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Naoki Nakagawa vs Sho Shimabukuro Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nakagawa vs Shimabukuro analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Naoki Nakagawa vs Sho Shimabukuro Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nakagawa has won 50.64% of points on his second serve, while Shimabukuro has won 51.06%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nakagawa, in recent form, has won 45.32% of his opponent's second serve points, while Shimabukuro has won 53.28%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.3% and 26.93% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nakagawa has saved 61.61% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Shimabukuro has saved 56.49% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nakagawa has won 63.83% of matches played (W/L 30/ 17), with Shimabukuro winning 53.97% (W/L 34/ 29) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nakagawa has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 62% (W/L 175/ 109), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 47% (W/L 8/ 9). Shimabukuro has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 8/ 4), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 54% (W/L 22/ 19).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nakagawa has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 78.13% of matches (W/L 25/ 7), where as Shimabukuro has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 57.89% of matches (W/L 22/ 16). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Nakagawa winning 1 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Nakagawa winning 2 and Shimabukuro winning 0. The last match between Nakagawa and Shimabukuro was at the Morelos Challenger, 24-04-2022, Q1 round, Hard with Naoki Nakagawa getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:21:33.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nakagawa and Shimabukuro have played a deciding set 0 times, with Nakagawa winning 0 times and Shimabukuro 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Nakagawa winning 0, and Shimabukuro 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nakagawa has played against opponents with an average rank of 197.28 while Shimabukuro has played against players with an average rank of 285.19.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nakagawa has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Shimabukuro has won 65% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nakagawa has converted 48.72% of breakpoint opportunities, and Shimabukuro has converted 45.37% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Nakagawa 1 - 0 Shimabukuro

Naoki Nakagawa

5

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

5

Minor

431

Rank

334

High

27

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

171

Rank

135

High

26

Age

R

Plays

Sho Shimabukuro

5

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

3

Minor

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L W W L L L L W L

Form

L L W L L L L W W L

61% (295-192)

Career Total W/L

62% (214-130)

25% (1-3)

YTD W/L

27% (4-11)

$0

Career Prize Money

$196,505

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nakagawa VS Shimabukuro H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Naoki Nakagawa Sho Shimabukuro
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 0
Games Won 13 9
Aces (Total) 5 2
DFs (Total) 3 8
Avg Match Time 1:21:33 1:21:33
1st Serve % 53% (32/60) 47% (31/66)
1st Serve Win% 81% (26/32) 68% (21/31)
2nd Serve Win% 54% (15/28) 49% (17/35)
BPs Won% (Total) 57% (4/7) 33% (2/6)
Return Points W% 42% (28/66) 32% (19/60)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Nakagawa VS Shimabukuro H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 7-5
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Sho Shimabukuro
53% ( 32 of 60)
1st Serve %
47% ( 31 of 66)
5
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
8
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
54% ( 15 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
32% ( 19 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
69
Total Points Won
57

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Naoki Nakagawa Sho Shimabukuro
YTD W/L 25% (1/3) 27% (4/11)
Sets Win/Loss 40% (4/6) 35% (12/22)
Games Win/Loss 48% (45/48) 46% (152/180)
Hard Win/Loss 25% (1/3) 30% (3/7)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 20% (1/4)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.39 0.31
Aces Total 18 50
DFs per game 0.22 0.22
DFs Total 10 36
Avg Match Time 1:52:49 1:34:48
Avg Opp Rank 112.75 345.13
1st Serve % 52% (154/295) 58% (610/1051)
1st Serve W% 70% (108/154) 68% (414/610)
2nd Serve W% 48% (67/141) 50% (220/441)
BPs Won% Total 39% (11/28) 53% (32/60)
Return Pts W% 37% (110/294) 34% (325/957)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/4)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/2) 40% (4/6)
Futures W/L 50% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 33% (1/3) 27% (4/15)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 33% (2/6)
Deciding Set W% 0% (0/1) 0% (0/4)
1st set W, W 50% (2/1) 67% (6/4)
1st set W, L 50% (2/1) 33% (6/2)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 0% (9/0)

Naoki Nakagawa Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Gastao Elias
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
57% ( 61 of 107)
1st Serve %
52% ( 66 of 128)
3
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
6
64% ( 39 of 61)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 44 of 66)
54% ( 25 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 27 of 62)
19% ( 3 of 16)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
40% ( 43 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 57 of 128)
121
Total Points Won
114
L
7-6(4) 5-7 4-3 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Gianmarco Ferrari
55% ( 24 of 44)
1st Serve %
57% ( 27 of 47)
4
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
5
92% ( 22 of 24)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 16 of 27)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 11 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 22 of 47)
55
Total Points Won
36
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Rigele Te
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
55% ( 49 of 89)
1st Serve %
56% ( 40 of 71)
9
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
2
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 24 of 40)
63% ( 25 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
36% ( 32 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 30 of 71)
87
Total Points Won
73
L
4-6 6-1 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Chun Hsin Tseng
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve %
46% ( 24 of 52)
5
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
77% ( 24 of 31)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 18 of 24)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
25% ( 13 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 22 of 52)
60
Total Points Won
43
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Chak Lam Coleman Wong
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
53% ( 46 of 86)
1st Serve %
62% ( 61 of 99)
10
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
1
83% ( 38 of 46)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 44 of 61)
60% ( 24 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
28% ( 24 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 37 of 99)
99
Total Points Won
86
L
6-2 6-7(5) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Andres Martin
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
65% ( 50 of 77)
1st Serve %
64% ( 58 of 90)
10
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 38 of 50)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 35 of 58)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
72% ( 23 of 32)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
35% ( 27 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 32 of 90)
82
Total Points Won
85
L
7-6(5) 1-6 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Mathys Erhard
61% ( 48 of 79)
1st Serve %
64% ( 58 of 90)
1
Aces
9
6
Double Faults
1
73% ( 35 of 48)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 35 of 58)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 19 of 32)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
33% ( 26 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 36 of 90)
89
Total Points Won
80
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Yusuke Takahashi
52% ( 42 of 81)
1st Serve %
73% ( 67 of 92)
6
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
1
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 39 of 67)
59% ( 23 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 14 of 25)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
36% ( 29 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 39 of 92)
91
Total Points Won
82
W
7-5 7-6(6) H2H
Q1
cross
Blake Ellis
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
50% ( 52 of 104)
1st Serve %
54% ( 58 of 108)
6
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
75% ( 39 of 52)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 42 of 58)
56% ( 29 of 52)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 20 of 50)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
35% ( 36 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 46 of 108)
114
Total Points Won
98
L
6-2 6-7(6) 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Shintaro Mochizuki
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
47% ( 23 of 49)
1st Serve %
59% ( 41 of 70)
5
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
2
83% ( 19 of 23)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
35% ( 17 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 35 of 70)
67
Total Points Won
52
L
6-2 6-2 H2H

Sho Shimabukuro Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Lloyd Harris
Player
Sho Shimabukuro
79% ( 37 of 47)
1st Serve %
59% ( 29 of 49)
12
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
4
76% ( 28 of 37)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
40% ( 4 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
32% ( 15 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 29 of 49)
61
Total Points Won
35
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Sho Shimabukuro
Player
Seong Chan Hong
48% ( 29 of 60)
1st Serve %
67% ( 37 of 55)
1
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
0
79% ( 23 of 29)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
55% ( 17 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
33% ( 20 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 24 of 55)
64
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Sho Shimabukuro
Player
Jea Moon Lee
57% ( 34 of 60)
1st Serve %
66% ( 33 of 50)
4
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
0
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
30% ( 18 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 22 of 50)
64
Total Points Won
46
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Yasutaka Uchiyama
Player
Sho Shimabukuro
64% ( 34 of 53)
1st Serve %
62% ( 23 of 37)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
4
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve Won
39% ( 9 of 23)
32% ( 6 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
14% ( 2 of 14)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
40% ( 21 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
70% ( 26 of 37)
58
Total Points Won
32
L
6-3 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Yuta Shimizu
Player
Sho Shimabukuro
61% ( 43 of 70)
1st Serve %
51% ( 35 of 68)
2
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 23 of 35)
63% ( 17 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
31% ( 22 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 26 of 68)
74
Total Points Won
64
L
7-6(5) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Rudolf Molleker
Player
Sho Shimabukuro
69% ( 33 of 48)
1st Serve %
63% ( 44 of 70)
13
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
2
85% ( 28 of 33)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 33 of 44)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 9 of 26)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
19% ( 9 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 28 of 70)
67
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Player
Sho Shimabukuro
76% ( 42 of 55)
1st Serve %
63% ( 50 of 79)
13
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
1
88% ( 37 of 42)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 34 of 50)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 16 of 29)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 11 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 29 of 79)
73
Total Points Won
61
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Sho Shimabukuro
Player
Mattia Bellucci
59% ( 32 of 54)
1st Serve %
64% ( 29 of 45)
5
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
0
75% ( 24 of 32)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 18 of 29)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
13% ( 2 of 16)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
33% ( 18 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 25 of 45)
61
Total Points Won
38
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
Q1
cross
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Sho Shimabukuro
64% ( 54 of 84)
1st Serve %
49% ( 46 of 94)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
74% ( 40 of 54)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
47% ( 14 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 26 of 48)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
36% ( 30 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 44 of 94)
98
Total Points Won
80
L
3-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Player
Sho Shimabukuro
67% ( 70 of 105)
1st Serve %
59% ( 80 of 136)
8
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
4
77% ( 54 of 70)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 59 of 80)
66% ( 23 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 29 of 56)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
27% ( 28 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 48 of 136)
125
Total Points Won
116
L
7-6(2) 6-7(4) 7-6(2) H2H

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