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Matteo Berrettini vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Berrettini vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Matteo Berrettini vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Berrettini has won 47.3% of points on his second serve, while Nadal has won 52%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Berrettini, in recent form, has won 48.21% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 53.54%. The same stats for first serve returns are 33.33% and 29.84% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Berrettini has saved 64.06% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 55.56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Berrettini has won 63.64% of matches played (W/L 14/ 8), with Nadal winning 60% (W/L 3/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Berrettini has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 81% (W/L 39/ 9), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 52% (W/L 28/ 26). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 502/ 54), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
  • Player level: In the last year, Berrettini has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 83.33% of matches (W/L 5/ 1), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Berrettini winning 0 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Berrettini winning 1 and Nadal winning 6. The last match between Berrettini and Nadal was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 28-01-2022, Semifinals, Hard with Rafael Nadal getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:45:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Berrettini and Nadal have played a deciding set 0 times, with Berrettini winning 0 times and Nadal 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Berrettini winning 0, and Nadal 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Berrettini has played against opponents with an average rank of 146.91 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 106.2.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Berrettini has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Berrettini has converted 36.36% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 42.42% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Berrettini 0 - 2 Nadal

Matteo Berrettini

13

Total

0

Mast

3

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

2

Minor

98

Rank

6

High

28

Age

R

Plays

0

Total

2

0

Hard

2

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

644

Rank

1

High

37

Age

L

Plays

Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

0

Total

2

0

Hard

2

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L L W W W W W L

Form

W L L W L W W L W L

67% (306-153)

Career Total W/L

82% (1115-238)

75% (9-3)

YTD W/L

60% (3-2)

$8,285,640

Career Prize Money

$96,415,145

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Berrettini VS Nadal H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Matteo Berrettini Rafael Nadal
All H2H Matches 0 2
Sets Won 1 6
Games Won 25 40
Aces (Total) 23 9
DFs (Total) 4 6
Avg Match Time 2:45:0 2:45:0
1st Serve % 67% (147/220) 63% (111/177)
1st Serve Win% 69% (102/147) 79% (88/111)
2nd Serve Win% 44% (32/73) 68% (45/66)
BPs Won% (Total) 50% (1/2) 33% (8/24)
Return Points W% 25% (44/177) 39% (86/220)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 100% (2/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 0% (2/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 0% (0/0)

Berrettini VS Nadal H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Matteo Berrettini
69% ( 70 of 102)
1st Serve %
67% ( 68 of 102)
5
Aces
14
2
Double Faults
2
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 50 of 68)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 15 of 34)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 31 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 102)
108
Total Points Won
96
7-6(6) 6-4 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Matteo Berrettini
55% ( 41 of 75)
1st Serve %
67% ( 79 of 118)
4
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
2
90% ( 37 of 41)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 52 of 79)
74% ( 25 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 17 of 39)
25% ( 4 of 16)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
17% ( 13 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 49 of 118)
111
Total Points Won
82

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Matteo Berrettini Rafael Nadal
YTD W/L 75% (9/3) 60% (3/2)
Sets Win/Loss 63% (19/11) 64% (7/4)
Games Win/Loss 54% (162/138) 57% (59/45)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (4/2) 67% (2/1)
Clay Win/Loss 83% (5/1) 50% (1/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.54 0.28
Aces Total 79 14
DFs per game 0.16 0.2
DFs Total 23 10
Avg Match Time 2:6:5 1:55:33
Avg Opp Rank 235.75 106.2
1st Serve % 66% (601/916) 69% (222/322)
1st Serve W% 76% (456/601) 74% (164/222)
2nd Serve W% 47% (149/315) 52% (52/100)
BPs Won% Total 36% (36/99) 42% (14/33)
Return Pts W% 39% (393/1004) 39% (125/318)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/2) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 100% (5/0) 60% (3/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 80% (4/1) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 75% (9/12) 60% (3/5)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 71% (5/7) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set W% 83% (5/6) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 83% (6/5) 75% (4/3)
1st set W, L 17% (6/1) 25% (4/1)
1st set L, W 67% (6/4) 0% (1/0)

Matteo Berrettini Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Miomir Kecmanovic
Player
Matteo Berrettini
59% ( 30 of 51)
1st Serve %
70% ( 33 of 47)
4
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 17 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 26 of 47)
60
Total Points Won
38
L
6-3 6-1 H2H
F
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
71% ( 47 of 66)
1st Serve %
72% ( 44 of 61)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
74% ( 35 of 47)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 11 of 17)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
33% ( 22 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 61)
70
Total Points Won
57
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Mariano Navone
76% ( 65 of 86)
1st Serve %
80% ( 86 of 107)
6
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
77% ( 50 of 65)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 53 of 86)
52% ( 11 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 46 of 107)
107
Total Points Won
86
W
6-7(4) 6-3 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
81% ( 55 of 68)
1st Serve %
70% ( 45 of 64)
5
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
84% ( 46 of 55)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 34 of 45)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 10 of 19)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 16 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 20 of 64)
72
Total Points Won
60
W
6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
68% ( 58 of 85)
1st Serve %
53% ( 46 of 86)
8
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
1
74% ( 43 of 58)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 29 of 46)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 26 of 40)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
35% ( 30 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 31 of 86)
86
Total Points Won
85
W
6-4 4-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Alexander Shevchenko
56% ( 25 of 45)
1st Serve %
52% ( 31 of 60)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
84% ( 21 of 25)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 16 of 31)
50% ( 10 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
31% ( 14 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 32 of 60)
63
Total Points Won
42
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Matteo Berrettini
67% ( 56 of 83)
1st Serve %
64% ( 68 of 107)
9
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
0
79% ( 44 of 56)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 51 of 68)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
25% ( 21 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 38 of 107)
100
Total Points Won
90
L
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
F
cross
Nuno Borges
Player
Matteo Berrettini
64% ( 54 of 85)
1st Serve %
52% ( 40 of 77)
7
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
4
78% ( 42 of 54)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
45% ( 14 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 19 of 37)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
34% ( 29 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 29 of 77)
85
Total Points Won
77
L
7-5 7-6(4) H2H
QF
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Terence Atmane
64% ( 76 of 119)
1st Serve %
60% ( 69 of 115)
10
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
5
76% ( 58 of 76)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 51 of 69)
47% ( 20 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 23 of 46)
13% ( 1 of 8)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
34% ( 41 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 41 of 115)
119
Total Points Won
115
W
3-6 7-6(1) 7-6(6) H2H
SF
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Aleksandar Vukic
63% ( 51 of 81)
1st Serve %
51% ( 55 of 107)
13
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
84% ( 43 of 51)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 36 of 55)
40% ( 12 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
32% ( 26 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 46 of 107)
101
Total Points Won
87
W
7-6(2) 7-6(2) H2H

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
76% ( 35 of 46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
58
Total Points Won
34
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
80% ( 12 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
13% ( 6 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 21 of 54)
61
Total Points Won
39
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66% ( 63 of 95)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 102)
107
Total Points Won
90
L
6-4 6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jack Draper
66% ( 78 of 119)
1st Serve %
58% ( 67 of 115)
6
Aces
13
3
Double Faults
3
73% ( 57 of 78)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
51% ( 21 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 27 of 48)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
34% ( 41 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 46 of 115)
124
Total Points Won
110
W
7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1 H2H
Robin
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
62% ( 62 of 100)
1st Serve %
61% ( 56 of 92)
3
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
63% ( 39 of 62)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 34 of 56)
50% ( 19 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
42% ( 42 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 42 of 92)
100
Total Points Won
92
L
3-6 6-1 7-5 H2H
Robin
cross
Cameron Norrie
Player
Rafael Nadal
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
58% ( 55 of 95)
6
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 40 of 55)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 34 of 95)
94
Total Points Won
89
L
3-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
Robin
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
70% ( 46 of 66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93% ( 38 of 41)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
18% ( 11 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 23 of 66)
73
Total Points Won
54
W
7-5 7-5 H2H

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