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Naoki Nakagawa vs Evgeny Karlovskiy Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

By Wojtek Kolan

Head-To-Head: Nakagawa 1 - 0 Karlovskiy

They have played 3 sets in total, with Nakagawa winning 2 and Karlovskiy winning 1. The last match between Nakagawa and Karlovskiy was at the Busan Challenger, 13-04-2025, Round: Q1 round, Surface: Hard, with Naoki Nakagawa getting the victory 2-6 6-3 6-2.

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Naoki Nakagawa 1
Evgeny Karlovskiy 0

LAST H2H MATCH: Busan Challenger(13-04-2025)

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2 6
6 3
6 2
Nakagawa vs Karlovskiy H2H Profile
Nakagawa Stats Karlovskiy
44% (8-10) YTD Win/Loss 48% (15-16)
1 Head-to-Head 0
333 Ranking 425
333 Highest Rank 211
28 Age 30
R Plays R
6 Titles 12
60% (327-215) Career Total W/L 55% (436-351)
$0 Career Prize Money $37,060
1 Hard H2H 0

Today’s Tennis Tips:

Engel VS Aliassime PREDICTION Grass

Boss Open - Stuttgart atp

13 Jun 2025 / Quarterfinals

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Felix Auger Aliassime

To Win

86.49 %
4.52%

Shelton VS Lehecka PREDICTION Grass

Boss Open - Stuttgart atp

13 Jun 2025 / Quarterfinals

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Jiri Lehecka

To Win

56.77 %
6.77%

Nakagawa VS Karlovskiy H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
2-6 6-3 6-2
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Evgeny Karlovskiy
51% ( 47 of 92)
1st Serve %
65% ( 49 of 75)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
66% ( 31 of 47)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 30 of 49)
51% ( 23 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
41% ( 38 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 31 of 75)
85
Total Points Won
82

Nakagawa VS Karlovskiy H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Nakagawa Vs Karlovskiy H2H Stats
Naoki Nakagawa Nakagawa Stats Evgeny Karlovskiy Karlovskiy
1 H2H Matches 0
2 Sets Won 1
14 Games Won 11
3 Aces (Total) 4
1 Total Double Faults 3
2:1:51 Average Match Time 2:1:51
51% (47/92) 1st Serve % 65% (49/75)
66% (31/47) 1st Serve Win % 61% (30/49)
51% (23/45) 2nd Serve Win % 54% (14/26)
67% (4/6) Break Points Won % (Total) 21% (3/14)
41% (31/75) Return Points Win % 41% (38/92)
100% (1/1) Best of 3 Sets Win % 0% (0/1)
100% (1/1) Deciding Set Win % 0% (0/1)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Won, Won Match 0% (1/0)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 100% (1/1)
100% (1/1) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (0/0)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Nakagawa vs Karlovskiy Match Preview :

Analyzing recent performance stats provides insight into the upcoming tennis match between Karlovskiy and Nakagawa. Over the last year, Karlovskiy has achieved a match win rate of 62.34%, with a win-loss record of 48/29, while Nakagawa has managed a 59.18% win rate with a 29/20 record. Notably, Karlovskiy's best surface performance is on hard courts, with a win rate of 61% (190/119), and his weakest on grass. Conversely, Nakagawa excels on indoor hard surfaces, winning 61% of his matches (19/12), and performs least effectively on clay courts, with a 60% win rate.

Examining recent form, Karlovskiy has secured 44.59% of points on his second serve, compared to Nakagawa's 47.78%, which closely correlates with predicting match outcomes. Both players have shown proficiency in returning serves, with Karlovskiy winning 44.67% and Nakagawa claiming 43.29% of opponent second serve points. Their respective success rates on first serve returns are 26.04% for Karlovskiy and 24.97% for Nakagawa. Under pressure, Karlovskiy has demonstrated better breakpoint saving ability at 55.41%, whereas Nakagawa has managed to save 51.32% of breakpoints. In terms of converting breakpoints, Karlovskiy surpasses Nakagawa, achieving a conversion rate of 30.91% against his rival's 27.78%.

The tier of competition is also an essential factor in this analysis. Over the past year, Karlovskiy has primarily competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, securing a 72.09% win rate. Nakagawa, on the other hand, has faced stiffer competition in Challengers/ITF tournaments and has maintained a 50% win rate. Their opponents' average rank further substantiates Nakagawa's higher level of competition, with an opponent average rank of 423.41 versus Karlovskiy's 487.53. Performance in deciding sets recently shows Nakagawa’s advantage, winning 60% of deciding sets compared to Karlovskiy's 45% success rate. Past interactions and performances in this current event can illuminate under-the-radar factors, but relying solely on historical data can offer only a partial forecast.

In conclusion, while both players possess distinct strengths, Nakagawa's superior return statistics and knack for winning deciding sets appear to position him as a narrow favorite in this matchup. Karlovskiy should not be underestimated, particularly given his strong breakpoint conversion rate and experience on the hard surface. However, considering the overall composition of statistical indicators, Nakagawa seems poised to secure a victory in their impending clash.

Nakagawa vs Karlovskiy Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88

Naoki Nakagawa Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Andres Andrade
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
51% ( 24 of 47)
1st Serve %
53% ( 29 of 55)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
75% ( 18 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 15 of 29)
61% ( 14 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 15 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 29 of 55)
61
Total Points Won
41
L
6-4 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Alexis Galarneau
42% ( 24 of 57)
1st Serve %
57% ( 35 of 61)
0
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 21 of 35)
45% ( 15 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
40% ( 23 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 29 of 61)
63
Total Points Won
55
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Alexander Kotzen
47% ( 28 of 60)
1st Serve %
58% ( 34 of 59)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
82% ( 23 of 28)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
66% ( 21 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 14 of 25)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
27% ( 16 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 22 of 59)
66
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Moerani Bouzige
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
46% ( 30 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 42 of 69)
12
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
3
93% ( 28 of 30)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 34 of 42)
66% ( 23 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
22% ( 14 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 22 of 69)
73
Total Points Won
61
L
7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Sanhui Shin
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
58% ( 38 of 65)
1st Serve %
62% ( 46 of 74)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 27 of 46)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
35% ( 23 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 35 of 74)
77
Total Points Won
62
L
6-1 7-6(5) H2H
Q1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Evgeny Karlovskiy
51% ( 47 of 92)
1st Serve %
65% ( 49 of 75)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
66% ( 31 of 47)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 30 of 49)
51% ( 23 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
41% ( 38 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 31 of 75)
85
Total Points Won
82
W
2-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Adrian Mannarino
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
62% ( 50 of 81)
1st Serve %
57% ( 47 of 83)
4
Aces
11
2
Double Faults
5
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 35 of 47)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
32% ( 26 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 32 of 83)
87
Total Points Won
77
L
3-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Taiyo Yamanaka
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
42% ( 27 of 65)
7
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
78% ( 31 of 40)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 18 of 27)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 28 of 65)
73
Total Points Won
54
L
7-6(4) 6-1 H2H

Evgeny Karlovskiy Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Dan Added
Player
Evgeny Karlovskiy
63% ( 50 of 80)
1st Serve %
65% ( 60 of 93)
8
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
7
84% ( 42 of 50)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
57% ( 17 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 15 of 33)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
26% ( 21 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 39 of 93)
98
Total Points Won
75
L
6-7(5) 6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Robert Strombachs
Player
Evgeny Karlovskiy
79% ( 38 of 48)
1st Serve %
66% ( 33 of 50)
6
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
87% ( 33 of 38)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
50% ( 5 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 10 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 23 of 50)
61
Total Points Won
37
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Evgeny Karlovskiy
Player
Egor Gerasimov
69% ( 40 of 58)
1st Serve %
63% ( 36 of 57)
5
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
70% ( 28 of 40)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 20 of 36)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
34% ( 20 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 28 of 57)
66
Total Points Won
49
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Clement Chidekh
Player
Evgeny Karlovskiy
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve %
64% ( 34 of 53)
6
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
4
74% ( 25 of 34)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
28% ( 14 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 26 of 53)
62
Total Points Won
41
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Ryan Peniston
Player
Evgeny Karlovskiy
66% ( 63 of 95)
1st Serve %
67% ( 57 of 85)
4
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
1
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
59% ( 19 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 13 of 28)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
37% ( 35 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 38 of 85)
98
Total Points Won
82
L
6-4 4-6 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Evgeny Karlovskiy
Player
Cem Ilkel
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
50% ( 30 of 60)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 19 of 30)
59% ( 10 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 14 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 28 of 60)
63
Total Points Won
46
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Evgeny Karlovskiy
51% ( 47 of 92)
1st Serve %
65% ( 49 of 75)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
66% ( 31 of 47)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 30 of 49)
51% ( 23 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
41% ( 38 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 31 of 75)
85
Total Points Won
82
L
2-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Tim Handel
Player
Evgeny Karlovskiy
88% ( 14 of 16)
1st Serve %
44% ( 4 of 9)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
71% ( 10 of 14)
1st Serve Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
0% ( 0 of 2)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Rtn Points Won
67% ( 6 of 9)
16
Total Points Won
9
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Nakagawa & Karlovskiy Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Naoki Nakagawa Nakagawa Stats Evgeny Karlovskiy Karlovskiy
60% (327/215) Win/Loss 55% (436/351)
58% (729/537) Sets Win/Loss 55% (986/809)
52% (6316/5742) Games Win/Loss 52% (8829/8174)
61% (195/127) Hard Win/Loss 61% (192/123)
60% (112/75) Clay Win/Loss 49% (95/97)
61% (20/13) Indoor Hard W/L 54% (147/127)
0% (0/0) Grass Win/Loss 33% (2/4)
0.32 Aces Per Game 0.37
1865 Aces Total 3075
0.18 Double Faults Per Game 0.21
1079 Total Double Faults 1763
1:19:58 Average Match Time 1:12:27
463.95 Average Opponent Rank 538.11
57% (16077/28241) 1st Serve % 67% (27301/40989)
69% (11160/16077) 1st Serve Win % 70% (19145/27301)
50% (6117/12164) 2nd Serve Win % 48% (6514/13688)
42% (1174/2785) Break Points Won % (Total) 42% (1753/4177)
39% (11185/28344) Return Points Win % 40% (16948/42588)
0% (0/0) Slam W/L 50% (4/4)
0% (0/3) Main Tour W/L 16% (4/21)
46% (65/76) Challenger W/L 49% (180/189)
66% (262/136) Futures W/L 64% (248/137)
60% (323/536) Best of 3 Sets Win % 55% (431/777)
67% (2/3) Best of 5 Sets Win % 40% (2/5)
57% (99/175) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 50% (126/250)
58% (106/182) Deciding Set Win % 48% (106/220)
88% (298/261) 1st Set Won, Won Match 86% (428/370)
12% (298/37) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 14% (428/58)
27% (244/66) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 18% (359/66)

Nakagawa vs. Karlovskiy Prediction Form Trend:

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