50% (1/1) 50% (1/1)
Main Tour W/L 53% (8/7) 63% (19/11)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 48% (16/33) 56% (27/48)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/4) 57% (4/7)
TBs Win% (Total) 45% (10/22) 53% (8/15)
Deciding Set W% 56% (10/18) 57% (12/21)
1st set W, W 80% (15/12) 82% (28/23)
1st set W, L 20% (15/3) 18% (28/5)
1st set L, W 17% (23/4) 30% (27/8)

Nicolas Jarry Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Yibing Wu
Player
Nicolas Jarry
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve %
67% ( 29 of 43)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
94% ( 29 of 31)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
39% ( 7 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
27% ( 13 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 23 of 43)
59
Total Points Won
33
L
6-2 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Nicolas Jarry
68% ( 45 of 66)
1st Serve %
67% ( 52 of 78)
1
Aces
12
1
Double Faults
2
82% ( 37 of 45)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 40 of 52)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
19% ( 5 of 26)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
23% ( 15 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 33 of 78)
84
Total Points Won
60
L
4-6 6-3 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Alibek Kachmazov
Player
Nicolas Jarry
39% ( 22 of 56)
1st Serve %
56% ( 32 of 57)
3
Aces
11
0
Double Faults
1
95% ( 21 of 22)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 25 of 32)
62% ( 21 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
25% ( 14 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 23 of 57)
65
Total Points Won
48
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Lukas Klein
68% ( 63 of 93)
1st Serve %
73% ( 68 of 93)
19
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
1
79% ( 50 of 63)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 50 of 68)
43% ( 13 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
32% ( 30 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 30 of 93)
93
Total Points Won
93
W
7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Christopher O'Connell
Player
Nicolas Jarry
51% ( 58 of 114)
1st Serve %
60% ( 71 of 118)
11
Aces
13
4
Double Faults
7
79% ( 46 of 58)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 55 of 71)
57% ( 32 of 56)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 23 of 47)
25% ( 4 of 16)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 36 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 40 of 118)
118
Total Points Won
114
L
6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Nicolas Jarry
60% ( 62 of 104)
1st Serve %
55% ( 57 of 103)
9
Aces
13
5
Double Faults
5
85% ( 53 of 62)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 46 of 57)
62% ( 26 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
70% ( 32 of 46)
0% ( 0 of 2)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
24% ( 25 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
24% ( 25 of 103)
104
Total Points Won
103
L
4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Player
Nicolas Jarry
67% ( 64 of 95)
1st Serve %
54% ( 56 of 104)
4
Aces
15
3
Double Faults
5
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 44 of 56)
65% ( 20 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 22 of 48)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
28% ( 27 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 38 of 104)
106
Total Points Won
93
L
7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Nicolas Jarry
64% ( 35 of 55)
1st Serve %
58% ( 41 of 71)
6
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
89% ( 31 of 35)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
50% ( 10 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
25% ( 14 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 31 of 71)
71
Total Points Won
55
L
6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Nicolas Jarry
64% ( 52 of 81)
1st Serve %
59% ( 48 of 81)
9
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
83% ( 43 of 52)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 32 of 48)
76% ( 22 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
20% ( 16 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 33 of 81)
98
Total Points Won
64
L
6-1 7-5 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Corentin Moutet
Player
Nicolas Jarry
67% ( 64 of 96)
1st Serve %
68% ( 75 of 110)
4
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 49 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 45 of 75)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
37% ( 7 of 19)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 31 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 52 of 110)
117
Total Points Won
89
L
6-2 6-1 3-6 6-0 H2H

Sebastian Baez Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Gael Monfils
Player
Sebastian Baez
66% ( 63 of 95)
1st Serve %
81% ( 75 of 93)
15
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
2
71% ( 45 of 63)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 50 of 75)
47% ( 15 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 5 of 18)
27% ( 4 of 15)
Break Points Won
23% ( 3 of 13)
37% ( 35 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 38 of 93)
98
Total Points Won
90
L
6-3 4-6 6-4 H2H
Rubber 2
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Sebastian Baez
63% ( 32 of 51)
1st Serve %
72% ( 54 of 75)
7
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
42% ( 8 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 10 of 21)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
35% ( 18 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 38 of 75)
71
Total Points Won
55
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Tallon Griekspoor
Player
Sebastian Baez
69% ( 22 of 32)
1st Serve %
76% ( 32 of 42)
4
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
91% ( 20 of 22)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
40% ( 4 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
25% ( 8 of 32)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 23 of 42)
47
Total Points Won
27
L
6-1 2-0 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Luciano Darderi
70% ( 104 of 149)
1st Serve %
50% ( 69 of 138)
6
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
9
63% ( 66 of 104)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 44 of 69)
58% ( 26 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 35 of 69)
41% ( 7 of 17)
Break Points Won
20% ( 3 of 15)
38% ( 57 of 149)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 59 of 138)
151
Total Points Won
136
W
6-4 6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4) H2H
R2
cross
Borna Coric
Player
Sebastian Baez
56% ( 34 of 61)
1st Serve %
80% ( 39 of 49)
7
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
88% ( 30 of 34)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 24 of 39)
37% ( 10 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
34% ( 21 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 19 of 49)
59
Total Points Won
51
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Sebastian Baez
46% ( 25 of 54)
1st Serve %
72% ( 38 of 53)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
76% ( 19 of 25)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
41% ( 12 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
7% ( 1 of 15)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
43% ( 23 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 33 of 53)
64
Total Points Won
43
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Marcos Giron
66% ( 73 of 111)
1st Serve %
51% ( 54 of 105)
1
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
2
73% ( 53 of 73)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 39 of 54)
45% ( 17 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 29 of 51)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
37% ( 41 of 111)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 37 of 105)
107
Total Points Won
109
W
6-4 5-7 7-6(6) H2H
R3
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Sebastian Baez
61% ( 36 of 59)
1st Serve %
82% ( 46 of 56)
5
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
0
89% ( 32 of 36)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
26% ( 6 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
36% ( 21 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 29 of 56)
67
Total Points Won
48
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Benjamin Hassan
76% ( 75 of 99)
1st Serve %
64% ( 67 of 105)
4
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
3
76% ( 57 of 75)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 44 of 67)
50% ( 12 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 30 of 99)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 41 of 108)
109
Total Points Won
96
W
6-2 3-6 7-6(3) H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Thiago Moura Monteiro
73% ( 44 of 60)
1st Serve %
73% ( 38 of 52)
8
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
86% ( 38 of 44)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
44% ( 7 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 9 of 14)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
25% ( 15 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 18 of 52)
63
Total Points Won
49
W
6-4 6-3 H2H

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